2,161 research outputs found

    How do medical researchers make causal inferences?

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    Bradford Hill (1965) highlighted nine aspects of the complex evidential situation a medical researcher faces when determining whether a causal relation exists between a disease and various conditions associated with it. These aspects are widely cited in the literature on epidemiological inference as justifying an inference to a causal claim, but the epistemological basis of the Hill aspects is not understood. We offer an explanatory coherentist interpretation, explicated by Thagard's ECHO model of explanatory coherence. The ECHO model captures the complexity of epidemiological inference and provides a tractable model for inferring disease causation. We apply this model to three cases: the inference of a causal connection between the Zika virus and birth defects, the classic inference that smoking causes cancer, and John Snow’s inference about the cause of cholera

    Abductive Action Inference

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    Abductive reasoning aims to make the most likely inference for a given set of incomplete observations. In this work, we propose a new task called abductive action inference, in which given a situation, the model answers the question `what actions were executed by the human in order to arrive in the current state?'. Given a state, we investigate three abductive inference problems: action set prediction, action sequence prediction, and abductive action verification. We benchmark several SOTA models such as Transformers, Graph neural networks, CLIP, BLIP, end-to-end trained Slow-Fast, and Resnet50-3D models. Our newly proposed object-relational BiGED model outperforms all other methods on this challenging task on the Action Genome dataset. Codes will be made available.Comment: 16 pages, 9 figure

    CBR and MBR techniques: review for an application in the emergencies domain

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    The purpose of this document is to provide an in-depth analysis of current reasoning engine practice and the integration strategies of Case Based Reasoning and Model Based Reasoning that will be used in the design and development of the RIMSAT system. RIMSAT (Remote Intelligent Management Support and Training) is a European Commission funded project designed to: a.. Provide an innovative, 'intelligent', knowledge based solution aimed at improving the quality of critical decisions b.. Enhance the competencies and responsiveness of individuals and organisations involved in highly complex, safety critical incidents - irrespective of their location. In other words, RIMSAT aims to design and implement a decision support system that using Case Base Reasoning as well as Model Base Reasoning technology is applied in the management of emergency situations. This document is part of a deliverable for RIMSAT project, and although it has been done in close contact with the requirements of the project, it provides an overview wide enough for providing a state of the art in integration strategies between CBR and MBR technologies.Postprint (published version
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