Assessing partnership alternatives in an IT network employing analytical methods

One of the main critical success factors for the companies is their ability to build and maintain an effective collaborative network. This is more critical in the IT industry where the development of sustainable competitive advantage requires an integration of various resources, platforms, and capabilities provided by various actors. Employing such a collaborative network will dramatically change the operations management and promote flexibility and agility. Despite its importance, there is a lack of an analytical tool on collaborative network building process. In this paper, we propose an optimization model employing AHP and multiobjective programming for collaborative network building process based on two interorganizational relationships’ theories, namely, (i) transaction cost theory and (ii) resource-based view, which are representative of short-term and long-term considerations. The five different methods were employed to solve the formulation and their performances were compared. The model is implemented in an IT company who was in process of developing a large-scale enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. The results show that the collaborative network formed through this selection process was more efficient in terms of cost, time, and development speed. The framework offers novel theoretical underpinning and analytical solutions and can be used as an effective tool in selecting network alternatives

Export diversification and resource-based industrialization: the case of natural gas

For resource-rich economies, primary commodity specialization has often been considered to be detrimental to growth. Accordingly, export diversification policies centered on resource-based industries have long been advocated as effective ways to moderate the large variability of export revenues. This paper discusses the applicability of a mean-variance portfolio approach to design these strategies and proposes some modifications aimed at capturing the key features of resource processing industries (presence of scale economies and investment lumpiness). These modifications help make the approach more plausible for use in resource-rich countries. An application to the case of natural gas is then discussed using data obtained from Monte Carlo simulations of a calibrated empirical model. Lastly, the proposed framework is put to work to evaluate the performances of the diversification strategies implemented in a set of nine gas-rich economies. These results are then used to formulate some policy recommendations

Export diversification through resource-based industrialization: The case of natural gas

For small resource-rich developing economies, specialization in raw exports is usually considered to be detrimental to growth and Resource-Based Industrialization (RBI) is often advocated to promote export diversification. This paper develops a new methodology to assess the performance of these RBI policies. We first formulate an adapted mean-variance portfolio model that explicitly takes into consideration: (i) a technology-based representation of the set of feasible export combinations and (ii) the cost structure of the resource processing industries. Second, we provide a computationally tractable reformulation of the resulting mixed-integer nonlinear optimization problem. Finally, we present an application to the case of natural gas, comparing current and efficient export-oriented industrialization strategies of nine gas-rich developing countries

The History of the Quantitative Methods in Finance Conference Series. 1992-2007

This report charts the history of the Quantitative Methods in Finance (QMF) conference from its beginning in 1993 to the 15th conference in 2007. It lists alphabetically the 1037 speakers who presented at all 15 conferences and the titles of their papers.

Sovereign Risk and Asset and Liability Management—Conceptual Issues

Country practices towards managing financial risks on a sovereign balance sheet continue to evolve. Each crisis period, and its legacy on sovereign balance sheets, reaffirms the need for strengthening financial risk management. This paper discusses some salient features embedded in the current generation of sovereign asset and liability management (SALM) approaches, including objectives, definitions of relevant assets and liabilities, and methodologies used in obtaining optimal SALM outcomes. These elements are used in developing an analytical SALM framework which could become an operational instrument in formulating asset management and debtor liability management strategies at the sovereign level. From a portfolio perspective, the SALM approach could help detect direct and derived sovereign risk exposures. It allows analyzing the financial characteristics of the balance sheet, identifying sources of costs and risks, and quantifying the correlations among these sources of risk. The paper also outlines institutional requirements in implementing an SALM framework and seeks to lay the ground for further policy and analytical work on this topi

A Generalized Description Length Approach for Sparse and Robust Index Tracking

We develop a new minimum description length criterion for index tracking, which deals with two main issues affecting portfolio weights: estimation errors and model misspecification. The criterion minimizes the uncertainty related to data distribution and model parameters by means of a generalized q-entropy measure, and performs model selection and estimation in a single step, by assuming a prior distribution on portfolio weights. The new approach results in sparse and robust portfolios in presence of outliers and high correlation, by penalizing observations and parameters that highly diverge from the assumed data model and prior distribution. The Monte Carlo simulations and the empirical study on financial data confirm the properties and the advantages of the proposed approach compared to state-of-art methods

Optimal Portfolio Management for Engineering Problems Using Nonconvex Cardinality Constraint: A Computing Perspective

