8 research outputs found

    GIS and Remote Sensing for Renewable Energy Assessment and Maps

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    This book aims at providing the state-of-the-art on all of the aforementioned tools in different energy applications and at different scales, i.e., urban, regional, national, and even continental for renewable scenarios planning and policy making

    Decarbonization cost of Bangladesh's energy sector: Influence of corruption

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    As a rapidly developing lower-middle income country, Bangladesh has been maintaining a steady growth of +5% in the gross domestic product (GDP) annually since 2004, eventually reaching 7.1% in 2016. The country is targeting to become uppermiddle- income and developed by 2021 and 2041 respectively, which translates to an annual GDP growth rate of 7.58% during this period. The bulk of this growth is expected to come from the manufacturing sector, the significant shift towards which started at the turn of this century. Energy intensity of manufacturing-based growth is higher, the evidence of which can be seen in the 3.17 times increase in national energy consumption between 2001 and 2014. Also, Bangladesh aims to achieve 100% electrification rate by 2021 against an annual population growth rate of 1.08%. With the increasing per capita income, there is now a growing middle class fuelling the growth in demand for convenient forms of energy. Considering the above drivers, the Bangladesh 2050 Pathways Model suggested 35 times higher energy demand than that of 2010 by 2050. The government and private sector have started a substantial amount of investments in the energy sector to meet the signi ficant future demand. Approximately US104billionwouldbeinvestedinthepowersectorofBangladeshforestablishing33GWinstalledcapacityby2030,themajorityofwhichwouldbefinancedbynationalandinternationalloans.However,Bangladeshisoneofthemostcorruptedcountryintheworldwhichmayinfluencetheenergyplanningdevelopment.ThecurrentpoliciesofBangladeshpowersectorpavedthefuturedirectiontowardspredominantlycoalbasedenergymixwhichwouldaugmentthegreenhousegas(GHG)emissionsfivetimes(117.5MtCO2e)in2030thanthatof2010.ByincreasingGHGemissions,thecountrywouldunderminetheworldwideeffortofkeepingglobaltemperaturerisein21stcenturybelow2°C,aspertheParisagreementandCOP21.VTheobjectiveofthisresearchwastodevelopaframeworktoexplorethecostofdecarbonizingtheBangladeshsenergysectorby2050.Forthestudy,sixemissionsscenariosbusinessasusual(BAU),currentpolicy(CPS),highcarbon(HCS),mediumcarbon(MCS),lowcarbon(LCS)andzerocarbonscenarios(ZCS),andthreeeconomicconditionshigh,averageandlowcostwereconsidered.Thecombinationofemissionsandeconomicscenariosrendered18differentemissionseconomicscenariosfortheresearch.TheresultsshowedthatBangladeshwouldemit343MtCO2eby2050withoutanyemissionsreductionstrategiesunderHCS.However,Bangladeshcanreduce23ofHCSbyadoptingdecarbonizationstrategiessuchasenergymixchangetowardsrenewableandnuclear.Ontheoptimisticside,theemissionscanbereduced73by2050underZCSthanthatofHCS.ThestudydemonstratedthatazerocarbonfutureisnotyetfeasibleforBangladeshby2050becausetheoperationalfossilfuelbasedplantswouldbeoperational.Therefore,theGHGemissionsaregoingtoriseevenifBangladeshadoptsrenewablesandnucleardominatingenergymix.However,itwillbepossibletokeeptheGHGemissionsapproximately2tCO2e/capitathresholdifthecountryadoptsLCS.Ontheotherhand,onlyMCSandLCScanmeettheprojectedenergydemandby2050.TheenergysectorcanmeettheprojecteddemandunderZCSonlyiftheelectricityconsumptionisreduced262050.Intermstotalcost,theMCSwasfoundtobe3.9LCSby2050.LCSwouldhaveahighercostthanthatofMCSupto2030,duetothehighcapitalcostofrenewabletechnologies.ThetotalcostunderLCSwouldstarttobelowerthanofMCSafter2035forthefossilfuelcost.Accumulatedfuelcostwouldreach104 billion would be invested in the power sector of Bangladesh for establishing 33 GW installed capacity by 2030, the majority of which would be financed by national and international loans. However, Bangladesh is one of the most corrupted country in the world which may influence the energy planning development. The current policies of Bangladesh power sector paved the future direction towards predominantly coal-based energy mix which would augment the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions five times (117.5 MtCO2e) in 2030 than that of 2010. By increasing GHG emissions, the country would undermine the worldwide effort of keeping global temperature rise in 21st century below 2°C, as per the Paris agreement and COP21. V The objective of this research was to develop a framework to explore the cost of decarbonizing the Bangladesh's energy sector by 2050. For the study, six emissions scenarios business as usual (BAU), current policy (CPS), high-carbon (HCS), medium-carbon (MCS), low-carbon (LCS) and zero-carbon scenarios (ZCS), and three economic conditions high, average and low costwere considered. The combination of emissions and economic scenarios rendered 18 different emissionseconomic scenarios for the research. The results showed that Bangladesh would emit 343 MtCO2e by 2050 without any emissions reduction strategies under HCS. However, Bangladesh can reduce 23% GHG emissions by 2050 under LCS than that of HCS by adopting decarbonization strategies such as energy mix change towards renewable and nuclear. On the optimistic side, the emissions can be reduced 73% by 2050 under ZCS than that of HCS. The study demonstrated that a zero carbon future is not yet feasible for Bangladesh by 2050 because the operational fossil fuel based plants would be operational. Therefore, the GHG emissions are going to rise even if Bangladesh adopts renewables and nuclear dominating energy mix. However, it will be possible to keep the GHG emissions approximately 2 tCO2e/capita threshold if the country adopts LCS. On the other hand, only MCS and LCS can meet the projected energy demand by 2050. The energy sector can meet the projected demand under ZCS only if the electricity consumption is reduced 26% by 2050. In terms total cost, the MCS was found to be 3.9% expensive than that of LCS by 2050. LCS would have a higher cost than that of MCS up to 2030, due to the high capital cost of renewable technologies. The total cost under LCS would start to be lower than of MCS after 2035 for the fossil fuel cost. Accumulated fuel cost would reach 250 billion in 2050 under HCS, which can be reduced 23% under ZCS. The cost of decarbonization would be 3.6, 3.4 and 3.2 times under average cost of MCS, LCS, and ZCS, than that of HCS. As the energy sector of Bangladesh is under rapid development, the accumulated capital would be comparatively high by 2050. However, fuel cost can be significantly reduced under LCS and ZCS which would also ensure lower emissions. The study suggested that energy mix change, technological maturity, corruption and demand reduction can influence the cost of decarbonization. However, the most significant influencer for the decarbonization of Bangladeshi energy sector would be the corruption. Results showed that if Bangladesh can minimize the effect of corruption on the energy sector, it can reduce the cost of decarbonization 45-77% by 2050 under MCS, LCS, and ZCS

