2,477 research outputs found
Quantifying 'causality' in complex systems: Understanding Transfer Entropy
'Causal' direction is of great importance when dealing with complex systems.
Often big volumes of data in the form of time series are available and it is
important to develop methods that can inform about possible causal connections
between the different observables. Here we investigate the ability of the
Transfer Entropy measure to identify causal relations embedded in emergent
coherent correlations. We do this by firstly applying Transfer Entropy to an
amended Ising model. In addition we use a simple Random Transition model to
test the reliability of Transfer Entropy as a measure of `causal' direction in
the presence of stochastic fluctuations. In particular we systematically study
the effect of the finite size of data sets
Multivariate Granger Causality and Generalized Variance
Granger causality analysis is a popular method for inference on directed
interactions in complex systems of many variables. A shortcoming of the
standard framework for Granger causality is that it only allows for examination
of interactions between single (univariate) variables within a system, perhaps
conditioned on other variables. However, interactions do not necessarily take
place between single variables, but may occur among groups, or "ensembles", of
variables. In this study we establish a principled framework for Granger
causality in the context of causal interactions among two or more multivariate
sets of variables. Building on Geweke's seminal 1982 work, we offer new
justifications for one particular form of multivariate Granger causality based
on the generalized variances of residual errors. Taken together, our results
support a comprehensive and theoretically consistent extension of Granger
causality to the multivariate case. Treated individually, they highlight
several specific advantages of the generalized variance measure, which we
illustrate using applications in neuroscience as an example. We further show
how the measure can be used to define "partial" Granger causality in the
multivariate context and we also motivate reformulations of "causal density"
and "Granger autonomy". Our results are directly applicable to experimental
data and promise to reveal new types of functional relations in complex
systems, neural and otherwise.Comment: added 1 reference, minor change to discussion, typos corrected; 28
pages, 3 figures, 1 table, LaTe
On directed information theory and Granger causality graphs
Directed information theory deals with communication channels with feedback.
When applied to networks, a natural extension based on causal conditioning is
needed. We show here that measures built from directed information theory in
networks can be used to assess Granger causality graphs of stochastic
processes. We show that directed information theory includes measures such as
the transfer entropy, and that it is the adequate information theoretic
framework needed for neuroscience applications, such as connectivity inference
problems.Comment: accepted for publications, Journal of Computational Neuroscienc
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