Joint Determination of Price and Upgrade Level for a Warranted Second-hand Product

An upgrade action is a pre-sale procedure that brings the second-hand item to an improved functional state and effectively reduces its age. This action is usually costly and adds directly to the sale price of the second-hand product, but it improves the product reliability and can reduce the warranty servicing cost. In the present paper, we propose a decision model to determine the optimal price and upgrade strategy of a warranted second-hand product to maximize the dealer's expected profit. The objective function includes both demand and cost functions, where purchase price from an end user, upgrade cost, and warranty cost are involved. We illustrate our finding using real data on second-hand electric device. Also, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the effect of model parameters on the optimal solution

Some contributions to modeling usage sensitive warranty servicing strategies and their analyses

Providing a warranty as a part of a product\u27s sale is a common practice in industry. Parameters of such warranties (e.g., its duration limits, intensity of use) must be carefully specified to ensure their financial viability. A great deal of effort has been accordingly devoted in attempts to reduce the costs of warranties via appropriately designed strategies to service them. many such strategies, that aim to reduce the total expected costs of the warrantor or / and are appealing in other ways such as being more pragmatic to implement - have been suggested in the literature. Design, analysis and optimization of such servicing strategies is thus a topic of great research interest in many fields. In this dissertation, several warranty servicing strategies in two-dimensional warranty regimes, typically defined by a rectangle in the age-usage plane, have been proposed, analyzed and numerically illustrated. Two different approaches of modeling such usage sensitive warranty strategies are considered in the spirit of Jack, Iskandar and Murthy (2009) and Iskandar (2005). An `Accelerated Failure Time\u27 (AFT) formulation is employed to model product degradation resulting due to excessive usage rate of consumers. The focus of this research is on the analysis of warranty costs borne by the manufacturer (or seller or third party warranty providers) subject to various factors such as product\u27s sale price, consumer\u27s usage rate, types and costs of repair actions. By taking into account the impact of the rate of use of an item on its lifetime, a central focus of our research is on warranty cost models that are sensitive to the usage rate. Specifically, except the model in Chapter 4 where the rate at which an item is used is considered to be a random variable; all other warranty servicing policies that we consider, have usage rate as a fixed parameter, and hence are policies conditional on the rate of use. Such an approach allows us to examine the impact of a consumer\u27s usage rate on the expected warranty costs. For the purpose of designing warranties, exploring such sensitivity analysis may in fact suggest putting an upper limit on the rate of use within the warranty contract, as for example in case of new or leased vehicle warranties. A Bayesian approach of modeling 2-D Pro-rated warranty (PRW) with preventive maintenance is considered and explored in the spirit of Huang and Fang (2008). A decision regarding the optimal PRW proportion (paid by the manufacturer to repair failed item) and optimal warranty period that maximizes the expected profit of the rm under different usage rates of the consumers is explored in this research. A Bayesian updating process used in this context combines expert opinions with market data to improve the accuracy of the parameter estimates. The expected profit model investigated here captures the impact of juggling decision variables of 2-D pro-rated warranty and investigates the sensitivity of the total expected profit to the extent of mis-specification in prior information

Developing a Trade-off between Upgrade Action Time and Warranty Length for Second-hand Electrical Components

One way of improving the reliability and reducing the warranty servicing cost for second-hand items is through actions such as overhaul and upgrade which are carried out by the dealer or a third party. For second-hand electrical components, the improvement involves testing of items for a short time, called upgrade action time, before their release to the market. The items that fail during the test are scrapped or repaired; only items that survive the test are considered to be of good quality and released to the market. In this paper, a cost model is developed to achieve a trade-off between reducing the warranty servicing cost and increasing the upgrade action cost for a second-hand electrical component sold under various warranty policies

Warranty Data Analysis: A Review

Warranty claims and supplementary data contain useful information about product quality and reliability. Analysing such data can therefore be of benefit to manufacturers in identifying early warnings of abnormalities in their products, providing useful information about failure modes to aid design modification, estimating product reliability for deciding on warranty policy and forecasting future warranty claims needed for preparing fiscal plans. In the last two decades, considerable research has been conducted in warranty data analysis (WDA) from several different perspectives. This article attempts to summarise and review the research and developments in WDA with emphasis on models, methods and applications. It concludes with a brief discussion on current practices and possible future trends in WDA

