186 research outputs found

    Portfolio Selection Problems with Normal Mixture Distributions Including Fuzziness

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    In this paper, several portfolio selection problems with normal mixture distributions including fuzziness are proposed. Until now, many researchers have proposed portfolio models based on the stochastic approach, and there are some models considering both random and ambiguous conditions, particularly using fuzzy random or random fuzzy variables. However, the model including normal mixture distributions with fuzzy numbers has not been proposed yet. Our proposed problems are not well-defined problems due to randomness and fuzziness. Therefore, setting some criterions and introducing chance constrains, main problems are transformed into deterministic programming problems. Finally, we construct a solution method to obtain a global optimal solution of the problem

    Dynamic changes and multi-dimensional evolution of portfolio optimization

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    Although there has been an increasing number of studies investigate portfolio optimization from different perspectives, few attempts could be found that focus on the development trend and hotspots of this research area. Therefore, it motivates us to comprehensively investigate the development of portfolio optimization research and give some deep insights into this knowledge domain. In this paper, some bibliometric methods are utilized to analyse the status quo and emerging trends of portfolio optimization research on various aspects such as authors, countries and journals. Besides, ‘theories’, ‘models’ and ‘algorithms’, especially heuristic algorithms are identified as the hotspots in the given periods. Furthermore, the evolutionary analysis tends to presents the dynamic changes of the cutting-edge concepts of this research area in the time dimension. It is found that more portfolio optimization studies were at an exploration stage from mean-variance analysis to consideration of multiple constraints. However, heuristic algorithms have become the driving force of portfolio optimization research in recent years. Multidisciplinary analyses and applications are also the main trends of portfolio optimization research. By analysing the dynamic changes and multi-dimensional evolution in recent decades, we contribute to presenting some deep insights of the portfolio optimization research directly, which assists researchers especially beginners to comprehensively learn this research field

    A multiobjective credibilistic portfolio selection model. Empirical study in the Latin American Integrated Market

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    [EN] This paper extends the stochastic mean-semivariance model to a fuzzy multiobjective model, where apart from return and risk, also liquidity is considered to measure the performance of a portfolio. Uncertainty of future return and liquidity of each asset are modeled using L-R type fuzzy numbers that belong to the power reference function family. The decision process of this novel approach takes into account not only the multidimensional nature of the portfolio selection problem but also realistic constraints by investors. Particularly, it optimizes the expected return, the semivariance and the expected liquidity of a given portfolio, considering cardinality constraint and upper and lower bound constraints. The constrained portfolio optimization problem resulting is solved using the algorithm NSGA-II. As a novelty, in order to select the optimal portfolio, this study defines the credibilistic Sortino ratio as the ratio between the credibilistic risk premium and the credibilistic semivariance. An empirical study is included to show the effectiveness and efficiency of the model in practical applications using a data set of assets from the Latin American Integrated Market.García García, F.; Gonzalez-Bueno, J.; Guijarro, F.; Oliver-Muncharaz, J. (2020). A multiobjective credibilistic portfolio selection model. Empirical study in the Latin American Integrated Market. Enterpreneurship and Sustainability Issues. 8(2):1027-1046. https://doi.org/10.9770/jesi.2020.8.2(62)S102710468

    The Financial Crisis Impact on the Composition of an Optimal Portfolio in the Stock Market - Study Applied to Portuguese Index PSI 20

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    In order to maximize their utility function, investors select some assets over others, choosing the portfolio that will allow them to maximize their wealth. Each asset is chosen considering the relationship between the risk of that particular investment (usually measured by variance) - and the profitability it can offer, as well as the risk between this and other assets (measured by covariance). The purpose of this study consisted of constructing the minimum variance portfolio, using data from the PSI-20 (2008-2016) representative asset quotation, where investors are risk reluctant and wish to minimize risk while maintaining the same level of profitability, or on the other hand, maintaining the same level of risk but maximizing expected profit. In order to do this, a comparison of the optimal portfolio in 2004-2017 was carried out, compared to the minimum variance portfolio after the financial crisis (2008-2016). The method used to estimate each asset’s expected profitability that makes up the PSI-20 consists of extracting the obtained historical quotations. The optimal portfolio composition, in the period after the financial crisis, shows that the energy sector has an optimal portfolio weight reduction of 39.15%, that the big distribution sector (23.85%) was introduced into the portfolio and by last, the industrial sector stands its ground in the composition of the optimal portfolio.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

    A portfolio stock selection model based on expected utility, entropy and variance

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    In the context of investment decision-making, the selection of stocks is important for a successful construction of portfolios. In this paper the expected utility, entropy and variance (EU-EV) model is applied for stock selection, which can be used as preselection model for mean-variance portfolio optimization problems. Based on the EU-EV risk, stocks are ranked and the best ranked stocks with lower risk are selected in order to form subsets of stocks, which are then used to construct portfolios. The EU-EV model is applied to the PSI 20 index, to the Euro Stoxx 50 index and to the Nasdaq 100 index. Subsets of selected stocks are analysed and their portfolios' efficiencies are compared with those of the portfolios obtained from the whole set of stocks using the mean-variance model. The results reveal that the EU-EV model is an adequate stock selection model for building up efficient portfolios with a lower number of stocks.The author thanks the reviewers for helpful comments. The author thanks support from FCT (“Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia”) through the Projects UIDB/00013/2020 and UIDP/00013/2020

    Sustainability performance assessment with intuitionistic fuzzy composite metrics and its application to the motor industry

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    The performance assessment of companies in terms of sustainability requires to find a balance between multiple and possibly conflicting criteria. We here rely on composite metrics to rank a set of companies within an industry considering environmental, social and corporate governance criteria. To this end, we connect intuitionistic fuzzy sets and composite programming to propose novel composite metrics. These metrics allow to integrate important environmental, social and governance principles with the gradual membership functions of fuzzy set theory. The main result of this paper is a sustainability assessment method to rank companies within a given industry. In addition to consider multiple objectives, this method integrates two important social principles such as maximum utility and fairness. A real-world example is provided to describe the application of our sustainability assessment method within the motor industry. A further contribution of this paper is a multicriteria generalization of the concept of magnitude of a fuzzy number
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