Investigating Runway Incursions in The United States Airports

According to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the number of runway incursions are rising. Over the last two decades, the number of runway incursions at US airports has increased from 987 in 2002 to 25,036 in 2020. Runway incursions are a major threat to aviation safety, causing major delays and financial consequences for airlines, as well as injury or death through incidents such as aircraft collisions. The FAA promotes the implementation of runway safety technology, infrastructure, procedural methods, changing airport layouts, and training practices to reduce the frequency of runway incursions. In this paper, the relationship between airport geometry factors, mitigating technologies, and the number of runway incursions at large hub airports in the United States was investigated using Random Effects Poisson Model for Panel Data analyses. Airport operations data from the FAA Air Traffic Activity System, runway incursion data from the FAA Aviation Safety Information Analysis and Sharing System from 2002 through 2020, and airport geometry data created using airport geometry features from the FAA airport diagrams were collected. 30 large hub airports with FAA installed mitigating technologies were investigated. The model identified significant variables that correlate with incursions, based on airport geometry, for large hub airports categories defined by the National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS). The model results indicate that airport with significant number of runway-to-runway intersection points increase runway incursion rates and mitigating technologies ASDE-X and RSWL help reduce severity A and B incursions. Only four variables, “RWY_RWY, Airport operations, ASDE-X and RWSL”, were found to be significant

Applying Human Error Framework To Explore Prevention Strategies For Wrong Surface Events

Wrong surface events are a serious and ongoing risk to aviation safety in the United States National Airspace System. A wrong surface event occurs when an aircraft lands, departs or attempts to land or depart from a surface other than the intended landing or takeoff, also including aircraft landing at the wrong airport. This research examined the contextual factors that contributed to human error ultimately leading to wrong surface events, assessed the efficacy of technology that can be used to prevent, and aviation professional’s awareness of wrong surface events in order to determine prevention strategies that can reduce occurrences in the NAS. Four NTSB reports were reviewed to identify context that influences a pilot’s actions in wrong surface events. Next, flight deck and air traffic control tower based technologies were examined for their ability to detect and alert the conditions in the four event reports. Finally, eleven aviation professionals were interviewed to assess their awareness and knowledge of risks, strategies, historical events, and terminology related to wrong surface events. The results identified numerous recurring contextual factors in wrong surface events. While technology intended to prevent wrong surface events is improving, numerous shortfalls were identified that inhibit the system’s ability to effectively prevent such occurrences. Additionally, results showed an overall lack of awareness among pilots and a pilot training department of wrong surface events and their associated risks, suggesting that efforts to prevent wrong surface events through training are ineffective. The results give opportunities for human error mitigation strategies to be employed to reduce occurrences of wrong surface events

Data-Link and Surface Map Traffic Intent Displays for NextGen 4DT and Equivalent Visual Surface Operations

By 2025, U.S. air traffic is predicted to increase 3-fold and may strain the current air traffic management system, which may not be able to accommodate this growth. In response to this challenge, a consortium of industry, academia and government agencies have proposed a revolutionary new concept for U.S. aviation operations, termed the Next Generation Air Transportation System or "NextGen". Many key capabilities are being identified to enable NextGen, including the concept of "net-centric" operations whereby each aircraft and air services provider shares information to allow real-time adaptability to ever-changing factors such as weather, traffic, flight trajectories, and security. Data-link is likely to be the primary source of communication in NextGen. Because NextGen represents a radically different approach to air traffic management and requires a dramatic shift in the tasks, roles, and responsibilities for the flight deck, there are numerous research issues and challenges that must be overcome to ensure a safe, sustainable air transportation system. Flight deck display and crew-vehicle interaction concepts are being developed that proactively investigate and overcome potential technology and safety barriers that might otherwise constrain the full realization of NextGen

Systems Engineering Design of an Electronically Interactive Application for Runway Incursion Prevention

Runway Incursion is the leading cause of serious incidents or accidents in airports. One of the most common causes of a runway incursion is airport unfamiliarity. Therefore, the researcher designed an electronically interactive application as a practice tool for pilots to utilize during flight preparation. The objective of this application is to enhance airport familiarity to ultimately reduce runway incursion. This application is interactive, affordable, accessible, and mobile device-based. It was designed using the Systems Engineering approach, following Human Factors Engineering principles to make this application user-friendly and to provide optimized human machine interaction. A model-based Systems Engineering software-CORE was utilized to manage the system requirements and provide clear traceability and rationality for each function. A prototype of the interface was developed and evaluated using a heuristic evaluation approach. The experts participating in the evaluation generally agreed that this application would provide an enhanced learning experience of the airport environment during flight preparation rather than studying the FAA airport diagram alone. This project provides a guideline for Software engineers to program this application expeditiously with the least amount of confusion

