A probabilistic linguistic thermodynamic method based on the water-filling algorithm and regret theory for emergency decision making

Since thermodynamics can describe the energy of matter and its form of storage or transformation in the system, it is introduced to resolve the uncertain decision-making problems. The paper proposes the thermodynamic decision-making method which considers both the quantity and quality of the probabilistic linguistic decision information. The analogies for thermodynamical indicators: energy, exergy and entropy are developed under the probabilistic linguistic circumstance. The probabilistic linguistic thermodynamic method combines the regret theory which captures decision makers’ regret-aversion and the objective weight of criterion obtained by the water-filling algorithm. The proposed method is applied to select the optimal solution to respond to the floods in Chongqing, China. The self-comparison is conducted to verify the effectiveness of the objective weight obtained by the water-filling algorithm and regret theory in the probabilistic linguistic thermodynamic method. The reliability and feasibility of the proposed method are verified by comparative analysis with other decision-making methods by some simulation experiments and non-parametric tests

Heterogeneous group decision making with thermodynamical parameters

There often exist different types of information due to the subjective and objective criteria in practical decision-making problems, thus it is necessary to develop some efficient frameworks to deal with the decision-making problems with heterogeneous information. The paper proposes a framework for group decisionmaking problems with heterogeneous information with thermodynamical parameters consisting of three parts to achieving this goal. The first part builds the rectifications of criteria weights according to decision makers’ confidence in evaluations. The second part adopts thermodynamical parameters to measure the numerical values and the data distribution of heterogeneous information to characterize the heterogeneous information fully. The last part applies the TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese for Interactive and Multicriteria Decision Making) to aggregate the decision-making results based on the characterized heterogeneous information without transforming it into a unified form. By depicting decision makers’ different sensitive attitudes towards uncertainty by several mathematical expressions, experiments are performed to assess the sensitive attitudes’ impacts on decisionmaking results with the proposed framework. Finally, a case study on the selection of a green supplier under the low-carbon economy is provided to illustrate the flexibility and feasibility of the proposed framework

An Extended TODIM Method for Group Decision Making with the Interval Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets

For a multiple-attribute group decision-making problem with interval intuitionistic fuzzy sets, a method based on extended TODIM is proposed. First, the concepts of interval intuitionistic fuzzy set and its algorithms are defined, and then the entropy method to determine the weights is put forward. Then, based on the Hamming distance and the Euclidean distance of the interval intuitionistic fuzzy set, both of which have been defined, function mapping is given for the attribute. Finally, to solve multiple-attribute group decision-making problems using interval intuitionistic fuzzy sets, a method based on extended TODIM is put forward, and a case that deals with the site selection of airport terminals is given to prove the method

Dynamic reference point method with probabilistic linguistic information based on the regret theory for public health emergency decision-making

Group emergency decision-making is an uncertain and dynamic process, in which the decision makers may be bounded rational and have a risk appetite. To depict the vague qualitative assessments, the probabilistic linguistic term sets are employed to express the perceptions of decision makers. First, considering the regret-aversion of the decision makers’ psychological characteristic, the value function and the regret-rejoice function in the regret theory are modified to adapt the probabilistic linguistic information. Second, the definition and aggregation operators of the probabilistic linguistic time variable are proposed to describe and aggregate the dynamic decision information. Third, the probabilistic linguistic models based on the dynamic reference point method and the regret theory are studied to maximise the expectation-levels of alternatives at the relative time point. The proposed method is applied to select the optimal response strategy for the outbreak of COVID-19 in China. Finally, the comparative analysis is designed to verify the applicability and reasonability of the proposed method

Wasserstein distance-based probabilistic linguistic TODIM method with application to the evaluation of sustainable rural tourism potential

