Design of Mamdani - Type Model for Predicting the Future Price of Fuel on the Basis of Demand and Supply

This paper presents the design of fuzzy inference system for predicting the price of the petroleum product on the basis of demand and supply. As the demand increases and the supply decreases the price of petroleum products also increases. Modeling of efficient price estimation system on the basis of two inputs as demand and supply using Mamdani model is presented in this paper. The inference engines are modeled using the FIS editor of Fuzzy Logic toolbox, a tool of Matlab. Out of various methods available, Center of gravity (CG) defuzzification method is used for obtaining the crisp output. It is proposed to consistently handle all linguistic derivations that allow “IF-THEN” formulation by applying Fuzzy Logic (FL). The parameters for the input variables and output variable and their membership functions works on the range of the values for demand and supply. The results obtained are analyzed to explore the design space. DOI: 10.17762/ijritcc2321-8169.15063

Matrix formulation of fuzzy rule-based systems

In this paper, a matrix formulation of fuzzy rule based systems is introduced. A gradient descent training algorithm for the determination of the unknown parameters can also be expressed in a matrix form for various adaptive fuzzy networks. When converting a rule-based system to the proposed matrix formulation, only three sets of linear/nonlinear equations are required instead of set of rules and an inference mechanism. There are a number of advantages which the matrix formulation has compared with the linguistic approach. Firstly, it obviates the differences among the various architectures; and secondly, it is much easier to organize data in the implementation or simulation of the fuzzy system. The formulation will be illustrated by a number of examples

Water level forecasting through fuzzy logic and artificial neural network approaches

In this study three data-driven water level forecasting models are presented and discussed. One is based on the artificial neural networks approach, while the other two are based on the Mamdani and the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy logic approaches, respectively. <P style='line-height: 20px;'> All of them are parameterised with reference to flood events alone, where water levels are higher than a selected threshold. The analysis of the three models is performed by using the <I>same input and output variables</I>. However, in order to evaluate their capability to deal with different levels of information, two different input sets are considered. The former is characterized by significant spatial and time aggregated rainfall information, while the latter considers rainfall information more distributed in space and time. <P style='line-height: 20px;'> The analysis is made with great attention to the reliability and accuracy of each model, with reference to the Reno river at Casalecchio di Reno (Bologna, Italy). It is shown that the two models based on the fuzzy logic approaches perform better when the physical phenomena considered are synthesised by both a limited number of variables and IF-THEN logic statements, while the ANN approach increases its performance when more detailed information is used. As regards the reliability aspect, it is shown that the models based on the fuzzy logic approaches may fail unexpectedly to forecast the water levels, in the sense that in the testing phase, some input combinations are not recognised by the rule system and thus no forecasting is performed. This problem does not occur in the ANN approach

A Dirichlet Process based type-1 and type-2 fuzzy modeling for systematic confidence bands prediction

This paper presents a new methodology for fuzzy logic systems modeling based on the Dirichlet process Gaussian mixture models (DPGMM). The proposed method simultaneously allows for the systematic elicitation of confidence bands as well as the automatic determination of model complexity. This work is new since existing fuzzy model elicitation techniques use ad hoc methods for confidence band estimations, which do not meet the stringent requirements of today's challenging environments where data are sparse, incomplete, and characterized by noise as well as uncertainties. The proposed approach involves an integration of fuzzy and Bayesian topologies and allows for the generation of confidence bands based on both the random and linguistic uncertainties embedded in the data. Additionally, the proposed method provides a “right-first time approach” to fuzzy modeling as it does not require an iterative model complexity determination. In order to see how the proposed framework performs across a variety of challenging data modeling problems, the proposed approach was tested on a nonlinear synthetic dataset as well as two real multidimensional datasets generated by the authors from materials science and bladder cancer studies. Results show that the proposed approach consistently provides better generalization performances than other well-known soft computing modeling frameworks-in some cases, improvements of up to 20% in modeling accuracy were achieved. The proposed method also provides the capability to handle uncertainties via the generation of systematic confidence intervals for informing on model reliability. These results are significant since the generic methodologies developed in this paper should help material scientists as well as clinicians, for example, assess the risks involved in making informed decisions based on model predictions

An expert fuzzy logic controller employing adaptive learning for servo systems

An expert fuzzy logic controller with adaptive learning is proposed as an intelligent controller for servo systems. A key component of this controller is an adaptive learning mechanism which is used to self-regulate the scaling factors and the control action based on the error between the desired value and the plant output. The inference engine of this controller is based on the principle of approximate reasoning and the learning strategy is based on reinforcement learning. A novel approach of model reference adaptive control is also proposed for servo systems. The comparison of the performance between the proposed controller and PID controllers is discussed. The simulation results show that the performance of the proposed controller is better than the conventional approach or previous research. The real-time application demonstrates that a faster response of a servo system can be achieved. Furthermore, the proposed controller is relatively insensitive to variations in the parameters of control systems

Neuro-fuzzy software for intelligent control and education

Tese de mestrado integrado. Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores (Major Automação). Faculdade de Engenharia. Universidade do Porto. 200

Real-time Knowledge-based Fuzzy Logic Model for Soft Tissue Deformation

In this research, the improved mass spring model is presented to simulate the human liver deformation. The underlying MSM is redesigned where fuzzy knowledge-based approaches are implemented to determine the stiffness values. Results show that fuzzy approaches are in very good agreement to the benchmark model. The novelty of this research is that for liver deformation in particular, no specific contributions in the literature exist reporting on real-time knowledge-based fuzzy MSM for liver deformation

Learning lost temporal fuzzy association rules

Fuzzy association rule mining discovers patterns in transactions, such as shopping baskets in a supermarket, or Web page accesses by a visitor to a Web site. Temporal patterns can be present in fuzzy association rules because the underlying process generating the data can be dynamic. However, existing solutions may not discover all interesting patterns because of a previously unrecognised problem that is revealed in this thesis. The contextual meaning of fuzzy association rules changes because of the dynamic feature of data. The static fuzzy representation and traditional search method are inadequate. The Genetic Iterative Temporal Fuzzy Association Rule Mining (GITFARM) framework solves the problem by utilising flexible fuzzy representations from a fuzzy rule-based system (FRBS). The combination of temporal, fuzzy and itemset space was simultaneously searched with a genetic algorithm (GA) to overcome the problem. The framework transforms the dataset to a graph for efficiently searching the dataset. A choice of model in fuzzy representation provides a trade-off in usage between an approximate and descriptive model. A method for verifying the solution to the hypothesised problem was presented. The proposed GA-based solution was compared with a traditional approach that uses an exhaustive search method. It was shown how the GA-based solution discovered rules that the traditional approach did not. This shows that simultaneously searching for rules and membership functions with a GA is a suitable solution for mining temporal fuzzy association rules. So, in practice, more knowledge can be discovered for making well-informed decisions that would otherwise be lost with a traditional approach.EPSRC DT