Modelling airport surface safety: a framework for a holistic airport safety management

Airports are complex systems involving the continuous interaction of human operators with the physical infrastructure, technology and procedures to ensure the safe and efficient conduct of flights. From an operational perspective, airport surface operations (i.e. runway and taxiway operations) require the interaction of five main stakeholders (i.e. crew or pilots, air traffic control, airport operator, ground handling and regulator) both to facilitate the ground movement of aircraft and vehicles, and to maintain the surface in a working condition. The complexity of these operations makes the runway and taxiway system vulnerable and presents a risk of failure with the consequent potential for the occurrence of accidents. Therefore, the development and implementation of an effective Safety Management System (SMS) are required to ensure the highest level of safety for surface operations. A SMS is a systematic approach to managing safety based on the four cornerstones of safety policy and objectives, risk management, assurance, and safety promotion. Although the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) provides the global legislative framework for SMS, the relevant regulations are still to be established at the national level with the consequence that practical guidance on the development and implementation of SMS is rare, and reliable tools to support SMS are lacking. The consequence of this is that the current approach to surface safety management is piecemeal and not integrated. Typically, a single accident and incident type is investigated from the perspective of an individual stakeholder with the consequence that resulting proposals for safety mitigation measures are biased and limited in terms of their impact. In addition, the industry is characterised by non-standardised data collection and investigation practices, insufficient or missing definitions, differing reporting levels, and a lack of a coherent and standardised structure for efficient coding and analysis of safety data. Since these shortcomings are a major barrier to the required holistic and integrated approach to safety management, this thesis addresses the four cornerstones of SMS and recommends major enhancements. In particular, a framework for a holistic airport surface safety management is proposed. The framework comprises the static airport architecture, a process model of surface operations, the determination of causal factors underlying failure modes of these operations, a macroscopic scenario tool and a functional relationship model. Safety data and other data sources feed the framework and a dedicated data pre-processing strategy ensures its validity. Unlike current airport surface safety management practices, the proposed framework assesses the safety of the operations of all relevant actors. Firstly, the airport architecture is modelled and the physical and functional variability of airports defined. Secondly, a process model of surface operations is developed, which captures the tasks of the stakeholders and their interactions with physical airport surface infrastructure. This model serves as a baseline model and guides the further development of the airport SMS. To manage the safety of surface operations, the causes of accidents and incidents must be identified and their impacts understood. To do so, a reference data set combining twelve databases from airlines, airport operators, Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSPs), ground handling companies and regulators is collected. Prior to its analysis, the data is assessed for its quality, and in particular, for its internal validity (i.e. precision), external validity (i.e. accuracy) and in terms of reporting levels. A novel external data validation framework is developed and each database is rated with a data quality index (DQI). In addition, recommendations for reporting systems and safety policies are given. Subsequently, the data is analysed for causal factors across stakeholders and the contribution of the individual actors are highlighted. For example, the analysis shows that the various stakeholders capture different occurrence types and underlying causal factors, often including information that is of potential use for another party. The analysis is complemented by interviews, observations and statistical analysis, and the results are summarised in a new taxonomy. This taxonomy is applicable to all relevant stakeholders and is recommended for operational safety risk management. After the airport surface operations have been modelled and the drivers to safety identified, the results are combined, resulting in a macroscopic scenario tool which supports the management of change (i.e. safety assurance), training and education, and safety communication (i.e. safety promotion) functions of the SMS. Finally, a structured framework to assess the functional relationship between airport surface accidents / incidents and their underlying causal factors is proposed and the system is quantified in terms of safety. Compared to the state-of-the-art safety assessments that are biased and limited in terms of their impact, the holistic approach to surface safety allows modelling the safety impact of each system component, their interactions and the entire airport surface system architecture. The framework for a holistic airport surface safety management developed in this thesis delivers a SMS standard for airports. The standard exceeds international requirements by standardizing the two SMS core functions (safety risk management and safety assurance) and integrating safety-relevant information across all relevant stakeholders. This allows a more effective use of safety information and provides an improved overview on, and prediction of, safety risks and ultimately improves the safety level of airports and their stakeholders. Furthermore, the methodology employed in this thesis is flexible and could be applied to all aspects of aviation SMS and system analysis.Open Acces

Validation of New Technology using Legacy Metrics: Examination of Surf-IA Alerting for Runway Incursion Incidents

