3,776 research outputs found

    A unified methodology of maintenance management for repairable systems based on optimal stopping theory

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    This dissertation focuses on the study of maintenance management for repairable systems based on optimal stopping theory. From reliability engineering’s point of view, all systems are subject to deterioration with age and usage. System deterioration can take various forms, including wear, fatigue, fracture, cracking, breaking, corrosion, erosion and instability, any of which may ultimately cause the system to fail to perform its required function. Consequently, controlling system deterioration through maintenance and thus controlling the risk of system failure becomes beneficial or even necessary. Decision makers constantly face two fundamental problems with respect to system maintenance. One is whether or when preventive maintenance should be performed in order to avoid costly failures. The other problem is how to make the choice among different maintenance actions in response to a system failure. The whole purpose of maintenance management is to keep the system in good working condition at a reasonably low cost, thus the tradeoff between cost and condition plays a central role in the study of maintenance management, which demands rigorous optimization. The agenda of this research is to develop a unified methodology for modeling and optimization of maintenance systems. A general modeling framework with six classifying criteria is to be developed to formulate and analyze a wide range of maintenance systems which include many existing models in the literature. A unified optimization procedure is developed based on optimal stopping, semi-martingale, and lambda-maximization techniques to solve these models contained in the framework. A comprehensive model is proposed and solved in this general framework using the developed procedure which incorporates many other models as special cases. Policy comparison and policy optimality are studied to offer further insights. Along the theoretical development, numerical examples are provided to illustrate the applicability of the methodology. The main contribution of this research is that the unified modeling framework and systematic optimization procedure structurize the pool of models and policies, weed out non-optimal policies, and establish a theoretical foundation for further development

    Structured Learning and Decision Making for Maintenance

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    Maintenance optimization for a Markovian deteriorating system with population heterogeneity

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    We develop a partially observable Markov decision process model to incorporate population heterogeneity when scheduling replacements for a deteriorating system. The single-component system deteriorates over a finite set of condition states according to a Markov chain. The population of spare components that is available for replacements is composed of multiple component types that cannot be distinguished by their exterior appearance but deteriorate according to different transition probability matrices. This situation may arise, for example, because of variations in the production process of components. We provide a set of conditions for which we characterize the structure of the optimal policy that minimizes the total expected discounted operating and replacement cost over an infinite horizon. In a numerical experiment, we benchmark the optimal policy against a heuristic policy that neglects population heterogeneity

    The establishment of the time interval between inspections for a cold standby system with component repair

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    The time interval between inspections of cold standby systems is a crucial decision to ensure the appropriated system reliability and the lowest costs possible. This paper presents a model developed to establish the optimal time interval between inspections for a two-unit cold standby system with component repair and subject to periodic inspection, considering reliability and costs. A Markov chain is used to define possible states, their transition probabilities and the mean time to system failure, as a function of the time interval between inspections. Given the mean time to system failure, the steady state availability is determined. Finally, the costs related to the system maintenance are established and a cost function is developed and optimized for the time interval between inspections. Numerical examples are presented and results for different system parameters are compared. Besides optimizing the time interval between inspections, the analyses also reveal the effect of repair time on system availability and mean time to system failure

    Study On Impact Of Dust Particles Towards Planetary Ball Milling Machine's Maintenance, Reliability And Performance Using DOE.

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    Di industri pengeluaran, keupayaan untuk memenuhi kehendak pelanggan dari segi masa penghantaran dan qualiti produk merupakan objektif utama bagi setiap pengeluar. Salah satu kriteria untuk mencapai objektif ini ialah dengan memastikan mesin-mesin untuk proses pengeluaran beroperasi dengan lancar tanpa atau kurang berlakunya kerosakan secara tiba-tiba . Preventive Maintenance (PM) is one of the strategies that can be applied to reduce the machine breakdown problem due to unplanned maintenance. However, the application of PM in term of when is the best time to carry out the PM is an important issue. The answer to this question should be based on an adequate maintenance analysis

    Production and maintenance planning of deteriorating manufacturing systems taking into account the quality of products

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    The research work presented in this thesis addresses the integration of quality aspects in the development of stochastic dynamic programming models. The goal is to determine the joint optimal production planning, and several maintenance strategies for an unreliable and deteriorating manufacturing system. In particular, we conjecture that deterioration has a severe influence on various aspects of the machine, thus this leads to divide our research work in three (3) phases. In the first one, we analyze the simultaneous production planning and quality control problem for an unreliable manufacturing system. The machine is subject to deterioration whose effect is observed mainly on the quality throughput. The quality related decisions involves a major overhaul strategy that counters the effect of deterioration. A simulation optimization approach is applied to determine the optimal control policy, providing a better understanding about the influence of quality deterioration on such system. The second phase of the research analyzes the fact where the deterioration of the production system is originated by a combination of several factors. We consider that the system deteriorates by the combined effect of the wear of the machine and imperfect repairs. Multiple operational states are implemented to model variations on the rate of defectives. Furthermore at failure, either a repair or a major overhaul can be conducted; however the machine deteriorates even more following repairs. We use a Semi-arkov decision model, since the rate of defectives is depended of the machine’s history denoted by the number of repairs and the set of multiple operational states. Then the simultaneous production plan, and repair/overhaul switching strategy are determined through numerical methods. The third phase complements the previous models by considering that the deterioration of the production systems has a twofold effect that decreases the quality of the parts produced and also increases the failure intensity. We employ the age of the machine to denote the progressive deterioration. At failure it is conducted a minimal repair that leaves the machine at the same level of deterioration before failure. To counter completely the effect of deterioration it can be performed a major overhaul. Moreover, this phase introduces preventive maintenance strategies to reduce partially the level of deterioration. This set of characteristics yields to formulate a Semi-Markov model that thorough numerical methods, we determine the joint optimal production plan and the overhaul and preventive maintenance strategies. This model clarifies the role of quality aspects on the optimal control policy. In this way our research deepens the effects of quality aspects and deterioration on the optimal control policy, and provides interesting contributions to the domain of stochastic control of manufacturing systems. Additionally, a number of numerical examples are conducted as illustration, and extensive sensitivity analyses are presented with the purpose to confirm the structure and validity of the obtained control policies. The models developed in this thesis provide further insights into the relations between the production policy and quality aspects in the context of deterioration, and also contribute to a better understanding about the behavior of stochastic manufacturing systems

