Detecting Outliers in Data with Correlated Measures

Advances in sensor technology have enabled the collection of large-scale datasets. Such datasets can be extremely noisy and often contain a significant amount of outliers that result from sensor malfunction or human operation faults. In order to utilize such data for real-world applications, it is critical to detect outliers so that models built from these datasets will not be skewed by outliers. In this paper, we propose a new outlier detection method that utilizes the correlations in the data (e.g., taxi trip distance vs. trip time). Different from existing outlier detection methods, we build a robust regression model that explicitly models the outliers and detects outliers simultaneously with the model fitting. We validate our approach on real-world datasets against methods specifically designed for each dataset as well as the state of the art outlier detectors. Our outlier detection method achieves better performances, demonstrating the robustness and generality of our method. Last, we report interesting case studies on some outliers that result from atypical events.Comment: 10 page

Localizing State-Dependent Faults Using Associated Sequence Mining

In this thesis we developed a new fault localization process to localize faults in object oriented software. The process is built upon the Encapsulation\u27\u27 principle and aims to locate state-dependent discrepancies in the software\u27s behavior. We experimented with the proposed process on 50 seeded faults in 8 subject programs, and were able to locate the faulty class in 100% of the cases when objects with constant states were taken into consideration, while we missed 24% percent of the faults when these objects were not considered. We also developed a customized data mining technique Associated sequence mining\u27\u27 to be used in the localization process; experiments showed that it only provided slight enhancement to the result of the process. The customization provided at least 17% enhancement in the time performance and it is generic enough to be applicable in other domains. In addition to that we have developed an extensive taxonomy for object-oriented software faults based on UML models. We used the taxonomy to make decisions regarding the localization process. It provides an aid for understanding the nature of software faults, and will help enhance the different tasks related to software quality assurance. The main contributions of the thesis were based on preliminary experimentation on the usability of the classification algorithms implemented in WEKA in software fault localization, which resulted in the conclusion that both the fault type and the mechanism implemented in the analysis algorithm were significant to affect the results of the localization

Cooperation between expert knowledge and data mining discovered knowledge: Lessons learned

Expert systems are built from knowledge traditionally elicited from the human expert. It is precisely knowledge elicitation from the expert that is the bottleneck in expert system construction. On the other hand, a data mining system, which automatically extracts knowledge, needs expert guidance on the successive decisions to be made in each of the system phases. In this context, expert knowledge and data mining discovered knowledge can cooperate, maximizing their individual capabilities: data mining discovered knowledge can be used as a complementary source of knowledge for the expert system, whereas expert knowledge can be used to guide the data mining process. This article summarizes different examples of systems where there is cooperation between expert knowledge and data mining discovered knowledge and reports our experience of such cooperation gathered from a medical diagnosis project called Intelligent Interpretation of Isokinetics Data, which we developed. From that experience, a series of lessons were learned throughout project development. Some of these lessons are generally applicable and others pertain exclusively to certain project types

Anomaly detection and explanation in big data

2021 Spring.Includes bibliographical references.Data quality tests are used to validate the data stored in databases and data warehouses, and to detect violations of syntactic and semantic constraints. Domain experts grapple with the issues related to the capturing of all the important constraints and checking that they are satisfied. The constraints are often identified in an ad hoc manner based on the knowledge of the application domain and the needs of the stakeholders. Constraints can exist over single or multiple attributes as well as records involving time series and sequences. The constraints involving multiple attributes can involve both linear and non-linear relationships among the attributes. We propose ADQuaTe as a data quality test framework that automatically (1) discovers different types of constraints from the data, (2) marks records that violate the constraints as suspicious, and (3) explains the violations. Domain knowledge is required to determine whether or not the suspicious records are actually faulty. The framework can incorporate feedback from domain experts to improve the accuracy of constraint discovery and anomaly detection. We instantiate ADQuaTe in two ways to detect anomalies in non-sequence and sequence data. The first instantiation (ADQuaTe2) uses an unsupervised approach called autoencoder for constraint discovery in non-sequence data. ADQuaTe2 is based on analyzing records in isolation to discover constraints among the attributes. We evaluate the effectiveness of ADQuaTe2 using real-world non-sequence datasets from the human health and plant diagnosis domains. We demonstrate that ADQuaTe2 can discover new constraints that were previously unspecified in existing data quality tests, and can report both previously detected and new faults in the data. We also use non-sequence datasets from the UCI repository to evaluate the improvement in the accuracy of ADQuaTe2 after incorporating ground truth knowledge and retraining the autoencoder model. The second instantiation (IDEAL) uses an unsupervised LSTM-autoencoder for constraint discovery in sequence data. IDEAL analyzes the correlations and dependencies among data records to discover constraints. We evaluate the effectiveness of IDEAL using datasets from Yahoo servers, NASA Shuttle, and Colorado State University Energy Institute. We demonstrate that IDEAL can detect previously known anomalies from these datasets. Using mutation analysis, we show that IDEAL can detect different types of injected faults. We also demonstrate that the accuracy of the approach improves after incorporating ground truth knowledge about the injected faults and retraining the LSTM-Autoencoder model. The novelty of this research lies in the development of a domain-independent framework that effectively and efficiently discovers different types of constraints from the data, detects and explains anomalous data, and minimizes false alarms through an interactive learning process

Efficacy of Reported Issue Times as a Means for Effort Estimation

Software effort is a measure of manpower dedicated to developing and maintaining and software. Effort estimation can help project managers monitor their software, teams, and timelines. Conversely, improper effort estimation can result in budget overruns, delays, lost contracts, and accumulated Technical Debt (TD). Issue Tracking Systems (ITS) have become mainstream project management tools, with over 65,000 companies using Jira alone. ITS are an untapped resource for issue resolution effort research. Related work investigates issue effort for specific issue types, usually Bugs or similar. They model their developer-documented issue resolution times using features from the issues themselves. This thesis explores a novel issue effort estimation and prediction approach using developer-documented ITS effort in tandem with implementation metrics (commit metrics, package metrics, refactoring metrics, and smell metrics). We find consistent correlations between ITS effort and implementation metrics, ranging from weak to moderate strength. We also construct and evaluate several exploratory models to predict future package effort using our novel effort estimation, with inconclusive results

Data Mining for Anomaly Detection

The Vehicle Integrated Prognostics Reasoner (VIPR) program describes methods for enhanced diagnostics as well as a prognostic extension to current state of art Aircraft Diagnostic and Maintenance System (ADMS). VIPR introduced a new anomaly detection function for discovering previously undetected and undocumented situations, where there are clear deviations from nominal behavior. Once a baseline (nominal model of operations) is established, the detection and analysis is split between on-aircraft outlier generation and off-aircraft expert analysis to characterize and classify events that may not have been anticipated by individual system providers. Offline expert analysis is supported by data curation and data mining algorithms that can be applied in the contexts of supervised learning methods and unsupervised learning. In this report, we discuss efficient methods to implement the Kolmogorov complexity measure using compression algorithms, and run a systematic empirical analysis to determine the best compression measure. Our experiments established that the combination of the DZIP compression algorithm and CiDM distance measure provides the best results for capturing relevant properties of time series data encountered in aircraft operations. This combination was used as the basis for developing an unsupervised learning algorithm to define "nominal" flight segments using historical flight segments