New flight deck technology designed to mitigate runway incursions may not be effective in triggering a flight deck alert to avoid high speed surface collisions for runway incursions classified as serious by legacy metrics. This study demonstrated an innovative method of utilizing expert raters and actual high-risk incidents to identify shortcomings of using legacy metrics to measure the effectiveness of new technology designed to mitigate hazardous incidents. Expert raters were used to validate the Enhanced Traffic Situational Awareness on the Airport Surface with Indications and Alerts (SURF-IA) model for providing alerts to pilots to reduce the occurrence of pilot deviation type runway incursion incidents categorized as serious (Category A or B) by the FAA/ICAO Runway Incursion Severity Classification (RISC) model. This study used archival data from Aviation Safety Information Analysis and Sharing (ASIAS) incident reports and video reenactments developed by the FAA Office of Runway Safety. Two expert raters reviewed nine pilot deviation type serious runway incursion incidents. The raters applied the baseline minimally compliant implementation of the RTCA/DO 323 SURF-IA model to determine which incidents would have an alerting SURF-IA outcome. Inter-rater reliability was determined by percentage agreement and Cohen’s kappa and indicated perfect agreement between the raters who assessed six of the incidents with a SURF-IA alerting outcome and three as non-alerting. Specific aircraft states were identified in the baseline SURF-IA model that precluded an outcome of a Warning or Caution alert for all pilot deviation type runway incursion incidents classified as serious by the FAA/ICAO RISC model: (a) wrong runway departures, (b) no alert if traffic entered runway after ownship lift-off from same runway, and (c) helicopter operations. The study concluded that the SURF-IA model did not yield an outcome of a Warning or Caution alert for all pilot deviation type runway incursion incidents classified as serious by the FAA/ICAO RISC model. Even if the SURF-IA model had performed to design, the best it could have achieved would have been a 70% alerting outcome for incidents classified as serious by the legacy RISC model metric. In the qualitative analysis both raters indicated that neither the legacy RISC definition of on-runway nor the SURF-IA definition was appropriate. Hence, the raters’ recommendation was not to adopt either model’s definition, but rather develop an entirely new definition through further study. The raters were explicit about the criticality of appropriate and harmonized definitions used in the models. The different outcomes between the RISC and SURF-IA models may result in misleading information when using the reduction in serious runway incursion incidents as a metric for the benefit of SURF-IA technology. It is recommended that prior to using the ASIAS runway incursion data as a metric for the benefit of SURF-IA, the FAA develop a process for identifying and tracking ASIAS reported PD type serious runway incursion incidents which will not trigger a SURF-IA alert. Consideration should be made to improving the SURF-IA model technical capabilities to accommodate all possible aircraft states that the RISC model would classify as serious runway incursion incidents

Evaluation of Mixed-Mode Data-Link Communications for NextGen 4DT and Equivalent Visual Surface Operations

By 2025, U.S. air traffic is predicted to increase 3-fold and may strain the current air traffic management system, which may not be able to accommodate this growth. In response to this challenge, a revolutionary new concept has been proposed for U.S. aviation operations, termed the Next Generation Air Transportation System or NextGen. Many key capabilities are being identified to enable NextGen, including the use of data-link communications. Because NextGen represents a radically different approach to air traffic management and requires a dramatic shift in the tasks, roles, and responsibilities for the flight deck, there are numerous research issues and challenges that must be overcome to ensure a safe, sustainable air transportation system. Flight deck display and crew-vehicle interaction concepts are being developed that proactively investigate and overcome potential technology and safety barriers that might otherwise constrain the full realization of NextGen. The paper describes simulation research examining data-link communications during 4DT and equivalent visual surface operations

Definition of the 2005 flight deck environment

A detailed description of the functional requirements necessary to complete any normal commercial flight or to handle any plausible abnormal situation is provided. This analysis is enhanced with an examination of possible future developments and constraints in the areas of air traffic organization and flight deck technologies (including new devices and procedures) which may influence the design of 2005 flight decks. This study includes a discussion on the importance of a systematic approach to identifying and solving flight deck information management issues, and a description of how the present work can be utilized as part of this approach. While the intent of this study was to investigate issues surrounding information management in 2005-era supersonic commercial transports, this document may be applicable to any research endeavor related to future flight deck system design in either supersonic or subsonic airplane development

Airport surface operations requirements analysis

This report documents the results of the Airport Surface Operations Requirements Analysis (ASORA) study. This study was conducted in response to task 24 of NASA Contract NAS1-18027. This study is part of NASA LaRC's Low Visibility Surface Operations program, which is designed to eliminate the constraints on all-weather arrival/departure operations due to the airport/aircraft ground system. The goal of this program is to provide the capability for safe and efficient aircraft operations on the airport surface during low visibility conditions down to zero. The ASORA study objectives were to (1) develop requirements for operation on the airport surface in visibilities down to zero; (2) survey and evaluate likely technologies; (3) develop candidate concepts to meet the requirements; and (4) select the most suitable concept based on cost/benefit factors