    Post-Sale Cost Modeling and Optimization Linking Warranty and Preventive Maintenance

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    Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

    Commande optimale stochastique appliquée à la gestion de capacité des systèmes dynamiques en environnement manufacturier

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    Le travail presente dans cette these porte sur I'approche integree de gestion optimale de production, de capacite, de remplacement, de maintenance corrective et preventive des ressources d'un systeme manufacturier. Lesdites ressources sont sujettes a une degradation progressive dans un environnement caracterise par des incertitudes. Le travail est developpe en quatre (04) phases. Dans la premiere phase, une etude est menee sur I'impact de I'introduction des strategies de maintenance corrective des equipements sur les decisions d'acquisition de capacite et de planification de la production. Le systeme constitue de plusieurs machines est modelise par un processus qui depend de la politique de maintenance corrective. Le probleme d'optimisation est ensuite resolu par des methodes numeriques. L'introduction des stratégies de maintenance corrective dans le modele propose permet d'ameliorer la disponibilite des machines et reduit le cout total encouru, compare aux modeles existants. Cependant, dans cette premiere phase, nous ne tenons pas compte de la degradation de la machine, phenomene pourtant inherent en contexte manufacturier. En effet, les machines des systemes de production sont remplacees a long terme, ce qui demontre qu'il y a une degradation progressive. La deuxieme phase du travail a permis de prendre en compte cette realite. Pour cela, nous avons travaille sur des machines pour lesquelles le vieillissement se traduit par l'age que prend la machine chaque fois qu'une piece est fabriquee. De plus, le temps de reparation de ces machines croit avec le nombre de pannes. Une approche de recherche simultanee des strategies de production, de reparation et du remplacement de la machine est utilisee pour determiner les politiques optimales de reparation, de remplacement et de production. Bien que les temps de reparation deviennent de plus en plus longs au fil des reparations, dans cette phase, nous considerons que les activites de maintenance permettent de remettre l'age de la machine a zero, ce qui n'est pas realiste. D'ou I'apport de la prochaine phase. Dans la troisieme phase, les machines apres reparation ont un age non nul, appele age virtuel de la machine. Une approche hierarchique de prise de decision permettant au premier niveau de determiner la politique de reparation/remplacement de la machine et au second niveau la politique de production est utilisee. EUe montre que sous des hypotheses raisonnables, les decisions de reparation ou de remplacement peuvent etre fondees sur I'age de la machine et le nombre de paimes. Le niveau operatioimel de gestion peut ensuite determiner un plan de production pour le systeme en tenant compte de ces decisions. Les phases deux (02) et trois (03) de notre travail apportent une contribution importante. Elles permettent de montrer que le nombre de pieces a mettre en stock pour se proteger des penuries durant les periodes de non production n'augmente pas seulement avec l'age de la machine, mais qu'il augmente egalement avec le nombre de paimes. Nous ne pouvions conclure ce travail sans explorer l'impact de I'introduction des stratégies de maintenance preventive. En effet, la maintenance preventive est une des pratiques les plus courantes dans I'industrie manufacturiere. Elle permet d'ameliorer la disponibilite des equipements lorsque ces demiers subissent une degradation progressive et nous 1'avons integree dans la demiere phase. Dans la quatrieme phase de ce travail, nous introduisons la strategic de maintenance preventive et analysons son effet sur les differentes politiques. Le systeme est modelise par un processus qui prend en compte la deterioration et la maintenance preventive. Le modele est resolu par des methodes numeriques. Des analyses de sensibilite sont elaborees pour montrer la pertinence de I'approche et I'impact de I'introduction des strategies de maintenance preventive

    A study in joint maintenance scheduling and production planning

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    Master'sMASTER OF ENGINEERIN

    Survival Analysis of Bridge Superstructures in Wisconsin

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    Although survival analyses have long been used in biomedical research, their application to engineering in general, and bridge engineering in particular, is a more recent phenomenon. In this research, survival (reliability) of bridge superstructures in Wisconsin was investigated using the Hypertabastic accelerated failure time model. The 2012 National Bridge Inventory (NBI) data for the State ofWisconsin were used for the analyses. A recorded NBI superstructure condition rating of 5 was chosen as the end of service life. The type of bridge superstructure, bridge age, maximum span length (MSL) and average daily traffic (ADT) were considered as possible risk factors in the survival of bridge superstructures. Results show that ADT and MSL can substantially affect the survival of bridge superstructures at various ages. The reliability of Wisconsin superstructures at the ages of 50 and 75 years is on the order of 63% and 18%, respectively, when the ADT and MSL values are at Wisconsin’s mean values
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