The evaluation of sustainable rural tourism potential is a key work in sustainable rural tourism development. Due to the complexity of the rural tourism development situation and the limited cognition of people, most of the assessment problems for sustainable rural tourism potential are highly uncertain, which brings challenges to the characterisation and measurement of evaluation information. Besides, decision-makers (DMs) usually do not exhibit complete rationality in the practical evaluation process. To tackle such problems, this paper proposes a new behaviour multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) method with probabilistic linguistic terms sets (PLTSs) by integrating Wasserstein distance measure into TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese of interactive and multicriteria decision making) method. Firstly, a new Wasserstein-based distance measure with PLTSs is defined, and some properties of the proposed distance are developed. Secondly, based on the correlation coefficient among attributes and standard deviation of each attribute, an attribute weight determination method (called PL-CRITIC method) is proposed. Subsequently, a Wasserstein distance-based probabilistic linguistic TODIM method is developed. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the evaluation of sustainable rural tourism potential, along with sensitivity and comparative analyses, as a means of illustrating the effectiveness and advantages of the new method

Probabilistic hesitant fuzzy multiple attribute decisionmaking based on regret theory for the evaluation of venture capital projects

The selection of venture capital investment projects is one of the most important decision-making activities for venture capitalists. Due to the complexity of investment market and the limited cognition of people, most of the venture capital investment decision problems are highly uncertain and the venture capitalists are often bounded rational under uncertainty. To address such problems, this article presents an approach based on regret theory to probabilistic hesitant fuzzy multiple attribute decision-making. Firstly, when the information on the occurrence probabilities of all the elements in the probabilistic hesitant fuzzy element (P.H.F.E.) is unknown or partially known, two different mathematical programming models based on water-filling theory and the maximum entropy principle are provided to handle these complex situations. Secondly, to capture the psychological behaviours of venture capitalists, the regret theory is utilised to solve the problem of selection of venture capital investment projects. Finally, comparative analysis with the existing approaches is conducted to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of the proposed method

Single-valued neutrosophic TODIM method based on cumulative prospect theory for multi-attribute group decision making and its application to medical emergency management evaluation

In recent years, emergent public health events happen from time to time, which puts forward new requirements for the establishment of a perfect medical emergency system. It is a new direction to evaluate the effectiveness of medical emergency systems from the perspective of multi-attribute group decision making (MAGDM) issues. In such article, we tend to resolve the MAGDM issues under single-valued neutrosophic sets (SVNSs) with TODIM method based on cumulative prospect theory (CPT). And the single-valued neutrosophic TODIM method based on CPT (CPT-SVNTODIM) for MAGDM issues are developed. This new method not only inherits advantages of classical TODIM method, but also has further improvement in some aspects. For example, we set up the entropy to calculate attribute weights for ensuring the more objective decision-making process. Furthermore, it is also an extension of MAGDM method to utilize single-valued neutrosophic numbers (SVNNs) to depict decision makers’ ideas. In addition, we introduce the application of CPT-SVN-TODIM method in the assessment of medical emergency management. And finally, the reliability of CPT-SVN-TODIM method is confirmed by comparing with some other methods

Integrated Frameworks for Effective Multi-criteria Decision Making in Reliability Centred Maintenance of Industrial Machines

No abstract availabl

Z-number-valued rule-based decision trees

As a novel architecture of a fuzzy decision tree constructed on fuzzy rules, the fuzzy rule-based decision tree (FRDT) achieved better performance in terms of both classification accuracy and the size of the resulted decision tree than other classical decision trees such as C4.5, LADtree, BFtree, SimpleCart and NBTree. The concept of Z-number extends the classical fuzzy number to model both uncertain and partial reliable information. Z-numbers have significant potential in rule-based systems due to their strong representation capability. This paper designs a Z-number-valued rulebased decision tree (ZRDT) and provides the learning algorithm. Firstly, the information gain is used to replace the fuzzy confidence in FRDT to select features in each rule. Additionally, we use the negative samples to generate the second fuzzy numbers that adjust the first fuzzy numbers and improve the model’s fit to the training data. The proposed ZRDT is compared with the FRDT with three different parameter values and two classical decision trees, PUBLIC and C4.5, and a decision tree ensemble method, AdaBoost.NC, in terms of classification effect and size of decision trees. Based on statistical tests, the proposed ZRDT has the highest classification performance with the smallest size for the produced decision tree.The project B-TIC-590-UGR20Programa Operativo FEDER 2014-2020Regional Ministry of EconomyKnowledgeEnterprise and Universities (CECEU) of AndalusiaChina Scholarship Council (CSC) (202106070037)Project PID2019-103880RB-I00MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033Andalusian government through project P20_0067