A World Bank perspective on pension reform

This report highlights the World Bank's thinking and worldwide involvement in pension reform. Both are driven by the Bank's mandate to help countries develop economically and to reduce poverty. The Bank has four key concerns in working with clients on pension policy: 1) short-term financing and long-term financial viability; 2) effects on economic growth; 3) adequacy and other distributive issues; and 4) political risk and sustainability. In response to these concerns and after review of the three main reform options for unfunded systems-mere pay-as-you-go reform, a rapid and complete shift to a mandatory funded system, and a gradual shift to a multi-pillar scheme-the Bank favors the later approach, but in a pragmatic and country-specific manner. When helping to implement a pension reform, the Bank takes full account of country preferences, circumstances and ownership, bases its support on sound reform criteria, links client assistance with knowledge management, provides training and other measures to enhance the reform capacity of a country, and seeks cooperation with other international institutions.Pensions&Retirement Systems,Banks&Banking Reform,Environmental Economics&Policies,National Governance,Health Monitoring&Evaluation

Preventive replacement for belligerent systems

A mortar is commonly used as an indirect firing weapon to support close fires with a variety of ammunition. There are mortar weapons with various shells. Each type of shells fired by mortars does damage to a weapon when the total damage on a mortar weapon reaches the tolerance limit, the mortar weapon either fails or explodes, leading to a compulsory replacement which is costly. In order to maintain the mortar weapons and archers in wars, a research was conducted to find the best number of mortar shells that will be fired until a preventive replacement for mortar weapons is implemented

The Effect of Collective Bargaining and Central Bank Independence on Inflation and Unemployment: Evidence From the OECD.

In this paper, panel data from 15 OECD countries (1971-1990) are used to test the hypothesis that differences in monetary and labour market institutions explain a significant portion of the surprisingly diverse inflation and unemployment experiences among similarly developed economies. As an alternative to the measures of centralization of wage bargaining and corporatism used in previous studies, a Hefindahl index of union concentration is used as a proxy for the degree of coordination failure extant in wage setting. Additional explanatory variables used include union density, union coverage and the level of wage bargaining. We observe that inflation has a hump-shaped relationship with central bank independence and union density, as well as a negative relationship with union concentration, while unemployment has a U-shaped relationship with union density, and a hump-shaped relationship with union concentration and central bank independence. These findings are largely robust to the use of alternative estimators and assumptions on the structure of the error term. Further results are obtained from stratifying the sample by central bank independence and union concentration. These are then compared with the contrasting predictions of two recent theoretical models. Finally, we show that high union concentration is associated with smaller deviations of actual inflation rates from predicted rates in the aftermath of the 1973-74 OPEC price shock.BANKS ; INFLATION ; WAGES ; LABOUR MARKET

The Labour Market in CGE Models

This paper reviews options of labour market-modelling in a CGE framework. On the labour-supply side, two principal modelling options are distinguished and discussed: aggregated, representative households and microsimulation based on individual household data.On the labour-demand side, we focus on the substitution possibilities between different types of labour in production.With respect to labour-market coordination, we discuss several wage-forming mechanisms and involuntary unemployment. � �

Income support systems for the unemployed : issues and options

The report reviews the performance of various income support systems for the unemployed, and provides guidelines for developing and transition economies. It finds that: a) Unemployment insurance enables a high degree of consumption smoothing, performs well under various types of shocks, and acts as an automatic stabilizer. But it also creates reemployment disincentives, and wage pressure which increase the equilibrium unemployment rate, contributing to persistent unemployment. b) Unemployment assistance, while enabling more effective targeting, may not bring savings in comparison to unemployment insurance, and may well prove fiscally unsustainable. c) Unemployment insurance savings accounts, internalize the costs of unemployment benefits, and thus avoid the moral hazard inherent in traditional unemployment insurance, given the weak monitoring capacity of developing countries, an important advantage. d) Public works program is effective in reaching the poor, can attract informal sector workers, and provides flexible, fast responses to shocks. Despite its high non-wage costs, and possible stigmatization of participants, it is found suitable for developing countries, particularly as a complementary program. e) Severance pay offers few advantages - it adversely affects efficiency, produces high litigation costs, and offers limited risk-pooling.Environmental Economics&Policies,Rural Poverty Reduction,Safety Nets and Transfers,Services&Transfers to Poor,Health Economics&Finance

What have we learned? Assessing labor market institutions and indicators

"Over the last decade, both the availability of quantitative indicators on labor market institutions and of studies trying to explain differences in national labor market performance through institutional variables have burgeoned significantly. It is now time to review these indicators and the empirical findings. Therefore, this paper has a threefold objective: first, we provide an overview of the aggregate indicators of core labor market institutions such as employment protection, the generosity of the benefit system, active labor market policies, taxation and collective bargaining. We assess the reliability of selected indicators. Second, we review the most relevant macro-econometric studies that made use of these indicators in order to explain diverging patterns of national employment performance. Third, and finally, this paper draws some preliminary conclusions regarding the further development of aggregate indicators and possible directions for future empirical research." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))Arbeitsmarktpolitik, institutionelle Faktoren, Arbeitsmarktindikatoren, Kündigungsschutz, Arbeitslosenversicherung, Arbeitslosenunterstützung, Leistungshöhe, arbeitsmarktpolitische Maßnahme, Tarifverhandlungen, Steuerpolitik, Reliabilität, Arbeitsmarktforschung, empirische Forschung, Arbeitsmarktentwicklung - internationaler Vergleich, Arbeitslosenquote, OECD

The Stability and Growth Pact from the Perspective Of the New Member States

The purpose of this paper is to examine the fiscal characteristics of the new members in the light of the requirements of the SGP and the criticisms levelled against the Pact and to see in what ways their initial conditions differ from those faced by the current euro zone countries in the run-up to the adoption of the euro. Overall, because of the lower debt levels and greater yield convergence already achieved, the new members will be able to rely less on gains from yield convergence than the current euro zone members were able to do. EU accession will also have a negative net impact on the budgets of the new members in the early years of membership. We also look at the cyclical sensitivities of the budgets and find that in the new members the smoothing capacity of the automatic stabilizers might be weaker than in the current euro zone members. Beyond these general characteristics, we also emphasize that there are large differences in the starting fiscal positions of the new members. Some of the policy implications of our findings are discussed.http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/40095/3/wp709.pd