End-point prediction of basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking based on improved twin support vector regression

In this paper, a novel prediction method for low carbon steel is proposed based on an improved twin support vector regression algorithm. 300 qualified samples are collected by the sublance measurements from the real plant. The simulation results show that the prediction models can achieve a hit rate of 96 % for carbon content within the error bound of 0,005 % and 94 % for temperature within the error bound of 15 °C. The double hit rate reaches to 90 %. It indicates that the proposed method can provide a significant reference for real BOF applications, and also it can be extended to the prediction of other metallurgical industries

Used-habitat calibration plots: a new procedure for validating species distribution, resource selection, and step-selection models

“Species distribution modeling” was recently ranked as one of the top five “research fronts” in ecology and the environmental sciences by ISI's Essential Science Indicators (Renner and Warton 2013), reflecting the importance of predicting how species distributions will respond to anthropogenic change. Unfortunately, species distribution models (SDMs) often perform poorly when applied to novel environments. Compounding on this problem is the shortage of methods for evaluating SDMs (hence, we may be getting our predictions wrong and not even know it). Traditional methods for validating SDMs quantify a model's ability to classify locations as used or unused. Instead, we propose to focus on how well SDMs can predict the characteristics of used locations. This subtle shift in viewpoint leads to a more natural and informative evaluation and validation of models across the entire spectrum of SDMs. Through a series of examples, we show how simple graphical methods can help with three fundamental challenges of habitat modeling: identifying missing covariates, non-linearity, and multicollinearity. Identifying habitat characteristics that are not well-predicted by the model can provide insights into variables affecting the distribution of species, suggest appropriate model modifications, and ultimately improve the reliability and generality of conservation and management recommendations