Learning from My Successes and from Others' Failures: Evidence from Minimally Invasive Cardiac Surgery

Learning from past experience is central to an organization's adaptation and survival. A key dimension of prior experience is whether an outcome was successful or unsuccessful. While empirical studies have investigated the effects of success and failure in organizational learning, to date the phenomenon has received little attention at the individual level. Drawing on attribution theory in psychology, we investigate how individuals learn from their own past experiences with both failure and success and from the experiences of others. For our empirical analyses, we use ten years of data from 71 cardiothoracic surgeons who completed over 6,500 procedures using a new technology for cardiac surgery. We find that individuals learn more from their own successes than from their own failures but learn more from the failures of others than from others' successes. We also find that individuals' prior successes and others' failures can help individuals overcome their inability to learn from their own failures. Together, these findings offer both theoretical and practical insights into how individuals learn directly from their prior experience and indirectly from the experiences of others

Learning from My Success and from Others\u27 Failure: Evidence from Minimally Invasive Cardiac Surgery

Learning from past experience is central to an organization\u27s adaptation and survival. A key dimension of prior experience is whether an outcome was successful or unsuccessful. Although empirical studies have investigated the effects of success and failure in organizational learning, to date, the phenomenon has received little attention at the individual level. Drawing on attribution theory in psychology, we investigate how individuals learn from their own past experiences with both failure and success and from the experiences of others. For our empirical analyses, we use 10 years of data from 71 cardiothoracic surgeons who completed more than 6,500 procedures using a new technology for cardiac surgery. We find that individuals learn more from their own successes than from their own failures, but they learn more from the failures of others than from others\u27 successes. We also find that individuals\u27 prior successes and others\u27 failures can help individuals overcome their inability to learn from their own failures. Together, these findings offer both theoretical and practical insights into how individuals learn directly from their prior experience and indirectly from the experiences of others

The Persistence of "Bad" Precedents and the Need for Communication: A Coordination Experiment

Precedents can facilitate successful coordination within groups by reducing strategic uncertainty, but they may lead to coordination failure when two groups with diverging precedents have to interact. This paper describes an experiment to explore how such coordination failure can be mitigated and whether subjects are aware of it. In an initial phase, groups were able to establish a precedent in a repeated weakest-link game, and in a second phase two groups with dierent precedents are merged into a larger group. As expected, this leads to coordination failures. Unlike most of the previous literature, subjects could endogenously choose to communicate in the merged group for a small fee. The results suggest that communication can mitigate the coordination failure in the merged group and, in most cases, leads to efficient coordination. However, subjects in particular from groups with an efficient precedent in the initial phase are inattentive to the potential coordination failure and choose not to communicate. This can have profound consequences since groups who fail to implement communication are unable to achieve efficient coordination in the second phase. The results may be useful for the understanding of how groups learn to solve coordination problems from past coordination success or failure.coordination, precedent, costly communication, cheap talk

Eliminating Failure by Learning from It – Systematic Review of IS Project Failure

Researchers analyzing project success and failure emphasize the prevailing challenge of successfully completing information system (IS) projects. We conduct an extensive systematic literature review of factors that contributed to failure of real-life IS projects. Our resulting overview entails 54 failure factors, which we grouped in 10 categories applying data-driven qualitative content analysis. We extend our holistic overview by linking the factors to specific project failure dimensions and integrating a stakeholder perspective to account for failure responsibility. Our analysis yields widely acknowledged failure factors like insufficient stakeholder involvement as well as less common factors like history of prior successes. Researchers gain insights into project failure factors along with responsible stakeholders and affected failure dimensions, and can use our overview to identify factors or areas of concern to guide future research. Our overview provides a pillar for IS practitioners to learn from others and to eliminate failure by avoiding past mistakes

End-to-end Phoneme Sequence Recognition using Convolutional Neural Networks

Most phoneme recognition state-of-the-art systems rely on a classical neural network classifiers, fed with highly tuned features, such as MFCC or PLP features. Recent advances in ``deep learning'' approaches questioned such systems, but while some attempts were made with simpler features such as spectrograms, state-of-the-art systems still rely on MFCCs. This might be viewed as a kind of failure from deep learning approaches, which are often claimed to have the ability to train with raw signals, alleviating the need of hand-crafted features. In this paper, we investigate a convolutional neural network approach for raw speech signals. While convolutional architectures got tremendous success in computer vision or text processing, they seem to have been let down in the past recent years in the speech processing field. We show that it is possible to learn an end-to-end phoneme sequence classifier system directly from raw signal, with similar performance on the TIMIT and WSJ datasets than existing systems based on MFCC, questioning the need of complex hand-crafted features on large datasets.Comment: NIPS Deep Learning Workshop, 201

Near-Miss Evaluation Bias as an Obstacle to Organizational Learning: Lessons from NASA

