Inconsistencies of interannual variability and trends in long-term satellite leaf area index products

Understanding the long-term performance of global satellite leaf area index (LAI) products is important for global change research. However, few effort has been devoted to evaluating the long-term time-series consistencies of LAI products. This study compared four long-term LAI products (GLASS, GLOBMAP, LAI3g, and TCDR) in terms of trends, interannual variabilities, and uncertainty variations from 1982 through 2011. This study also used four ancillary LAI products (GEOV1, MERIS, MODIS C5, and MODIS C6) from 2003 through 2011 to help clarify the performances of the four long-term LAI products. In general, there were marked discrepancies between the four long-term LAI products. During the pre-MODIS period (1982-1999), both linear trends and interannual variabilities of global mean LAI followed the order GLASS>LAI3g>TCDR>GLOBMAP. The GLASS linear trend and interannual variability were almost 4.5 times those of GLOBMAP. During the overlap period (2003-2011), GLASS and GLOBMAP exhibited a decreasing trend, TCDR no trend, and LAI3g an increasing trend. GEOV1, MERIS, and MODIS C6 also exhibited an increasing trend, but to a much smaller extent than that from LAI3g. During both periods, the R2 of detrended anomalies between the four long-term LAI products was smaller than 0.4 for most regions. Interannual variabilities of the four long-term LAI products were considerably different over the two periods, and the differences followed the order GLASS>LAI3g>TCDR>GLOBMAP. Uncertainty variations quantified by a collocation error model followed the same order. Our results indicate that the four long-term LAI products were neither intraconsistent over time nor interconsistent with each other. These inconsistencies may be due to NOAA satellite orbit changes and MODIS sensor degradation. Caution should be used in the interpretation of global changes derived from the four long-term LAI products

Contributions of natural and human factors to increases in vegetation productivity in China

Increasing trends in vegetation productivity have been identified for the last three decades for many regions in the northern hemisphere including China. Multiple natural and human factors are possibly responsible for the increases in vegetation productivity, while their relative contributions remain unclear. Here we analyzed the long-term trends in vegetation productivity in China using the satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and assessed the relationships of NDVI with a suite of natural (air temperature, precipitation, photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, and nitrogen (N) deposition) and human (afforestation and improved agricultural management practices) factors. Overall, China exhibited an increasing trend in vegetation productivity with an increase of 2.7%. At the provincial scale, eleven provinces exhibited significant increases in vegetation productivity, and the majority of these provinces are located within the northern half of the country. At the national scale, annual air temperature was most closely related to NDVI and explained 36.8% of the variance in NDVI, followed by afforestation (25.5%) and crop yield (15.8%). Altogether, temperature, total forest plantation area, and crop yield explained 78.1% of the variance in vegetation productivity at the national scale, while precipitation, PAR, atmospheric CO2 concentrations, and N deposition made no significant contribution to the increases in vegetation productivity. At the provincial scale, each factor explained a part of the variance in NDVI for some provinces, and the increases in NDVI for many provinces could be attributed to the combined effects of multiple factors. Crop yield and PAR were correlated with NDVI for more provinces than were other factors, indicating that both elevated crop yield resulting from improved agricultural management practices and increasing diffuse radiation were more important than other factors in increasing vegetation productivity at the provincial scale. The relative effects of the natural and human factors on vegetation productivity varied with spatial scale. The true contributions of multiple factors can be obscured by the correlation among these variables, and it is essential to examine the contribution of each factor while controlling for other factors. Future changes in climate and human activities will likely have larger influences on vegetation productivity in China

Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components

Evapotranspiration (ET) is the process by which liquid water becomes water vapor and energetically this accounts for much of incoming solar radiation. If this ET did not occur temperatures would be higher, so understanding ET trends is crucial to predict future temperatures. Recent studies have reported prolonged declines in ET in recent decades, although these declines may relate to climate variability. Here, we used a well-validated diagnostic model to estimate daily ET during 1981–2012, and its three components: transpiration from vegetation (Et), direct evaporation from the soil (Es) and vaporization of intercepted rainfall from vegetation (Ei). During this period, ET over land has increased significantly (p < 0.01), caused by increases in Et and Ei, which are partially counteracted by Es decreasing. These contrasting trends are primarily driven by increases in vegetation leaf area index, dominated by greening. The overall increase in Et over land is about twofold of the decrease in Es. These opposing trends are not simulated by most Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models, and highlight the importance of realistically representing vegetation changes in earth system models for predicting future changes in the energy and water cycle

