A Simulation-based Approach for Solving Temporal Markov Problems

Time is a crucial variable in planning and often requires special attention since it introduces a specific structure along with additional complexity, especially in the case of decision under uncertainty. In this paper, after reviewing and comparing MDP frameworks designed to deal with temporal problems, we focus on Generalized Semi-Markov Decision Processes (GSMDP) with observable time. We highlight the inherent structure and complexity of these problems and present the differences with classical reinforcement learning problems. Finally, we introduce a new simulation-based reinforcement learning method for solving GSMDP, bringing together results from simulation-based policy iteration, regression techniques and simulation theory. We illustrate our approach on a subway network control example

Une Approche basée sur la Simulation pour l'Optimisation des Processus Décisionnels Semi-Markoviens Généralisés

Time is a crucial variable in planning and often requires special attention since it introduces a specific structure along with additional complexity, especially in the case of decision under uncertainty. In this paper, after reviewing and comparing MDP frameworks designed to deal with temporal problems, we focus on Generalized Semi-Markov Decision Processes (GSMDP) with observable time. We highlight the inherent structure and complexity of these problems and present the differences with classical reinforcement learning problems. Finally, we introduce a new simulation-based reinforcement learning method for solving GSMDP, bringing together results from simulation-based policy iteration, regression techniques and simulation theory. We illustrate our approach on a subway network control example

Self-Evaluation Applied Mathematics 2003-2008 University of Twente

This report contains the self-study for the research assessment of the Department of Applied Mathematics (AM) of the Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science (EEMCS) at the University of Twente (UT). The report provides the information for the Research Assessment Committee for Applied Mathematics, dealing with mathematical sciences at the three universities of technology in the Netherlands. It describes the state of affairs pertaining to the period 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2008

Maximum Margin Clustering for State Decomposition of Metastable Systems

When studying a metastable dynamical system, a prime concern is how to decompose the phase space into a set of metastable states. Unfortunately, the metastable state decomposition based on simulation or experimental data is still a challenge. The most popular and simplest approach is geometric clustering which is developed based on the classical clustering technique. However, the prerequisites of this approach are: (1) data are obtained from simulations or experiments which are in global equilibrium and (2) the coordinate system is appropriately selected. Recently, the kinetic clustering approach based on phase space discretization and transition probability estimation has drawn much attention due to its applicability to more general cases, but the choice of discretization policy is a difficult task. In this paper, a new decomposition method designated as maximum margin metastable clustering is proposed, which converts the problem of metastable state decomposition to a semi-supervised learning problem so that the large margin technique can be utilized to search for the optimal decomposition without phase space discretization. Moreover, several simulation examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method

From Infinite to Finite Programs: Explicit Error Bounds with Applications to Approximate Dynamic Programming

We consider linear programming (LP) problems in infinite dimensional spaces that are in general computationally intractable. Under suitable assumptions, we develop an approximation bridge from the infinite-dimensional LP to tractable finite convex programs in which the performance of the approximation is quantified explicitly. To this end, we adopt the recent developments in two areas of randomized optimization and first order methods, leading to a priori as well as a posterior performance guarantees. We illustrate the generality and implications of our theoretical results in the special case of the long-run average cost and discounted cost optimal control problems for Markov decision processes on Borel spaces. The applicability of the theoretical results is demonstrated through a constrained linear quadratic optimal control problem and a fisheries management problem.Comment: 30 pages, 5 figure

Approximate Policy Iteration for Generalized Semi-Markov Decision Processes: an Improved Algorithm

In the context of time-dependent problems of planning under uncertainty, most of the problem's complexity comes from the concurrent interaction of simultaneous processes. Generalized Semi-Markov Decision Processes represent an efficient formalism to capture both concurrency of events and actions and uncertainty. We introduce GSMDP with observable time and hybrid state space and present an new algorithm based on Approximate Policy Iteration to generate efficient policies. This algorithm relies on simulation-based exploration and makes use of SVM regression. We experimentally illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of this algorithm and propose an improved version based on the weaknesses highlighted by the experiments