835 research outputs found

    Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation

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    In this study, a multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming (MSISP) method is developed for water-resources allocation under uncertainty. MSISP improves upon the existing multistage optimization methods with advantages in uncertainty reflection, dynamics facilitation, and risk analysis. It can directly handle uncertainties presented as both interval numbers and probability distributions, and can support the assessment of the reliability of satisfying (or the risk of violating) system constraints within a multistage context. It can also reflect the dynamics of system uncertainties and decision processes under a representative set of scenarios. The developed MSISP method is then applied to a case of water resources management planning within a multi-reservoir system associated with joint probabilities. A range of violation levels for capacity and environment constraints are analyzed under uncertainty. Solutions associated different risk levels of constraint violation have been obtained. They can be used for generating decision alternatives and thus help water managers to identify desired policies under various economic, environmental and system-reliability conditions. Besides, sensitivity analyses demonstrate that the violation of the environmental constraint has a significant effect on the system benefit

    Solution Approaches for the Management of the Water Resources in Irrigation Water Systems with Fuzzy Costs

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    [EN] Currently, the management of water networks is key to increase their sustainability. This fact implies that water managers have to develop tools that ease the decision-making process in order to improve the efficiency of irrigation networks, as well as their exploitation costs. The present research proposes a mathematical programming model to optimize the selection of the water sources and the volume over time in water networks, minimizing the operation costs as a function of the water demand and the reservoir capacity. The model, which is based on fuzzy methods, improves the evaluation performed by water managers when they have to decide about the acquisition of the water resources under uncertain costs. Different fuzzy solution approaches have been applied and assessed in terms of model complexity and computational efficiency, showing the solution accomplished for each one. A comparison between different methods was applied in a real water network, reaching a 20% total cost reduction for the best solution.Sanchis, R.; Díaz-Madroñero Boluda, FM.; López Jiménez, PA.; Pérez-Sánchez, M. (2019). Solution Approaches for the Management of the Water Resources in Irrigation Water Systems with Fuzzy Costs. Water. 11(12):1-22. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122432S1221112Biswas, A. K. (2004). Integrated Water Resources Management: A Reassessment. Water International, 29(2), 248-256. doi:10.1080/02508060408691775Pahl-Wostl, C. (2006). Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change. Water Resources Management, 21(1), 49-62. doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9040-4Wu, K., & Zhang, L. (2014). Progress in the Development of Environmental Risk Assessment as a Tool for the Decision-Making Process. 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Ingeniería del agua, 17(3). doi:10.4995/ia.2010.2977Romero, L., Pérez-Sánchez, M., & Amparo López-Jiménez, P. (2017). Improvement of sustainability indicators when traditional water management changes: a case study in Alicante (Spain). AIMS Environmental Science, 4(3), 502-522. doi:10.3934/environsci.2017.3.502Davies, E. G. R., & Simonovic, S. P. (2011). Global water resources modeling with an integrated model of the social–economic–environmental system. Advances in Water Resources, 34(6), 684-700. doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2011.02.010ALCAMO, J., DÖLL, P., HENRICHS, T., KASPAR, F., LEHNER, B., RÖSCH, T., & SIEBERT, S. (2003). Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48(3), 317-337. doi:10.1623/hysj.48.3.317.45290Sanchis, R., & Poler, R. (2019). Enterprise Resilience Assessment—A Quantitative Approach. Sustainability, 11(16), 4327. doi:10.3390/su11164327Rahaman, M. M., & Varis, O. (2005). Integrated water resources management: evolution, prospects and future challenges. Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy, 1(1), 15-21. doi:10.1080/15487733.2005.11907961Markantonis, V., Reynaud, A., Karabulut, A., El Hajj, R., Altinbilek, D., Awad, I. M., … Bidoglio, G. (2019). Can the Implementation of the Water-Energy-Food Nexus Support Economic Growth in the Mediterranean Region? The Current Status and the Way Forward. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 7. