Using Ramsey theory to measure unavoidable spurious correlations in Big Data

Given a dataset we quantify how many patterns must always exist in the dataset. Formally this is done through the lens of Ramsey theory of graphs, and a quantitative bound known as Goodman's theorem. Combining statistical tools with Ramsey theory of graphs gives a nuanced understanding of how far away a dataset is from random, and what qualifies as a meaningful pattern. This method is applied to a dataset of repeated voters in the 1984 US congress, to quantify how homogeneous a subset of congressional voters is. We also measure how transitive a subset of voters is. Statistical Ramsey theory is also used with global economic trading data to provide evidence that global markets are quite transitive.Comment: 21 page

Combinatorial theorems relative to a random set

We describe recent advances in the study of random analogues of combinatorial theorems.Comment: 26 pages. Submitted to Proceedings of the ICM 201

Popular progression differences in vector spaces II

Green used an arithmetic analogue of Szemer\'edi's celebrated regularity lemma to prove the following strengthening of Roth's theorem in vector spaces. For every $\alpha>0$, $\beta<\alpha^3$, and prime number $p$, there is a least positive integer $n_p(\alpha,\beta)$ such that if $n \geq n_p(\alpha,\beta)$, then for every subset of $\mathbb{F}_p^n$ of density at least $\alpha$ there is a nonzero $d$ for which the density of three-term arithmetic progressions with common difference $d$ is at least $\beta$. We determine for $p \geq 19$ the tower height of $n_p(\alpha,\beta)$ up to an absolute constant factor and an additive term depending only on $p$. In particular, if we want half the random bound (so $\beta=\alpha^3/2$), then the dimension $n$ required is a tower of twos of height $\Theta \left((\log p) \log \log (1/\alpha)\right)$. It turns out that the tower height in general takes on a different form in several different regions of $\alpha$ and $\beta$, and different arguments are used both in the upper and lower bounds to handle these cases.Comment: 34 pages including appendi

Positional Games

Positional games are a branch of combinatorics, researching a variety of two-player games, ranging from popular recreational games such as Tic-Tac-Toe and Hex, to purely abstract games played on graphs and hypergraphs. It is closely connected to many other combinatorial disciplines such as Ramsey theory, extremal graph and set theory, probabilistic combinatorics, and to computer science. We survey the basic notions of the field, its approaches and tools, as well as numerous recent advances, standing open problems and promising research directions.Comment: Submitted to Proceedings of the ICM 201