QUANTIFICATION OF ERROR IN AVHRR NDVI DATA

Several influential Earth system science studies in the last three decades were based on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) series of instruments. Although AVHRR NDVI data are known to have significant uncertainties resulting from incomplete atmospheric correction, orbital drift, sensor degradation, etc., none of these studies account for them. This is primarily because of unavailability of comprehensive and location-specific quantitative uncertainty estimates. The first part of this dissertation investigated the extent of uncertainty due to inadequate atmospheric correction in the widely used AVHRR NDVI datasets. This was accomplished by comparison with atmospherically corrected AVHRR data at AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) sunphotometer sites in 1999. Of the datasets included in this study, Long Term Data Record (LTDR) was found to have least errors (precision=0.02 to 0.037 for clear and average atmospheric conditions) followed by Pathfinder AVHRR Land (PAL) (precision=0.0606 to 0.0418), and Top of Atmosphere (TOA) (precision=0.0613 to 0.0684). ` Although the use of field data is the most direct type of validation and is used extensively by the remote sensing community, it results in a single uncertainty estimate and does not account for spatial heterogeneity and the impact of spatial and temporal aggregation. These shortcomings were addressed by using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) data to estimate uncertainty in AVHRR NDVI data. However, before AVHRR data could be compared with MODIS data, the nonstationarity introduced by inter-annual variations in AVHRR NDVI data due to orbital drift had to be removed. This was accomplished by using a Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF) correction technique originally developed for MODIS data. The results from the evaluation of AVHRR data using MODIS showed that in many regions minimal spatial aggregation will improve the precision of AVHRR NDVI data significantly. However temporal aggregation improved the precision of the data to a limited extent only. The research presented in this dissertation indicated that the NDVI change of ~0.03 to ~0.08 NDVI units in 10 to 20 years, frequently reported in recent literature, can be significant in some cases. However, unless spatially explicit uncertainty metrics are quantified for the specific spatiotemporal aggregation schemes used by these studies, the significance of observed differences between sites and temporal trends in NDVI will remain unknown

Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO2_{2}

Satellite data reveal widespread changes in Earth\u27s vegetation cover. Regions intensively attended to by humans are mostly greening due to land management. Natural vegetation, on the other hand, is exhibiting patterns of both greening and browning in all continents. Factors linked to anthropogenic carbon emissions, such as CO$_{2}$ fertilization, climate change, and consequent disturbances such as fires and droughts, are hypothesized to be key drivers of changes in natural vegetation. A rigorous regional attribution at the biome level that can be scaled to a global picture of what is behind the observed changes is currently lacking. Here we analyze different datasets of decades-long satellite observations of global leaf area index (LAI, 1981–2017) as well as other proxies for vegetation changes and identify several clusters of significant long-term changes. Using process-based model simulations (Earth system and land surface models), we disentangle the effects of anthropogenic carbon emissions on LAI in a probabilistic setting applying causal counterfactual theory. The analysis prominently indicates the effects of climate change on many biomes – warming in northern ecosystems (greening) and rainfall anomalies in tropical biomes (browning). The probabilistic attribution method clearly identifies the CO$_{2}$ fertilization effect as the dominant driver in only two biomes, the temperate forests and cool grasslands, challenging the view of a dominant global-scale effect. Altogether, our analysis reveals a slowing down of greening and strengthening of browning trends, particularly in the last 2 decades. Most models substantially underestimate the emerging vegetation browning, especially in the tropical rainforests. Leaf area loss in these productive ecosystems could be an early indicator of a slowdown in the terrestrial carbon sink. Models need to account for this effect to realize plausible climate projections of the 21st century

Remote sensing phenology at European northern latitudes - From ground spectral towers to satellites

Plant phenology exerts major influences on carbon, water, and energy exchanges between atmosphere and ecosystems, provides feedbacks to climate, and affects ecosystem functioning and services. Great efforts have been spent in studying plant phenology over the past decades, but there are still large uncertainties and disputations in phenology estimation, trends, and its climate sensitivities. This thesis aims to reduce these uncertainties through analyzing ground spectral sampling, developing methods for in situ light sensor calibration, and exploring a new spectral index for reliable retrieval of remote sensing phenology and climate sensitivity estimation at European northern latitudes. The ground spectral towers use light sensors of either nadir or off-nadir viewing to measure reflected radiation, yet how plants in the sensor view contribute differently to the measured signals, and necessary in situ calibrations are often overlooked, leading to great uncertainties in ground spectral sampling of vegetation. It was found that the ground sampling points in the sensor view follow a Cauchy distribution, which is further modulated by the sensor directional response function. We proposed in situ light sensor calibration methods and showed that the user in situ calibration is more reliable than manufacturer’s lab calibration when our proposed calibration procedures are followed. By taking the full advantages of more reliable and standardized reflectance, we proposed a plant phenology vegetation index (PPI), which is derived from a radiative transfer equation and uses red and near infrared reflectance. PPI shows good linearity with canopy green leaf area index, and is correlated with gross primary productivity, better than other vegetation indices in our test. With suppressed snow influences, PPI shows great potentials for retrieving phenology over coniferous-dominated boreal forests. PPI was used to retrieve plant phenology from MODIS nadir BRDF-adjusted reflectance at European northern latitudes for the period 2000-2014. We estimated the trend of start of growing season (SOS), end of growing season (EOS), length of growing season (LOS), and the PPI integral for the time span, and found significant changes in most part of the region, with an average rate of -0.39 days·year-1 in SOS, 0.48 days·year-1 in EOS, 0.87 days·year-1 in LOS, and 0.79%·year-1 in the PPI integral over the past 15 years. We found that the plant phenology was significantly affected by climate in most part of the region, with an average sensitivity to temperature: SOS at -3.43 days·°C-1, EOS at 1.27 days·°C-1, LOS at 3.16 days·°C-1, and PPI integral at 2.29 %·°C-1, and to precipitation: SOS at 0.28 days∙cm-1, EOS at 0.05 days∙cm-1, LOS at 0.04 days∙cm-1, and PPI integral at -0.07%∙cm-1. These phenology variations were significantly related to decadal variations of atmospheric circulations, including the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation. The methods developed in this thesis can help to improve the reliability of long-term field spectral measurements and to reduce uncertainties in remote sensing phenology retrieval and climate sensitivity estimation