    A Modular Real-time Tidal Prediction Model based on Grey-GMDH Neural Network

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    Real-time prediction of tidal level is of great significance for activities of human beings in the fields of marine and coastal engineering. However, the disturbance factors of tidal level are very intricate, which deteriorate the tidal prediction accuracy. To improve the accuracy of real-time tidal-level prediction, a modular real-time tidal-level prediction approach is proposed based on the grey group method of data handling (Grey-GMDH) neural network. The modular model is composed of astronomical tide parts caused by celestial bodies’ movement and the nonastronomical tide parts caused by various meteorological and other environmental factors. The GMDH is a polynomial network that is commonly used in prediction and pattern recognition. However, GMDH is sensitive to nondeterministic time series, which would result in low accuracy of prediction. In this study, the grey prediction theory is introduced into the GMDH prediction model to alleviate the unfavorable effects of uncertainty caused by various environmental factors and the adverse effects caused thereby on the prediction accuracy. In this study of tidal prediction, the Grey-GMDH model is used to predict the nonastronomical tide parts, whereas the conventional harmonic analysis model is used to predict the astronomical tide parts. The final prediction result is achieved by combining the estimation outputs of the harmonious analysis model and the Grey-GMDH model. Measured tidal-level data of San Diego tidal station is selected as the testing database. Simulation and experimental results confirm that the proposed approach can achieve real-time predictions for tidal level with high accuracy, satisfactory convergence and stability

    Intelligent Energy-Savings and Process Improvement Strategies in Energy-Intensive Industries

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    S tím, jak se neustále vyvíjejí nové technologie pro energeticky náročná průmyslová odvětví, stávající zařízení postupně zaostávají v efektivitě a produktivitě. Tvrdá konkurence na trhu a legislativa v oblasti životního prostředí nutí tato tradiční zařízení k ukončení provozu a k odstavení. Zlepšování procesu a projekty modernizace jsou zásadní v udržování provozních výkonů těchto zařízení. Současné přístupy pro zlepšování procesů jsou hlavně: integrace procesů, optimalizace procesů a intenzifikace procesů. Obecně se v těchto oblastech využívá matematické optimalizace, zkušeností řešitele a provozní heuristiky. Tyto přístupy slouží jako základ pro zlepšování procesů. Avšak, jejich výkon lze dále zlepšit pomocí moderní výpočtové inteligence. Účelem této práce je tudíž aplikace pokročilých technik umělé inteligence a strojového učení za účelem zlepšování procesů v energeticky náročných průmyslových procesech. V této práci je využit přístup, který řeší tento problém simulací průmyslových systémů a přispívá následujícím: (i)Aplikace techniky strojového učení, která zahrnuje jednorázové učení a neuro-evoluci pro modelování a optimalizaci jednotlivých jednotek na základě dat. (ii) Aplikace redukce dimenze (např. Analýza hlavních komponent, autoendkodér) pro vícekriteriální optimalizaci procesu s více jednotkami. (iii) Návrh nového nástroje pro analýzu problematických částí systému za účelem jejich odstranění (bottleneck tree analysis – BOTA). Bylo také navrženo rozšíření nástroje, které umožňuje řešit vícerozměrné problémy pomocí přístupu založeného na datech. (iv) Prokázání účinnosti simulací Monte-Carlo, neuronové sítě a rozhodovacích stromů pro rozhodování při integraci nové technologie procesu do stávajících procesů. (v) Porovnání techniky HTM (Hierarchical Temporal Memory) a duální optimalizace s několika prediktivními nástroji pro podporu managementu provozu v reálném čase. (vi) Implementace umělé neuronové sítě v rámci rozhraní pro konvenční procesní graf (P-graf). (vii) Zdůraznění budoucnosti umělé inteligence a procesního inženýrství v biosystémech prostřednictvím komerčně založeného paradigmatu multi-omics.Zlepšení průmyslových procesů, Model založený na datech, Optimalizace procesu, Strojové učení, Průmyslové systémy, Energeticky náročná průmyslová odvětví, Umělá inteligence.

    Cone Penetration Testing 2022

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    This volume contains the proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Cone Penetration Testing (CPT’22), held in Bologna, Italy, 8-10 June 2022. More than 500 authors - academics, researchers, practitioners and manufacturers – contributed to the peer-reviewed papers included in this book, which includes three keynote lectures, four invited lectures and 169 technical papers. The contributions provide a full picture of the current knowledge and major trends in CPT research and development, with respect to innovations in instrumentation, latest advances in data interpretation, and emerging fields of CPT application. The paper topics encompass three well-established topic categories typically addressed in CPT events: - Equipment and Procedures - Data Interpretation - Applications. Emphasis is placed on the use of statistical approaches and innovative numerical strategies for CPT data interpretation, liquefaction studies, application of CPT to offshore engineering, comparative studies between CPT and other in-situ tests. Cone Penetration Testing 2022 contains a wealth of information that could be useful for researchers, practitioners and all those working in the broad and dynamic field of cone penetration testing

    XLIII Jornadas de Automática: libro de actas: 7, 8 y 9 de septiembre de 2022, Logroño (La Rioja)

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    [Resumen] Las Jornadas de Automática (JA) son el evento más importante del Comité Español de Automática (CEA), entidad científico-técnica con más de cincuenta años de vida y destinada a la difusión e implantación de la Automática en la sociedad. Este año se celebra la cuadragésima tercera edición de las JA, que constituyen el punto de encuentro de la comunidad de Automática de nuestro país. La presente edición permitirá dar visibilidad a los nuevos retos y resultados del ámbito, y su uso en un gran número de aplicaciones, entre otras, las energías renovables, la bioingeniería o la robótica asistencial. Además de la componente científica, que se ve reflejada en este libro de actas, las JA son un punto de encuentro de las diferentes generaciones de profesores, investigadores y profesionales, incluyendo la componente social que es de vital importancia. Esta edición 2022 de las JA se celebra en Logroño, capital de La Rioja, región mundialmente conocida por la calidad de sus vinos de Denominación de Origen y que ha asumido el desafío de poder ganar competitividad a través de la transformación verde y digital. Pero también por ser la cuna del castellano e impulsar el Valle de la Lengua con la ayuda de las nuevas tecnologías, entre ellas la Automática Inteligente. Los organizadores de estas JA, pertenecientes al Área de Ingeniería de Sistemas y Automática del Departamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica de la Universidad de La Rioja (UR), constituyen un pilar fundamental en el apoyo a la región para el estudio, implementación y difusión de estos retos. Esta edición, la primera en formato íntegramente presencial después de la pandemia de la covid-19, cuenta con más de 200 asistentes y se celebra a caballo entre el Edificio Politécnico de la Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Industrial y el Monasterio de Yuso situado en San Millán de la Cogolla, dos marcos excepcionales para la realización de las JA. Como parte del programa científico, dos sesiones plenarias harán hincapié, respectivamente, sobre soluciones de control para afrontar los nuevos retos energéticos, y sobre la calidad de los datos para una inteligencia artificial (IA) imparcial y confiable. También, dos mesas redondas debatirán aplicaciones de la IA y la implantación de la tecnología digital en la actividad profesional. Adicionalmente, destacaremos dos clases magistrales alineadas con tecnología de última generación que serán impartidas por profesionales de la empresa. Las JA también van a albergar dos competiciones: CEABOT, con robots humanoides, y el Concurso de Ingeniería de Control, enfocado a UAVs. A todas estas actividades hay que añadir las reuniones de los grupos temáticos de CEA, las exhibiciones de pósteres con las comunicaciones presentadas a las JA y los expositores de las empresas. Por último, durante el evento se va a proceder a la entrega del “Premio Nacional de Automática” (edición 2022) y del “Premio CEA al Talento Femenino en Automática”, patrocinado por el Gobierno de La Rioja (en su primera edición), además de diversos galardones enmarcados dentro de las actividades de los grupos temáticos de CEA. Las actas de las XLIII Jornadas de Automática están formadas por un total de 143 comunicaciones, organizadas en torno a los nueve Grupos Temáticos y a las dos Líneas Estratégicas de CEA. Los trabajos seleccionados han sido sometidos a un proceso de revisión por pares

    World Multidisciplinary Civil Engineering- Architecture- Urban Planning symposium

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    We would like to express our sincere gratitude to all 900+ submissions by 600+ participants of WMCAUS 2018 from 60+ different countries all over the world for their interests and contributions in WMCAUS 2018. We wish you enjoy the World Multidisciplinary Civil Engineering-Architecture-Urban Planning Symposium – WMCAUS 2018 and have a pleasant stay in the city of romance Prague. We hope to see you again during next event WMCAUS 2019 which will be held in Prague (Czech Republic) approximately in the similar period
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