Building trajectories through clinical data to model disease progression

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Clinical trials are typically conducted over a population within a defined time period in order to illuminate certain characteristics of a health issue or disease process. These cross-sectional studies provide a snapshot of these disease processes over a large number of people but do not allow us to model the temporal nature of disease, which is essential for modeling detailed prognostic predictions. Longitudinal studies, on the other hand, are used to explore how these processes develop over time in a number of people but can be expensive and time-consuming, and many studies only cover a relatively small window within the disease process. This thesis describes the application of intelligent data analysis techniques for extracting information from time series generated by different diseases. The aim of this thesis is to identify intermediate stages in a disease process and sub-categories of the disease exhibiting subtly different symptoms. It explores the use of a bootstrap technique that fits trajectories through the data generating “pseudo time-series”. It addresses issues including: how clinical variables interact as a disease progresses along the trajectories in the data; and how to automatically identify different disease states along these trajectories, as well as the transitions between them. The thesis documents how reliable time-series models can be created from large amounts of historical cross-sectional data and a novel relabling/latent variable approach has enabled the exploration of the temporal nature of disease progression. The proposed algorithms are tested extensively on simulated data and on three real clinical datasets. Finally, a study is carried out to explore whether we can “calibrate” pseudo time-series models with real longitudinal data in order to improve them. Plausible directions for future research are discussed at the end of the thesis

Secondary Analysis of Electronic Health Records

Health Informatics; Ethics; Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery; Statistics for Life Sciences, Medicine, Health Science

Computational Intelligence Applied to Financial Price Prediction: A State of the Art Review

The following work aims to review the most important research from computational intelligence applied to the financial price prediction problem. The article is organized as follows: The first section summarizes the role of predictability in the Neoclassical financial world. This section also criticizes the zero predictability framework. The second section presents the main computational intelligence techniques applied to financial price prediction. The third section depicts common features of revised works

Timely and reliable evaluation of the effects of interventions: a framework for adaptive meta-analysis (FAME)

Most systematic reviews are retrospective and use aggregate data AD) from publications, meaning they can be unreliable, lag behind therapeutic developments and fail to influence ongoing or new trials. Commonly, the potential influence of unpublished or ongoing trials is overlooked when interpreting results, or determining the value of updating the meta-analysis or need to collect individual participant data (IPD). Therefore, we developed a Framework for Adaptive Metaanalysis (FAME) to determine prospectively the earliest opportunity for reliable AD meta-analysis. We illustrate FAME using two systematic reviews in men with metastatic (M1) and non-metastatic (M0)hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC)

Modern Approaches To Quality Control

Rapid advance have been made in the last decade in the quality control procedures and techniques, most of the existing books try to cover specific techniques with all of their details. The aim of this book is to demonstrate quality control processes in a variety of areas, ranging from pharmaceutical and medical fields to construction engineering and data quality. A wide range of techniques and procedures have been covered

Data Science in Healthcare

Data science is an interdisciplinary field that applies numerous techniques, such as machine learning, neural networks, and deep learning, to create value based on extracting knowledge and insights from available data. Advances in data science have a significant impact on healthcare. While advances in the sharing of medical information result in better and earlier diagnoses as well as more patient-tailored treatments, information management is also affected by trends such as increased patient centricity (with shared decision making), self-care (e.g., using wearables), and integrated care delivery. The delivery of health services is being revolutionized through the sharing and integration of health data across organizational boundaries. Via data science, researchers can deliver new approaches to merge, analyze, and process complex data and gain more actionable insights, understanding, and knowledge at the individual and population levels. This Special Issue focuses on how data science is used in healthcare (e.g., through predictive modeling) and on related topics, such as data sharing and data management

Distributed Computing and Monitoring Technologies for Older Patients

This book summarizes various approaches for the automatic detection of health threats to older patients at home living alone. The text begins by briefly describing those who would most benefit from healthcare supervision. The book then summarizes possible scenarios for monitoring an older patient at home, deriving the common functional requirements for monitoring technology. Next, the work identifies the state of the art of technological monitoring approaches that are practically applicable to geriatric patients. A survey is presented on a range of such interdisciplinary fields as smart homes, telemonitoring, ambient intelligence, ambient assisted living, gerontechnology, and aging-in-place technology. The book discusses relevant experimental studies, highlighting the application of sensor fusion, signal processing and machine learning techniques. Finally, the text discusses future challenges, offering a number of suggestions for further research directions