Warranty and Sustainable Improvement of Used Products through Remanufacturing

Currently, a large number of used/second-hand products are being sold with remanufacturing. Remanufacturing is a process of bringing used products to a better functional state and can be applied as a way for (1) controlling the deterioration process, (2) reducing the likelihood of a failure over the warranty period and (3) making the used item effectively younger. Remanufacturing is relatively a new concept and has received very limited attention. In this paper, we develop an important sustainable improvement approach for used items sold with failure free warranty to determine the optimal improvement level. Our model makes a useful contribution to the reliability growth literature, as it captures the uncertainty and suggests improvement in the remanufacturing process. By using this model, the dealers can decide whether and how much to invest in remanufacturing projects

On how the acquisition of recoverable parts influences the profitability of spare parts management for durables

In the management of spare parts for durables OEMs often face a sharp decline in sales of spare parts when the warranty period of their products ends. One reason for this effect is given by the high profitability of the after sales market which attracts competitors. If the competitors’ main sourcing option consists of repairing used or broken parts, an acquisition of those parts by the OEM might lower competition and increase sales. The purpose of this paper is to provide a case-based framework to offer insights on the opportunity of recovering parts. We consider a two-stage supply chain, where independent repair shops are responsible for handling the repair process. There are two options to meet spare parts demand: repair shops may replace the part with a new one (ordered from the OEM) or they may use a part that they repaired before. While repair shops achieve a larger profit by repairing parts, the OEM would prefer the use of new parts. However, he has no control on demand which might be obtained through buyback of broken parts. Furthermore, the OEM could recover these parts on a higher level, thus reducing production/procurement of new parts. The main contribution of this paper is to elaborate the important effects of recoverable items acquisition on spare parts demand by using a simple deterministic framework thus outlining the impact of different parameters on the profitability of spare parts management.Closed-Loop Supply Chains, Spare Parts, Competition in Product Recovery, Case Study

Warranty and Maintainability Analysis for Sensor Embedded Remanufactured Products in Reverse Supply Chain Environment

Remanufactured products are very popular with consumers due to their appeal to offer the latest technology with lower prices compared to brand new products. The quality of a remanufactured product induces hesitation for many consumers, in regards to its efficacy and reliability. One stratagem that remanufacturers could employ to encourage customer security are product warranties. This paper studies and scrutinizes the impact that would be had by offering renewing warranties on remanufactured products. This study was able to determine the optimal costs of warranty for two-dimensional non-renewable warranty offered on remanufactured products using the simulation model and design of experiments

Architecting Fail-Safe Supply Chains / Networks

Disruptions are large-scale stochastic events that rarely happen but have a major effect on supply networks’ topology. Some examples include: air traffic being suspended due to weather or terrorism, labor unions strike, sanctions imposed or lifted, company mergers, etc. Variations are small-scale stochastic events that frequently happen but only have a trivial effect on the efficiency of flow planning in supply networks. Some examples include: fluctuations in market demands (e.g. demand is always stochastic in competitive markets) and performance of production facilities (e.g. there is not any perfect production system in reality). A fail-safe supply network is one that mitigates the impact of variations and disruptions and provides an acceptable level of service. This is achieved by keeping connectivity in its topology against disruptions (structurally fail-safe) and coordinating the flow through the facilities against variations (operationally fail-safe). In this talk, I will show that to have a structurally fail-safe supply network, its topology should be robust against disruptions by positioning mitigation strategies and be resilient in executing these strategies. Considering “Flexibility” as a risk mitigation strategy, I answer the question “What are the best flexibility levels and flexibility speeds for facilities in structurally fail-safe supply networks?” Also, I will show that to have an operationally fail-safe supply network, its flow dynamics should be reliable against demand- and supply-side variations. In the presence of these variations, I answer the question “What is the most profitable flow dynamics throughout a supply network that is reliable against variations?” The method is verified using data from an engine maker. Findings include: i) there is a tradeoff between robustness and resilience in profit-based supply networks; ii) this tradeoff is more stable in larger supply networks with higher product supply quantities; and iii) supply networks with higher reliability in their flow planning require more flexibilities to be robust. Finally, I will touch upon possible extensions of the work into non-profit relief networks for disaster management

Post-Sale Cost Modeling and Optimization Linking Warranty and Preventive Maintenance

Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH