9,255 research outputs found

    Converging organoids and extracellular matrix::New insights into liver cancer biology

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    Graduate Catalog of Studies, 2023-2024

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    Spatial adaptive settlement systems in archaeology. Modelling long-term settlement formation from spatial micro interactions

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    Despite research history spanning more than a century, settlement patterns still hold a promise to contribute to the theories of large-scale processes in human history. Mostly they have been presented as passive imprints of past human activities and spatial interactions they shape have not been studied as the driving force of historical processes. While archaeological knowledge has been used to construct geographical theories of evolution of settlement there still exist gaps in this knowledge. Currently no theoretical framework has been adopted to explore them as spatial systems emerging from micro-choices of small population units. The goal of this thesis is to propose a conceptual model of adaptive settlement systems based on complex adaptive systems framework. The model frames settlement system formation processes as an adaptive system containing spatial features, information flows, decision making population units (agents) and forming cross scale feedback loops between location choices of individuals and space modified by their aggregated choices. The goal of the model is to find new ways of interpretation of archaeological locational data as well as closer theoretical integration of micro-level choices and meso-level settlement structures. The thesis is divided into five chapters, the first chapter is dedicated to conceptualisation of the general model based on existing literature and shows that settlement systems are inherently complex adaptive systems and therefore require tools of complexity science for causal explanations. The following chapters explore both empirical and theoretical simulated settlement patterns based dedicated to studying selected information flows and feedbacks in the context of the whole system. Second and third chapters explore the case study of the Stone Age settlement in Estonia comparing residential location choice principles of different periods. In chapter 2 the relation between environmental conditions and residential choice is explored statistically. The results confirm that the relation is significant but varies between different archaeological phenomena. In the third chapter hunter-fisher-gatherer and early agrarian Corded Ware settlement systems were compared spatially using inductive models. The results indicated a large difference in their perception of landscape regarding suitability for habitation. It led to conclusions that early agrarian land use significantly extended land use potential and provided a competitive spatial benefit. In addition to spatial differences, model performance was compared and the difference was discussed in the context of proposed adaptive settlement system model. Last two chapters present theoretical agent-based simulation experiments intended to study effects discussed in relation to environmental model performance and environmental determinism in general. In the fourth chapter the central place foragingmodel was embedded in the proposed model and resource depletion, as an environmental modification mechanism, was explored. The study excluded the possibility that mobility itself would lead to modelling effects discussed in the previous chapter. The purpose of the last chapter is the disentanglement of the complex relations between social versus human-environment interactions. The study exposed non-linear spatial effects expected population density can have on the system and the general robustness of environmental inductive models in archaeology to randomness and social effect. The model indicates that social interactions between individuals lead to formation of a group agency which is determined by the environment even if individual cognitions consider the environment insignificant. It also indicates that spatial configuration of the environment has a certain influence towards population clustering therefore providing a potential pathway to population aggregation. Those empirical and theoretical results showed the new insights provided by the complex adaptive systems framework. Some of the results, including the explanation of empirical results, required the conceptual model to provide a framework of interpretation

    Spatial epidemiology of a highly transmissible disease in urban neighbourhoods: Using COVID-19 outbreaks in Toronto as a case study