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00084Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)www.fao.orgDirective 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Councilhttps://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2000/60/ojNamany, S., Al-Ansari, T., & Govindan, R. (2019). Sustainable energy, water and food nexus systems: A focused review of decision-making tools for efficient resource management and governance. Journal of Cleaner Production, 225, 610-626. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.03.304Archibald, T. W., & Marshall, S. E. (2018). Review of Mathematical Programming Applications in Water Resource Management Under Uncertainty. Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 23(6), 753-777. doi:10.1007/s10666-018-9628-0Chen, S., Shao, D., Gu, W., Xu, B., Li, H., & Fang, L. (2017). An interval multistage water allocation model for crop different growth stages under inputs uncertainty. Agricultural Water Management, 186, 86-97. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2017.03.001Xie, Y. L., Xia, D. H., Huang, G. H., Li, W., & Xu, Y. (2015). A multistage stochastic robust optimization model with fuzzy probability distribution for water supply management under uncertainty. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 31(1), 125-143. doi:10.1007/s00477-015-1164-8Heumesser, C., Fuss, S., Szolgayová, J., Strauss, F., & Schmid, E. (2012). Investment in Irrigation Systems under Precipitation Uncertainty. Water Resources Management, 26(11), 3113-3137. doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0053-xPereira-Cardenal, S. J., Mo, B., Riegels, N. D., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., & Bauer-Gottwein, P. (2015). Optimization of Multipurpose Reservoir Systems Using Power Market Models. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 141(8), 04014100. doi:10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000500Kumari, S., & Mujumdar, P. P. (2017). Fuzzy Set–Based System Performance Evaluation of an Irrigation Reservoir System. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, 143(5), 04017002. doi:10.1061/(asce)ir.1943-4774.0001155Jairaj, P. G., & Vedula, S. (2000). Water Resources Management, 14(6), 457-472. doi:10.1023/a:1011117918943Li, M., Guo, P., Singh, V. P., & Zhao, J. (2016). Irrigation Water Allocation Using an Inexact Two-Stage Quadratic Programming with Fuzzy Input under Climate Change. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 52(3), 667-684. doi:10.1111/1752-1688.12415Bozorg-Haddad, O., Malmir, M., Mohammad-Azari, S., & Loáiciga, H. A. (2016). Estimation of farmers’ willingness to pay for water in the agricultural sector. Agricultural Water Management, 177, 284-290. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2016.08.011Raju, K. S., & Duckstein, L. (2003). Multiobjective fuzzy linear programming for sustainable irrigation planning: an Indian case study. Soft Computing - A Fusion of Foundations, Methodologies and Applications, 7(6), 412-418. doi:10.1007/s00500-002-0230-6Regulwar, D. G., & Gurav, J. B. (2012). Sustainable Irrigation Planning with Imprecise Parameters under Fuzzy Environment. Water Resources Management, 26(13), 3871-3892. doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0109-yMula, J., Poler, R., & Garcia-Sabater, J. P. (2008). Capacity and material requirement planning modelling by comparing deterministic and fuzzy models. International Journal of Production Research, 46(20), 5589-5606. doi:10.1080/00207540701413912Díaz-Madroñero, M., Mula, J., Jiménez, M., & Peidro, D. (2016). A rolling horizon approach for material requirement planning under fuzzy lead times. 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Journal of Engineering Science and Technology Review, 10(6), 154-162. doi:10.25103/jestr.106.19Herrera, F., & Verdegay, J. L. (1995). Three models of fuzzy integer linear programming. European Journal of Operational Research, 83(3), 581-593. doi:10.1016/0377-2217(93)e0338-xHerrera, F., & Verdegay, J. L. (1996). Fuzzy boolean programming problems with fuzzy costs: A general study. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 81(1), 57-76. doi:10.1016/0165-0114(94)00324-6Alavidoost, M. H., Babazadeh, H., & Sayyari, S. T. (2016). An interactive fuzzy programming approach for bi-objective straight and U-shaped assembly line balancing problem. Applied Soft Computing, 40, 221-235. doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2015.11.025Torabi, S. A., & Hassini, E. (2008). An interactive possibilistic programming approach for multiple objective supply chain master planning. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 159(2), 193-214. doi:10.1016/j.fss.2007.08.010Yager, R. R. (1981). A procedure for ordering fuzzy subsets of the unit interval. 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    Energy and environmental systems planning under uncertainty-An inexact fuzzy-stochastic programming approach

