21,415 research outputs found
Exact approximation of Rao-Blackwellised particle filters
Particle methods are a category of Monte Carlo algorithms that have become popular for performing inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. The class of 'Rao-Blackwellised' particle filters exploits the analytic marginalisation that is possible for some state-
space models to reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo estimates. Despite being applicable to only a restricted class of state-space models, such as conditionally linear Gaussian models, these algorithms have found numerous applications. In scenarios where no such analytical integration is possible, it has recently been proposed in Chen et al. [2011] to use 'local' particle filters to
carry out this integration numerically. We propose here an alternative approach also relying on \local" particle filters which is more broadly applicable and has attractive theoretical properties. Proof-of-concept simulation results are presented
The Ensemble Kalman Filter: A Signal Processing Perspective
The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo based implementation of
the Kalman filter (KF) for extremely high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear and
non-Gaussian state estimation problems. Its ability to handle state dimensions
in the order of millions has made the EnKF a popular algorithm in different
geoscientific disciplines. Despite a similarly vital need for scalable
algorithms in signal processing, e.g., to make sense of the ever increasing
amount of sensor data, the EnKF is hardly discussed in our field.
This self-contained review paper is aimed at signal processing researchers
and provides all the knowledge to get started with the EnKF. The algorithm is
derived in a KF framework, without the often encountered geoscientific
terminology. Algorithmic challenges and required extensions of the EnKF are
provided, as well as relations to sigma-point KF and particle filters. The
relevant EnKF literature is summarized in an extensive survey and unique
simulation examples, including popular benchmark problems, complement the
theory with practical insights. The signal processing perspective highlights
new directions of research and facilitates the exchange of potentially
beneficial ideas, both for the EnKF and high-dimensional nonlinear and
non-Gaussian filtering in general
Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease
A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, whenand to whom to apply an intervention.We develop a framework for using data to informthese decisionsin realtime.We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, oneper treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious diseaseto a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategyoptimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographicfootprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategyfor an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interferencebetween locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number oflocations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at outbreak.We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combinessimulation–optimization with Thompson sampling.The estimator proposed performs favourablyin simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread ofwhite nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations inNorth America
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