6,537 research outputs found
A Multi-agent Q-learning Framework for Optimizing Stock Trading Systems
Abstract. This paper presents a reinforcement learning framework for stock trading systems. Trading system parameters are optimized by Q-learning algorithm and neural networks are adopted for value approxi-mation. In this framework, cooperative multiple agents are used to ef-ficiently integrate global trend prediction and local trading strategy for obtaining better trading performance. Agents communicate with others sharing training episodes and learned policies, while keeping the overall scheme of conventional Q-learning. Experimental results on KOSPI 200 show that a trading system based on the proposed framework outper-forms the market average and makes appreciable profits. Furthermore, in view of risk management, the system is superior to a system trained by supervised learning.
An Investigation Report on Auction Mechanism Design
Auctions are markets with strict regulations governing the information
available to traders in the market and the possible actions they can take.
Since well designed auctions achieve desirable economic outcomes, they have
been widely used in solving real-world optimization problems, and in
structuring stock or futures exchanges. Auctions also provide a very valuable
testing-ground for economic theory, and they play an important role in
computer-based control systems.
Auction mechanism design aims to manipulate the rules of an auction in order
to achieve specific goals. Economists traditionally use mathematical methods,
mainly game theory, to analyze auctions and design new auction forms. However,
due to the high complexity of auctions, the mathematical models are typically
simplified to obtain results, and this makes it difficult to apply results
derived from such models to market environments in the real world. As a result,
researchers are turning to empirical approaches.
This report aims to survey the theoretical and empirical approaches to
designing auction mechanisms and trading strategies with more weights on
empirical ones, and build the foundation for further research in the field
Reinforcement learning for finance: A review
This paper provides a comprehensive review of the application of Reinforcement Learning (RL) in the domain of finance, shedding light on the groundbreaking progress achieved and the challenges that lie ahead. We explore how RL, a subfield of machine learning, has been instrumental in solving complex financial problems by enabling decision-making processes that optimize long-term rewards. Reinforcement learning (RL) is a powerful machine learning technique that can be used to train agents to make decisions in complex environments. In finance, RL has been used to solve a variety of problems, including optimal execution, portfolio optimization, option pricing and hedging, market making, smart order routing, and robo-advising. In this paper, we review the recent developments in RL for finance. We begin by introducing RL and Markov decision processes (MDPs), which is the mathematical framework for RL. We then discuss the various RL algorithms that have been used in finance, with a focus on value-based and policy-based methods. We also discuss the use of neural networks in RL for finance. Finally, we discuss the results of recent studies that have used RL to solve financial problems. We conclude by discussing the challenges and opportunities for future research in RL for finance.Este artículo ofrece una revisión exhaustiva de la aplicación del aprendizaje por refuerzo (AR) en el dominio de las finanzas, y arroja una luz sobre el innovador progreso alcanzado y los desafíos que se avecinan. Exploramos cómo el AR, un subcampo del aprendizaje automático, ha sido instrumental para resolver problemas financieros complejos al permitir procesos de toma de decisiones que optimizan las recompensas a largo plazo. El AR es una poderosa técnica de aprendizaje automático que se puede utilizar para entrenar a agentes a fin de tomar decisiones en entornos complejos. En finanzas, el AR se ha utilizado para resolver una variedad de problemas, incluyendo la ejecución óptima, la optimización de carteras, la valoración y cobertura de opciones, la creación de mercados, el enrutamiento inteligente de órdenes y el robo-asesoramiento. En este artículo revisamos los desarrollos recientes en AR para finanzas. Comenzamos proporcionando una introducción al AR y a los procesos de decisión de Markov (MDP), que es el marco matemático para el AR. Luego discutimos los diversos algoritmos de AR que se han utilizado en finanzas, con un enfoque en métodos basados en valor y políticas. También discutimos el uso de redes neuronales en AR para finanzas. Finalmente, abordamos los resultados de estudios recientes que han utilizado AR para resolver problemas financieros. Concluimos discutiendo los desafíos y las oportunidades para futuras investigaciones en AR para finanzas
Interpreting Business Strategy and Market Dynamics: A Multi-Method AI Approach
This research paper presents an integrated approach that combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Q-Learning, Monte Carlo methods, and Text-to-Text Transfer Transformer (T5) to analyze and evaluate the business strategies of public companies. Leveraging a large and diverse dataset sourced from multiple reliable sources, the study examines corporate strategies and their impact on market dynamics. LSTM and Q-Learning are employed to process sequential data, enabling informed decision-making in simulated market environments and providing insights into potential outcomes of different strategies. The Monte Carlo method manages uncertainty, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of risks and rewards associated with specific strategies. T5 interprets textual data from earnings calls, press releases, and industry reports, offering a deeper understanding of strategic changes and market sentiments. The integration of these techniques enhances the evaluation of business strategies, enabling decision-makers to anticipate future market scenarios and make informed strategic shifts. Overall, this integrated approach provides a comprehensive framework for evaluating and anticipating market dynamics, enhancing the assessment and adjustment of public companies\u27 business decisions
MetaTrader: An Reinforcement Learning Approach Integrating Diverse Policies for Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio management is a fundamental problem in finance. It involves
periodic reallocations of assets to maximize the expected returns within an
appropriate level of risk exposure. Deep reinforcement learning (RL) has been
considered a promising approach to solving this problem owing to its strong
capability in sequential decision making. However, due to the non-stationary
nature of financial markets, applying RL techniques to portfolio optimization
remains a challenging problem. Extracting trading knowledge from various expert
strategies could be helpful for agents to accommodate the changing markets. In
this paper, we propose MetaTrader, a novel two-stage RL-based approach for
portfolio management, which learns to integrate diverse trading policies to
adapt to various market conditions. In the first stage, MetaTrader incorporates
an imitation learning objective into the reinforcement learning framework.
Through imitating different expert demonstrations, MetaTrader acquires a set of
trading policies with great diversity. In the second stage, MetaTrader learns a
meta-policy to recognize the market conditions and decide on the most proper
learned policy to follow. We evaluate the proposed approach on three real-world
index datasets and compare it to state-of-the-art baselines. The empirical
results demonstrate that MetaTrader significantly outperforms those baselines
in balancing profits and risks. Furthermore, thorough ablation studies validate
the effectiveness of the components in the proposed approach
- …