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    The emergence of infectious diseases in an urban area involves a complex interaction between the socioecological processes in the neighbourhood and urbanization. As a result, such an urban environment can be the incubator of new epidemics and spread diseases more rapidly in densely populated areas than elsewhere. Most recently, the Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) pandemic has brought unprecedented challenges around the world. Toronto, the capital city of Ontario, Canada, has been severely impacted by COVID-19. Understanding the spatiotemporal patterns and the key drivers of such patterns is imperative for designing and implementing an effective public health program to control the spread of the pandemic. This dissertation was designed to contribute to the global research effort on the COVID-19 pandemic by conducting spatial epidemiological studies to enhance our understanding of the disease's epidemiology in a spatial context to guide enhancing the public health strategies in controlling the disease. Comprised of three original research manuscripts, this dissertation focuses on the spatial epidemiology of COVID-19 at a neighbourhood scale in Toronto. Each manuscript makes scientific contributions and enhances our knowledge of how interactions between different socioecological processes in the neighbourhood and urbanization can influence spatial spread and patterns of COVID-19 in Toronto with the application of novel and advanced methodological approaches. The findings of the outcomes of the analyses are intended to contribute to the public health policy that informs neighbourhood-based disease intervention initiatives by the public health authorities, local government, and policymakers. The first manuscript analyzes the globally and locally variable socioeconomic drivers of COVID-19 incidence and examines how these relationships vary across different neighbourhoods. In the global model, lower levels of education and the percentage of immigrants were found to have a positive association with increased risk for COVID-19. This study provides the methodological framework for identifying the local variations in the association between risk for COVID-19 and socioeconomic factors in an urban environment by applying a local multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) modelling approach. The MGWR model is an improvement over the methods used in earlier studies of COVID-19 in identifying local variations of COVID-19 by incorporating a correction factor for the multiple testing problem in the geographically weighted regression models. The second manuscript quantifies the associations between COVID-19 cases and urban socioeconomic and land surface temperature (LST) at the neighbourhood scale in Toronto. Four spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical models with spatial, temporal, and varying space-time interaction terms are compared. The results of this study identified the seasonal trends of COVID-19 risk, where the spatiotemporal trends show increasing, decreasing, or stable patterns, and identified area-specific spatial risk for targeted interventions. Educational level and high land surface temperature are shown to have a positive association with the risk for COVID-19. In this study, high spatial and temporal resolution satellite images were used to extract LST, and atmospheric corrections methods were applied to these images by adopting a land surface emissivity (LSE) model, which provided a high estimation accuracy. The methodological approach of this work will help researchers understand how to acquire long time-series data of LST at a spatial scale from satellite images, develop methodological approaches for atmospheric correction and create the environmental data with a high estimation accuracy to fit into modelling disease. Applying to policy, the findings of this study can inform the design and implementation of urban planning strategies and programs to control disease risks. The third manuscript developed a novel approach for visualization of the spread of infectious disease outbreaks by incorporating neighbourhood networks and the time-series data of the disease at the neighbourhood level. The findings of the model provide an understanding of the direction and magnitude of spatial risk for the outbreak and guide for the importance of early intervention in order to stop the spread of the outbreak. The manuscript also identified hotspots using incidence rate and disease persistence, the findings of which may inform public health planners to develop priority-based intervention plans in a resource constraint situation

    Invariant Slot Attention: Object Discovery with Slot-Centric Reference Frames

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    Automatically discovering composable abstractions from raw perceptual data is a long-standing challenge in machine learning. Recent slot-based neural networks that learn about objects in a self-supervised manner have made exciting progress in this direction. However, they typically fall short at adequately capturing spatial symmetries present in the visual world, which leads to sample inefficiency, such as when entangling object appearance and pose. In this paper, we present a simple yet highly effective method for incorporating spatial symmetries via slot-centric reference frames. We incorporate equivariance to per-object pose transformations into the attention and generation mechanism of Slot Attention by translating, scaling, and rotating position encodings. These changes result in little computational overhead, are easy to implement, and can result in large gains in terms of data efficiency and overall improvements to object discovery. We evaluate our method on a wide range of synthetic object discovery benchmarks namely CLEVR, Tetrominoes, CLEVRTex, Objects Room and MultiShapeNet, and show promising improvements on the challenging real-world Waymo Open dataset.Comment: Accepted at ICML 2023. Project page: https://invariantsa.github.io

    Beam scanning by liquid-crystal biasing in a modified SIW structure

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    A fixed-frequency beam-scanning 1D antenna based on Liquid Crystals (LCs) is designed for application in 2D scanning with lateral alignment. The 2D array environment imposes full decoupling of adjacent 1D antennas, which often conflicts with the LC requirement of DC biasing: the proposed design accommodates both. The LC medium is placed inside a Substrate Integrated Waveguide (SIW) modified to work as a Groove Gap Waveguide, with radiating slots etched on the upper broad wall, that radiates as a Leaky-Wave Antenna (LWA). This allows effective application of the DC bias voltage needed for tuning the LCs. At the same time, the RF field remains laterally confined, enabling the possibility to lay several antennas in parallel and achieve 2D beam scanning. The design is validated by simulation employing the actual properties of a commercial LC medium

    Statistical characterisation of public AC EV chargers in the UK

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    In recent years, the public AC electric vehicle (EV) charging network in the United Kingdom (UK) has experienced significant growth, more than doubling in size. However, there remains a significant lack of information regarding usage patterns, which hampers decision-making for future infrastructure planning. This study addresses this gap by presenting a statistical analysis based on data from nearly twelve thousand EV charging sessions. The data was collected from 595 AC charging sockets, with 85% operating at 7 kW and the remaining 15% at 22 kW, throughout the UK between April 2022 and July 2022. The analysis focuses on key factors that define the primary characteristics of the current public EV charging ecosystem, including utilisation rates, arrival-departure times, sojourn durations, energy transfer, and overstay durations. Several important observations are made, such as the variability in utilisation rates, factors influencing overstay periods, and peak demand periods. With two case studies, the potential role of smart charging in leveraging EV flexibility is shown by lowering and shifting the peak EV loads. The findings of this study have significant implications for the planning and efficient allocation of investments to expand the charging infrastructure. By gaining a better understanding of the current charging ecosystem, informed decisions can be made to optimize the usage and expansion of EV charging facilities

