5,155 research outputs found
Kernel Interpolation for Scalable Structured Gaussian Processes (KISS-GP)
We introduce a new structured kernel interpolation (SKI) framework, which
generalises and unifies inducing point methods for scalable Gaussian processes
(GPs). SKI methods produce kernel approximations for fast computations through
kernel interpolation. The SKI framework clarifies how the quality of an
inducing point approach depends on the number of inducing (aka interpolation)
points, interpolation strategy, and GP covariance kernel. SKI also provides a
mechanism to create new scalable kernel methods, through choosing different
kernel interpolation strategies. Using SKI, with local cubic kernel
interpolation, we introduce KISS-GP, which is 1) more scalable than inducing
point alternatives, 2) naturally enables Kronecker and Toeplitz algebra for
substantial additional gains in scalability, without requiring any grid data,
and 3) can be used for fast and expressive kernel learning. KISS-GP costs O(n)
time and storage for GP inference. We evaluate KISS-GP for kernel matrix
approximation, kernel learning, and natural sound modelling.Comment: 19 pages, 4 figure
Multiple Kernel Learning: A Unifying Probabilistic Viewpoint
We present a probabilistic viewpoint to multiple kernel learning unifying
well-known regularised risk approaches and recent advances in approximate
Bayesian inference relaxations. The framework proposes a general objective
function suitable for regression, robust regression and classification that is
lower bound of the marginal likelihood and contains many regularised risk
approaches as special cases. Furthermore, we derive an efficient and provably
convergent optimisation algorithm
Large-scale Heteroscedastic Regression via Gaussian Process
Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations
has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here
we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which
integrates the latent function and the noise function together in a unified
non-parametric Bayesian framework. Though showing remarkable performance, HGP
suffers from the cubic time complexity, which strictly limits its application
to big data. To improve the scalability, we first develop a variational sparse
inference algorithm, named VSHGP, to handle large-scale datasets. Furthermore,
two variants are developed to improve the scalability and capability of VSHGP.
The first is stochastic VSHGP (SVSHGP) which derives a factorized evidence
lower bound, thus enhancing efficient stochastic variational inference. The
second is distributed VSHGP (DVSHGP) which (i) follows the Bayesian committee
machine formalism to distribute computations over multiple local VSHGP experts
with many inducing points; and (ii) adopts hybrid parameters for experts to
guard against over-fitting and capture local variety. The superiority of DVSHGP
and SVSHGP as compared to existing scalable heteroscedastic/homoscedastic GPs
is then extensively verified on various datasets.Comment: 14 pages, 15 figure
Forecasting of commercial sales with large scale Gaussian Processes
This paper argues that there has not been enough discussion in the field of
applications of Gaussian Process for the fast moving consumer goods industry.
Yet, this technique can be important as it e.g., can provide automatic feature
relevance determination and the posterior mean can unlock insights on the data.
Significant challenges are the large size and high dimensionality of commercial
data at a point of sale. The study reviews approaches in the Gaussian Processes
modeling for large data sets, evaluates their performance on commercial sales
and shows value of this type of models as a decision-making tool for
management.Comment: 1o pages, 5 figure
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