21,693 research outputs found

    Integrating spatial and temporal approaches for explaining bicycle crashes in high-risk areas in Antwerp (Belgium)

    Get PDF
    The majority of bicycle crash studies aim at determining risk factors and estimating crash risks by employing statistics. Accordingly, the goal of this paper is to evaluate bicycle-motor vehicle crashes by using spatial and temporal approaches to statistical data. The spatial approach (a weighted kernel density estimation approach) preliminarily estimates crash risks at the macro level, thereby avoiding the expensive work of collecting traffic counts; meanwhile, the temporal approach (negative binomial regression approach) focuses on crash data that occurred on urban arterials and includes traffic exposure at the micro level. The crash risk and risk factors of arterial roads associated with bicycle facilities and road environments were assessed using a database built from field surveys and five government agencies. This study analysed 4120 geocoded bicycle crashes in the city of Antwerp (CA, Belgium). The data sets covered five years (2014 to 2018), including all bicycle-motorized vehicle (BMV) crashes from police reports. Urban arterials were highlighted as high-risk areas through the spatial approach. This was as expected given that, due to heavy traffic and limited road space, bicycle facilities on arterial roads face many design problems. Through spatial and temporal approaches, the environmental characteristics of bicycle crashes on arterial roads were analysed at the micro level. Finally, this paper provides an insight that can be used by both the geography and transport fields to improve cycling safety on urban arterial roads

    The Zurich case study of UrbanSim

    Get PDF
    Abstract-- UrbanSim is an open-source software being developed by Waddell and colleagues(Waddell and Ulfarsson, 2004), simulating land use-development in cities based on the choices of households, businesses, land owners and developers, interacting in urban Real Estate markets and with the option to be connected to a transportation simulation. SustainCity is an EU-funded project with twelve European research-institutions1, coordinated by the IVT of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETHZ). Within the project of SustainCity2, UrbanSim is being adapted to European conditions by creation of a European version (UrbanSimE) with new calibration of choice-models and additional models for households, demographics and firmographics. Focus will be on the data-structure in Europe as well as the different behaviour of companies, residents and developers. For this UrbanSim will be used in three case studies: Brussels, Paris and Zurich. Although previous studies have been implemented in all of those region, the previous study in Zurich can be considered as a new set up as it uses another version of UrbanSim. This paper will report on the implementation of this parcel-based version of UrbanSim within the Zurich case study of SustainCity. It will refer to the data acquired and necessary as basis for the simulation, discuss the approach of data preparation through PostGIS and report on the new structure of the data-models defined within UrbanSim. Finally the first results of the UrbanSim runs of the Zurich case study will be presented and compared to the runs of previous versions. Keywords: UrbanSim; Urban Simulation; SustainCity; Zurich case study 02.03.2011

    From buildings to cities: techniques for the multi-scale analysis of urban form and function

    Get PDF
    The built environment is a significant factor in many urban processes, yet direct measures of built form are seldom used in geographical studies. Representation and analysis of urban form and function could provide new insights and improve the evidence base for research. So far progress has been slow due to limited data availability, computational demands, and a lack of methods to integrate built environment data with aggregate geographical analysis. Spatial data and computational improvements are overcoming some of these problems, but there remains a need for techniques to process and aggregate urban form data. Here we develop a Built Environment Model of urban function and dwelling type classifications for Greater London, based on detailed topographic and address-based data (sourced from Ordnance Survey MasterMap). The multi-scale approach allows the Built Environment Model to be viewed at fine-scales for local planning contexts, and at city-wide scales for aggregate geographical analysis, allowing an improved understanding of urban processes. This flexibility is illustrated in the two examples, that of urban function and residential type analysis, where both local-scale urban clustering and city-wide trends in density and agglomeration are shown. While we demonstrate the multi-scale Built Environment Model to be a viable approach, a number of accuracy issues are identified, including the limitations of 2D data, inaccuracies in commercial function data and problems with temporal attribution. These limitations currently restrict the more advanced applications of the Built Environment Model

    GIS-based multicriteria analysis as decision support in flood risk management

    Get PDF
    In this report we develop a GIS-based multicriteria flood risk assessment and mapping approach. This approach has the ability a) to consider also flood risks which are not measured in monetary terms, b) to show the spatial distribution of these multiple risks and c) to deal with uncertainties in criteria values and to show their influence on the overall assessment. It can furthermore be used to show the spatial distribution of the effects of risk reduction measures. The approach is tested for a pilot study at the River Mulde in Saxony, Germany. Therefore, a GISdataset of economic as well as social and environmental risk criteria is built up. Two multicriteria decision rules, a disjunctive approach and an additive weighting approach are used to come to an overall assessment and mapping of flood risk in the area. Both the risk calculation and mapping of single criteria as well as the multicriteria analysis are supported by a software tool (FloodCalc) which was developed for this task. --