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    In this study, an inexact fuzzy-stochastic energy model (IFS-EM) is developed for planning energy and environmental systems (EES) management under multiple uncertainties. In the IFS-EM, methods of interval parameter fuzzy linear programming (IFLP) and multistage stochastic programming with recourse (MSP) are introduced into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) framework, such that the developed model can tackle uncertainties described in terms of interval values, fuzzy sets and probability distributions. Moreover, it can reflect dynamic decisions for facility-capacity expansion and energy supply over a multistage context. The developed model is applied to a case of planning regional-scale energy and environmental systems to demonstrate its applicability, where three cases are considered based on different energy and environmental management policies. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They are helpful for supporting: (a) adjustment or justification of allocation patterns of regional energy resources and services, (b) formulation of local policies regarding energy consumption, economic development and environmental protection, and (c) in-depth analysis of tradeoffs among system cost, satisfaction degree and environmental requirement under multiple uncertainties. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

    Inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming - A case study for waste management

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    In this study, an inexact fuzzy-stochastic constraint-softened programming method is developed for municipal solid waste (MSW) management under uncertainty, The developed method can deal with multiple uncertainties presented in terms of fuzzy sets, interval values and random variables. Moreover, a number of violation levels for the system constraints are allowed. This is realized through introduction of violation variables to soften system constraints, such that the model's decision space can be expanded under demanding conditions. This can help generate a range of decision alternatives under various conditions, allowing in-depth analyses of tradeoffs among economic objective, satisfaction degree, and constraint-violation risk. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning a MSW management system. The uncertain and dynamic information can be incorporated within a multi-layer scenario tree; revised decisions are permitted in each time period based on the realized values of uncertain events. Solutions associated with different satisfaction degree levels have been generated, corresponding to different constraint-violation risks. They are useful for supporting decisions of waste flow allocation and system-capacity expansion within a multistage context. (C) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

    Review of mathematical programming applications in water resource management under uncertainty

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    An Inventory-Theory-Based Inexact Multistage Stochastic Programming Model for Water Resources Management

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    An inventory-theory-based inexact multistage stochastic programming (IB-IMSP) method is developed for planning water resources systems under uncertainty. The IB-IMSP is based on inexact multistage stochastic programming and inventory theory. The IB-IMSP cannot only effectively handle system uncertainties represented as probability density functions and discrete intervals but also efficiently reflect dynamic features of system conditions under different flow levels within a multistage context. Moreover, it can provide reasonable transferring schemes (i.e., the amount and batch of transferring as well as the corresponding transferring period) associated with various flow scenarios for solving water shortage problems. The applicability of the proposed IB-IMSP is demonstrated by a case study of planning water resources management. The solutions obtained are helpful for decision makers in not only identifying different transferring schemes when the promised water is not met, but also making decisions of water allocation associated with different economic objectives

    Nonlinear Interval Parameter Programming Combined with Cooperative Games: a Tool for Addressing Uncertainty in Water Allocation Using Water Diplomacy Framework

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    This paper shows the utility of a new interval cooperative game theory as an effective water diplomacy tool to resolve competing and conflicting needs of water users from different sectors including agriculture, domestic, industry and environment. Interval parameter programming is applied in combination with cooperative game theoretic concepts such as Shapley values and the Nucleolus to provide mutually beneficial solutions for water allocation problems under uncertainty. The allocation problem consists of two steps: water resources are initially allocated to water users based on the Nash bargaining model and the achieved nonlinear interval parameter model is solved by transforming it into a problem with a deterministic weighted objective function. Water amounts and net benefits are reallocated to achieve efficient water usage through net benefit transfers. The net benefit reallocation is done by the application of different cooperative game theoretical methods. Then, the optimization problem is solved by linear interval programming and by converting it into a problem with two deterministic objective functions. The suggested model is then applied to the Zarrinehrud sub-basin, within Urmia Lake basin in Northwestern Iran. Findings suggest that a reframing of the problem using cooperative strategies within the context of water diplomacy framework - creating flexibility in water allocation using mutual gains approach - provides better outcomes for all competing users of water

    A two-stage inexact-stochastic programming model for planning carbon dioxide emission trading under uncertainty

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    In this study, a two-stage inexact-stochastic programming (TISP) method is developed for planning carbon dioxide (CO2) emission trading under uncertainty. The developed TISP incorporates techniques of interval-parameter programming (IPP) and two-stage stochastic programming (TSP) within a general optimization framework. The TISP can not only tackle uncertainties expressed as probabilistic distributions and discrete intervals, but also provide an effective linkage between the pre-regulated greenhouse gas (GHG) management policies and the associated economic implications. The developed method is applied to a case study of energy systems and CO2 emission trading planning under uncertainty. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They can be used for generating decision alternatives and thus help decision makers identify desired GHG abatement policies under various economic and system-reliability constraints. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

    Multistage stochastic programming modeling for farmland irrigation management under uncertainty

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    Farmland management and irrigation scheduling are vital to a productive agricultural economy. A multistage stochastic programming model is proposed to maximize farmers’ annual profit under uncertainty. The uncertainties considered include crop prices, irrigation water availability, and precipitation. During the first stage, pre-season decisions including seed type and plant density are made, while determinations of when to irrigate and how much water to be used for each irrigation are made in the later stages. The presented case study, based on a farm in Nebraska, U.S.A., showed that a 10% profit increase could be achieved by taking the corn price and irrigation water availability uncertainties into consideration using two-stage stochastic programming. An additional 13% profit increase could be achieved by taking precipitation uncertainty into consideration using multistage stochastic programming. The stochastic model outperforms the deterministic model, especially when there are limited water supplies. These results indicate that multistage stochastic programming is a promising method for farm-scale irrigation management and can increase farm profitability

    Decision support systems for large dam planning and operation in Africa

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    Decision support systems/ Dams/ Planning/ Operations/ Social impact/ Environmental effects
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