10,333 research outputs found
A graph deep learning method for short-term traffic forecasting on large road networks
Shortāterm traffic flow prediction on a largeāscale road network is challenging due to the complex spatialātemporal dependencies, the directed network topology, and the high computational cost. To address the challenges, this article develops a graph deep learning framework to predict largeāscale network traffic flow with high accuracy and efficiency. Specifically, we model the dynamics of the traffic flow on a road network as an irreducible and aperiodic Markov chain on a directed graph. Based on the representation, a novel spatialātemporal graph inception residual network (STGIāResNet) is developed for networkābased traffic prediction. This model integrates multiple spatialātemporal graph convolution (STGC) operators, residual learning, and the inception structure. The proposed STGC operators can adaptively extract spatialātemporal features from multiple traffic periodicities while preserving the topology information of the road network. The proposed STGIāResNet inherits the advantages of residual learning and inception structure to improve prediction accuracy, accelerate the model training process, and reduce difficult parameter tuning efforts. The computational complexity is linearly related to the number of road links, which enables citywide shortāterm traffic prediction. Experiments using a carāhailing traffic data set at 10ā, 30ā, and 60āmin intervals for a large road network in a Chinese city shows that the proposed model outperformed various stateāofātheāart baselines for shortāterm network traffic flow prediction
DeepTransport: Learning Spatial-Temporal Dependency for Traffic Condition Forecasting
Predicting traffic conditions has been recently explored as a way to relieve
traffic congestion. Several pioneering approaches have been proposed based on
traffic observations of the target location as well as its adjacent regions,
but they obtain somewhat limited accuracy due to lack of mining road topology.
To address the effect attenuation problem, we propose to take account of the
traffic of surrounding locations(wider than adjacent range). We propose an
end-to-end framework called DeepTransport, in which Convolutional Neural
Networks (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) are utilized to obtain
spatial-temporal traffic information within a transport network topology. In
addition, attention mechanism is introduced to align spatial and temporal
information. Moreover, we constructed and released a real-world large traffic
condition dataset with 5-minute resolution. Our experiments on this dataset
demonstrate our method captures the complex relationship in temporal and
spatial domain. It significantly outperforms traditional statistical methods
and a state-of-the-art deep learning method
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and
guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow,
traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term
prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this
paper, we propose a novel deep learning framework, Spatio-Temporal Graph
Convolutional Networks (STGCN), to tackle the time series prediction problem in
traffic domain. Instead of applying regular convolutional and recurrent units,
we formulate the problem on graphs and build the model with complete
convolutional structures, which enable much faster training speed with fewer
parameters. Experiments show that our model STGCN effectively captures
comprehensive spatio-temporal correlations through modeling multi-scale traffic
networks and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on various
real-world traffic datasets.Comment: Proceedings of the 27th International Joint Conference on Artificial
Intelligenc
DDP-GCN: Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Spatiotemporal Traffic Forecasting
Traffic speed forecasting is one of the core problems in Intelligent
Transportation Systems. For a more accurate prediction, recent studies started
using not only the temporal speed patterns but also the spatial information on
the road network through the graph convolutional networks. Even though the road
network is highly complex due to its non-Euclidean and directional
characteristics, previous approaches mainly focus on modeling the spatial
dependencies only with the distance. In this paper, we identify two essential
spatial dependencies in traffic forecasting in addition to distance, direction
and positional relationship, for designing basic graph elements as the smallest
building blocks. Using the building blocks, we suggest DDP-GCN (Distance,
Direction, and Positional relationship Graph Convolutional Network) to
incorporate the three spatial relationships into prediction network for traffic
forecasting. We evaluate the proposed model with two large-scale real-world
datasets, and find 7.40% average improvement for 1-hour forecasting in highly
complex urban networks
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