    FLIAT, an object-relational GIS tool for flood impact assessment in Flanders, Belgium

    Get PDF
    Floods can cause damage to transportation and energy infrastructure, disrupt the delivery of services, and take a toll on public health, sometimes even causing significant loss of life. Although scientists widely stress the compelling need for resilience against extreme events under a changing climate, tools for dealing with expected hazards lag behind. Not only does the socio-economic, ecologic and cultural impact of floods need to be considered, but the potential disruption of a society with regard to priority adaptation guidelines, measures, and policy recommendations need to be considered as well. The main downfall of current impact assessment tools is the raster approach that cannot effectively handle multiple metadata of vital infrastructures, crucial buildings, and vulnerable land use (among other challenges). We have developed a powerful cross-platform flood impact assessment tool (FLIAT) that uses a vector approach linked to a relational database using open source program languages, which can perform parallel computation. As a result, FLIAT can manage multiple detailed datasets, whereby there is no loss of geometrical information. This paper describes the development of FLIAT and the performance of this tool

    Modeling Amazon Deforestation for Policy Purposes

    Get PDF
    Brazil has long ago removed most of the perverse government incentives that stimulated massive deforestation in the Amazon in the 70s and 80s, but one highly controversial policy remains: Road building. While data is now abundantly available due to the constant satellite surveillance of the Amazon, the analytical methods typically used to analyze the impact of roads on natural vegetation cover are methodologically weak and not very helpful to guide public policy. This paper discusses the respective weaknesses of typical GIS analysis and typical municipality level regression analysis, and shows what would be needed to construct an ideal model of deforestation processes. It also presents an alternative approach that is much less demanding in terms of modeling and estimation and more useful for policy makers as well.Deforestation, Amazon, Brazil, econometric modeling

    Key challenges in agent-based modelling for geo-spatial simulation

    Get PDF
    Agent-based modelling (ABM) is fast becoming the dominant paradigm in social simulation due primarily to a worldview that suggests that complex systems emerge from the bottom-up, are highly decentralised, and are composed of a multitude of heterogeneous objects called agents. These agents act with some purpose and their interaction, usually through time and space, generates emergent order, often at higher levels than those at which such agents operate. ABM however raises as many challenges as it seeks to resolve. It is the purpose of this paper to catalogue these challenges and to illustrate them using three somewhat different agent-based models applied to city systems. The seven challenges we pose involve: the purpose for which the model is built, the extent to which the model is rooted in independent theory, the extent to which the model can be replicated, the ways the model might be verified, calibrated and validated, the way model dynamics are represented in terms of agent interactions, the extent to which the model is operational, and the way the model can be communicated and shared with others. Once catalogued, we then illustrate these challenges with a pedestrian model for emergency evacuation in central London, a hypothetical model of residential segregation tuned to London data which elaborates the standard Schelling (1971) model, and an agent-based residential location built according to spatial interactions principles, calibrated to trip data for Greater London. The ambiguities posed by this new style of modelling are drawn out as conclusions

    Flood damage, vulnerability and risk perception - challenges for flood damage research

    Get PDF
    The current state-of-the-art in flood damage analysis mainly focuses on the economic evaluation of tangible flood effects. It is contended in this discussion paper that important economic, social and ecological aspects of flood-related vulnerabilities are neglected. It is a challenge for flood research to develop a wider perspective for flood damage evaluation. --Flood damage analysis,flood vulnerability,risk perception,cost-benefit analysis,integrated assessment

    Transport as a location factor: new start-ups and relocations in Portugal

    Get PDF
    This paper analyses the spatial pattern of manufacturing plant location and relocation using municipality data in Portugal from 1986 to 1997. Over this period most of the Portuguese motorways have been constructed extending the network from just about 200 kilometres at the beginning of the 1980s to over 1,300 kilometres by 1998. This is an interesting development that offers opportunities to explore the role of road infrastructure and its improvements as a location factor. In addition to location determinants widely used in the literature, fine measures of motorway access and road accessibility calculated with GIS methodology are included in panel data estimations. Because plant birth and plant relocation result from two different spatial decision processes in the firm they are treated separately. The present study puts these two events in a dynamic context of the plant life cycle and finds evidence that fits with notions of business dynamics. Plant start-ups are positively influenced by the existence of a local pool of potential entrepreneurs, lower wage costs and a more diversified economic environment. Relocations, on the other hand, prefer areas with a greater availability of producer services and an already larger industrial share. These findings suggest that plant relocations, which are at a later stage of the plant life cycle, add to concentration and geographic specialisation, whilst first locations are primarily influenced by the availability of general inputs and cheap factors of production. A key finding of this paper is that road infrastructure matters for both, but more so for plant relocations. Relocations show a considerably larger attraction towards the new road transport corridors. This indicates that as firms grow, their spatial requirements change to accommodate a greater need for high-quality transport infrastructure to sell output over, and get inputs from, a wider geographic area.
    corecore