    Optimising water quality outcomes for complex water resource systems and water grids

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    As the world progresses, water resources are likely to be subjected to much greater pressures than in the past. Even though the principal water problem revolves around inadequate and uncertain water supplies, water quality management plays an equally important role. Availability of good quality water is paramount to sustainability of human population as well as the environment. Achieving water quality and quantity objectives can be conflicting and becomes more complicated with challenges like, climate change, growing populations and changed land uses. Managing adequate water quality in a reservoir gets complicated by multiple inflows with different water quality levels often resulting in poor water quality. Hence, it is fundamental to approach this issue in a more systematic, comprehensive, and coordinated fashion. Most previous studies related to water resources management focused on water quantity and considered water quality separately. However, this research study focused on considering water quantity and quality objectives simultaneously in a single model to explore and understand the relationship between them in a reservoir system. A case study area was identified in Western Victoria, Australia with water quantity and quality challenges. Taylors Lake of Grampians System in Victoria, Australia receives water from multiple sources of differing quality and quantity and has the abovesaid problems. A combined simulation and optimisation approach was adopted to carry out the analysis. A multi-objective optimisation approach was applied to achieve optimal water availability and quality in the storage. The multi-objective optimisation model included three objective functions which were: water volume and two water quality parameters: salinity and turbidity. Results showed competing nature of water quantity and quality objectives and established the trade-offs. It further showed that it was possible to generate a range of optimal solutions to effectively manage those trade-offs. The trade-off analysis explored and informed that selective harvesting of inflows is effective to improve water quality in storage. However, with strict water quality restriction there is a considerable loss in water volume. The robustness of the optimisation approach used in this study was confirmed through sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. The research work also incorporated various spatio-temporal scenario analyses to systematically articulate long-term and short-term operational planning strategies. Operational decisions around possible harvesting regimes while achieving optimal water quantity and quality and meeting all water demands were established. The climate change analysis revealed that optimal management of water quantity and quality in storage became extremely challenging under future climate projections. The high reduction in storage volume in the future will lead to several challenges such as water supply shortfall and inability to undertake selective harvesting due to reduced water quality levels. In this context, selective harvesting of inflows based on water quality will no longer be an option to manage water quantity and quality optimally in storage. Some significant conclusions of this research work included the establishment of trade-offs between water quality and quantity objectives particular to this configuration of water supply system. The work demonstrated that selective harvesting of inflows will improve the stored water quality, and this finding along with the approach used is a significant contribution to decision makers working within the water sector. The simulation-optimisation approach is very effective in providing a range of optimal solutions, which can be used to make more informed decisions around achieving optimal water quality and quantity in storage. It was further demonstrated that there are range of planning periods, both long-term (>10 years) and short-term (<1 year), all of which offer distinct advantages and provides useful insights, making this an additional key contribution of the work. Importantly, climate change was also considered where it was found that diminishing water resources, particularly to this geographic location, makes it increasingly difficult to optimise both quality and quantity in storage providing further useful insights from this work.Doctor of Philosoph

    Predictive Demand Response Modeling for Logistic Systems Innovation and Optimization

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    In the ever-increasing dynamics of global business markets, logistic systems must optimize the usage of all possible sources to continually innovate. Scenario-based demand prediction plays an important role in the effective economic operations and planning of logistics. However, many uncertainties and demand variability, which are associated with innovative changes, complicate demand forecasting and expose system operators to the risk of failing to meet demand. This dissertation presents new approaches to predictively explore how customer preferences will change and consequently demand would respond to the new setup of services caused by an innovative transformation of the logistic layout. The critical challenge is that the responses from customers in particular and demand in general to the innovative changes and corresponding adjustments are uncertain and unknown in practice, and there is no historical data to learn from and directly support the predictive model. In this dissertation, we are dealing with three different predictive demand response modeling approaches, jointly shaping a new methodological pathway. Chapter 1 provides a novel approach for predictive modeling probabilistic customer behavior over new service offers which are much faster than ever done before, based on the case of a large Chinese parcel-delivery service provider. Chapter 2 introduces an approach for predicting scenario-based erection-site demand schedules under uncertainty of disruptive events in construction projects whose logistics transformed from traditional to modular style, based on the case of a USA-based innovative leader in modular building production. For such a leader to advance in its logistics design innovations and associated capacity adjustments, and also to enhance its capability for taking more market share, it is crucial to estimate potential future demand for modular construction and corresponding probable projects in terms of their potential location, size, and characteristics. For this purpose, Chapter 3 introduces a methodological approach for estimating scenario-based future demand for modular construction projects to be implemented over the US metropolitan statistical areas.Ph.D
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