Historical Perspectives on AVHRR NDVI and Vegetation Drought Monitoring

No abstract availabl

Spectral Characteristics and Mapping of Rice Fields using Multi-Temporal Landsat and MODIS Data: A Case of District Narowal

Availability of remote sensed data provides powerful access to the spatial and temporal information of the earth surface Real-time earth observation data acquired during a cropping season can assist in assessing crop growth and development performance As remote sensed data is generally available at large scale rather than at field-plot level use of this information would help to improve crop management at broad-scale Utilizing the Landsat TM ETM ISODATA clustering algorithm and MODIS Terra the normalized difference vegetation index NDVI and enhanced vegetation index EVI datasets allowed the capturing of relevant rice cropping differences In this study we tried to analyze the MODIS Terra EVI NDVI February 2000 to February 2013 datasets for rice fractional yield estimation in Narowal Punjab province of Pakistan For large scale applications time integrated series of EVI NDVI 250-m spatial resolution offer a practical approach to measure crop production as they relate to the overall plant vigor and photosynthetic activity during the growing season The required data preparation for the integration of MODIS data into GIS is described with a focus on the projection from the MODIS Sinusoidal to the national coordinate systems However its low spatial resolution has been an impediment to researchers pursuing more accurate classification results and will support environmental planning to develop sustainable land-use practices These results have important implications for parameterization of land surface process models using biophysical variables estimated from remotely sensed data and assist for forthcoming rice fractional yield assessmen

The use of long-term high.spatial resolution Normalized Difference vegetation Index (NDVI) to determine different environmental processes in Spain

En esta tesis doctoral se han procesado imágenes de los satélites NOAA-AVHRR de 1,1 km de resolución espacial, disponibles durante tres décadas (1981 - 2015) para obtener una base de datos del índice de vegetación NDVI, para la España peninsular y las Islas Baleares, llamada Sp_1Km_NDVI. El método incluye la calibración de la información con los coeficientes de calibración posteriores al lanzamiento de cada satélite, correcciones geométricas y topográficas, la eliminación de nubes, el filtrado temporal de las series y la obtención de compuestos semi-mensales mediante el valor máximo NDVI de las imágenes. Además, la tesis compara la nueva base de datos Sp_1km_NDVI con otras tres bases de datos NDVI. Se ha comprobado si las tendencias anuales y estacionales de la base de datos Sp_1km_NDVI y las otras tres fuentes de información muestran patrones espaciales y tendencias temporales similares. Los resultados muestran que la nueva base de datos proporciona información sobre la actividad vegetal. Es útil para investigar procesos de cambio climático y procesos relacionados con las actividades humanas, en esta región mediterránea. Y permite identificar una tendencia positiva dominante del NDVI durante el periodo de estudio. En el presente trabajo también se han estudiado la relación entre la actividad vegetal y el crecimiento de los anillos de los árboles, en distintos tipos de bosques, bajo diferentes condiciones ambientales. Para ello, la base de datos de imágenes de satélite NDVI se ha combinado con registros dendrocronológicos y datos climáticos para analizar la variabilidad interanual del crecimiento de los anillos de los árboles y la actividad vegetal en distintos biomas forestales desde 1981 y hasta 2015. Los resultados revelan la existencia de una relación positiva y significativa entre la variabilidad interanual del NDVI y el crecimiento de los anillos de los árboles. Sin embargo, esta relación depende del tipo de bosque y de las condiciones ambientales. Finalmente, se han analizado los impactos de la sequía en el NDVI, ya que la sequía es uno de los principales riesgos naturales que afectan a la actividad de la vegetación en España. En esta parte de la tesis se determinan las posibles diferencias en la sensibilidad de la vegetación a la sequía, determinada por los distintos tipos de cubiertas vegetales y por las condiciones climáticas. Y analiza las escalas de tiempo en las que la actividad vegetal está respondiendo a la severidad de la sequía. Los resultados han demostrado que, en grandes áreas de la España peninsular, la actividad vegetal está fuertemente determinada por las variaciones interanuales de la sequía. Sin embargo, existen importantes diferencias estacionales y espaciales en las que el tipo de cubierta y las condiciones de aridez juegan un papel importante. En esta tesis también se ha mostrado que la escala temporal a la que se mide la sequía es muy relevante para entender los diferentes impactos estacionales, e informa sobre la sensibilidad del NDVI a la sequía a nivel estacional y en diferentes coberturas vegetales.<br /