After the Shuttle Columbia catastrophe, the investigation board (CAIB) stated that NASA needs to develop a "learning culture", meaning a capability to learn from past failures by understanding the technical and organizational causes of these mistakes (CAIB report, 2003). While many organizations learn from obvious failures, we argue that it is harder for organizations to learn from near-miss events (i.e., situations where a failure does not occur but nearly did), because these near-misses are processed as successes. For the shuttle program, prior debris problems could have caused a similar failure as on the Columbia mission except that the large pieces missed the highly sensitive portions of the orbiter. This acceptance of foam debris was adopted as a normal occurrence by the shuttle program managers similar to the problems at the time of the Challenger Disaster (detailed in Vaughan, 1996). We extend that work to show that an outcome bias influences people's evaluation of project managers, such that managers of failed missions were perceived more poorly than managers who made the same decisions but whose mission ended in either success or a near-miss. The similarity of ratings between the near-miss and success condition imply that even when a problem occurs that is clearly linked to prior managerial decisions, if the project is not harmed because of good luck, that manager is not held accountable for faculty decision making and neither the individual manager nor the organization learn from the experience potentially increasing the likelihood of a failure in the future

After Ostpolitik: A New Russia and Eastern Europe Policy Based on Lessons from the Past

The large-scale Russian war of aggression against Ukraine that began in February 2022 demonstrates both the failure of Germany’s cooperative Ostpolitik of the last 30 years and the need for energy policy disentanglement. Russia has become the greatest security risk in Europe. To safeguard national and European security, Germany's ruling coalition must learn lessons from the past, initiate a radical new beginning in Germany’s policy on Russia and Eastern Europe, and assume a leadership role in Europe

“Went to build castles in the aire:” colonial failure in the Anglo-North Atlantic World, 1570-1640

This study examines the early phases of Anglo-North American colonization from 1570 to 1640 by employing the lenses of imagination and failure. I argue that English colonial projectors envisioned a North America that existed primarily in their minds – a place filled with marketable and profitable commodities waiting to be extracted. I historicize the imagined profitability of commodities like fish and sassafras, and use the extreme example of the unicorn to highlight and contextualize the unlimited potential that America held in the minds of early-modern projectors. My research on colonial failure encompasses the failure of not just physical colonies, but also the failure to pursue profitable commodities, and the failure to develop successful theories of colonization. After roughly seventy years of experience in America, Anglo projectors reevaluated their modus operandi by studying and drawing lessons from past colonial failure. Projectors learned slowly and marginally, and in some cases, did not seem to learn anything at all. However, the lack of learning the right lessons did not diminish the importance of this early phase of colonization. By exploring the variety, impracticability, and failure of plans for early settlement, this study investigates the persistent search for usefulness of America by Anglo colonial projectors in the face of high rate of colonial failures, and how the autoptic evidence gained from failure shaped their evolving theories of colonization

The Persistence of "Bad" Precedents and the Need forCommunication

Precedents can facilitate successful coordination within groups by reducing strategic uncertainty, but they may lead to coordination failure when two groups with diverging precedents have to interact. This paper describes an experiment to explore how such coordination failure can be mitigated and whether subjects are aware of it. In an initial phase, groups were able to establish a precedent in a repeated weakest-link game, and in a second phase two groups with di erent precedents are merged into a larger group. As expected, this leads to coordination failures. Unlike most of the previous literature, subjects could endogenously choose to communicate in the merged group for a small fee. The results suggest that communication can mitigate the coordination failure in the merged group and, in most cases, leads to efficient coordination. However, subjects in particular from groups with an efficient precedent in the initial phase are inattentive to the potential coordination failure and choose not to communicate. This can have profound consequences since groups who fail to implement communication are unable to achieve efficient coordination in the second phase. The results may be useful for the understanding of how groups learn to solve coordination problems from past coordination success or failure

Challenges in the Context of the Development and Application of Risk-informed Regulations in the Domain of Safety Technology

AbstractSafety regulations have a long historical perspective. Organizations like DIN, German Institute for Standardization (founded in 1917), ISO, International Organization for Standardization (founded in 1947), IEC, International Electrical Commission (founded in 1906) are promoters in that domain. The new era and the main focus of the paper are the transition of regulations from the descriptive format towards to a proactive format considering prognostic elements like: “what can happen if”. The transition to risk-informed regulations creates numerous challenges for the development and application on both performers, the inventor of the regulation and the user working at the industry. A successful transition is not only a typical technical and organisational achievement but also a legislative and juristic problem which has to be resolved. In the central part of the paper are typical challenges and drawbacks between the wishes of the regulators and the reality in industries representing the various domains of safety technologies. A substantial challenge is to gain the prerequisite for utilizing risk-infirmed regulations, namely to learn from the past for the prediction into the future. The learning from the past must be realised twofold. First, qualitatively based on verbal descriptions, underlined by physical data of abnormal events, incidents and accidents, perceived in the past, and secondly, quantitatively based on statistical evidence of probabilities of the occurrences. A significant category of statistical information needed is the so-called failure rate Lambda (λ) of a specific failure mode of the component of interest. Obviously, to payback lessons learned and to utilise and publish it in failure reports is in contrary to the strategic attitude of traditional industries. Finally, the paper summarizes some recommendations, were the leading focus of the diverse industrial endeavours should be to apply the selected examples of risk-informed regulations successfully