The problem of portfolio management relates to the selection of optimal stocks, which results in a maximum return to the investor while minimizing the loss. Traditional approaches usually model the portfolio selection as a convex optimization problem and require the calculation of gradient. Note that gradient-based methods can stuck at local optimum for complex problems and the simplification of portfolio optimization to convex, and further solved using gradient-based methods, is at a high cost of solution accuracy. In this paper, we formulate a nonconvex model for the portfolio selection problem, which considers the transaction cost and cardinality constraint, thus better reflecting the decisive factor affecting the selection of portfolio in the real-world. Additionally, constraints are put into the objective function as penalty terms to enforce the restriction. Note that this reformulated problem cannot be readily solved by traditional methods based on gradient search due to its nonconvexity. Then, we apply the Beetle Antennae Search (BAS), a nature-inspired metaheuristic optimization algorithm capable of efficient global optimization, to solve the problem. We used a large real-world dataset containing historical stock prices to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed algorithm in practical scenarios. Extensive experimental results are presented to further demonstrate the efficacy and scalability of the BAS algorithm. The comparative results are also performed using Particle Swarm Optimizer (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Pattern Search (PS), and gradient-based fmincon (interior-point search) as benchmarks. The comparison results show that the BAS algorithm is six times faster in the worst case (25 times in the best case) as compared to the rival algorithms while achieving the same level of performance

Contributions to robust and bilevel optimization models for decision-making

Los problemas de optimización combinatorios han sido ampliamente estudiados en la literatura especializada desde mediados del siglo pasado. No obstante, en las últimas décadas ha habido un cambio de paradigma en el tratamiento de problemas cada vez más realistas, en los que se incluyen fuentes de aleatoriedad e incertidumbre en los datos, múltiples criterios de optimización y múltiples niveles de decisión. Esta tesis se desarrolla en este contexto. El objetivo principal de la misma es el de construir modelos de optimización que incorporen aspectos inciertos en los parámetros que de nen el problema así como el desarrollo de modelos que incluyan múltiples niveles de decisión. Para dar respuesta a problemas con incertidumbre usaremos los modelos Minmax Regret de Optimización Robusta, mientras que las situaciones con múltiples decisiones secuenciales serán analizadas usando Optimización Binivel. En los Capítulos 2, 3 y 4 se estudian diferentes problemas de decisión bajo incertidumbre a los que se dará una solución robusta que proteja al decisor minimizando el máximo regret en el que puede incurrir. El criterio minmax regret analiza el comportamiento del modelo bajo distintos escenarios posibles, comparando su e ciencia con la e ciencia óptima bajo cada escenario factible. El resultado es una solución con una eviciencia lo más próxima posible a la óptima en el conjunto de las posibles realizaciones de los parámetros desconocidos. En el Capítulo 2 se estudia un problema de diseño de redes en el que los costes, los pares proveedor-cliente y las demandas pueden ser inciertos, y además se utilizan poliedros para modelar la incertidumbre, permitiendo de este modo relaciones de dependencia entre los parámetros. En el Capítulo 3 se proponen, en el contexto de la secuenciación de tareas o la computación grid, versiones del problema del camino más corto y del problema del viajante de comercio en el que el coste de recorrer un arco depende de la posición que este ocupa en el camino, y además algunos de los parámetros que de nen esta función de costes son inciertos. La combinación de la dependencia en los costes y la incertidumbre en los parámetros da lugar a dependencias entre los parámetros desconocidos, que obliga a modelar los posibles escenarios usando conjuntos más generales que los hipercubos, habitualmente utilizados en este contexto. En este capítulo, usaremos poliedros generales para este cometido. Para analizar este primer bloque de aplicaciones, en el Capítulo 4, se analiza un modelo de optimización en el que el conjunto de posibles escenarios puede ser alterado mediante la realización de inversiones en el sistema. En los problemas estudiados en este primer bloque, cada decisión factible es evaluada en base a la reacción más desfavorable que pueda darse en el sistema. En los Capítulos 5 y 6 seguiremos usando esta idea pero ahora se supondrá que esa reacción a la decisión factible inicial está en manos de un adversario o follower. Estos dos capítulos se centran en el estudio de diferentes modelos binivel. La Optimización Binivel aborda problemas en los que existen dos niveles de decisión, con diferentes decisores en cada uno ellos y la decisión se toma de manera jerárquica. En concreto, en el Capítulo 5 se estudian distintos modelos de jación de precios en el contexto de selección de carteras de valores, en los que el intermediario nanciero, que se convierte en decisor, debe jar los costes de invertir en determinados activos y el inversor debe seleccionar su cartera de acuerdo a distintos criterios. Finalmente, en el Capítulo 6 se estudia un problema de localización en el que hay distintos decisores, con intereses contrapuestos, que deben determinar secuencialmente la ubicación de distintas localizaciones. Este modelo de localización binivel se puede aplicar en contextos como la localización de servicios no deseados o peligrosos (plantas de reciclaje, centrales térmicas, etcétera) o en problemas de ataque-defensa. Todos estos modelos se abordan mediante el uso de técnicas de Programación Matemática. De cada uno de ellos se analizan algunas de sus propiedades y se desarrollan formulaciones y algoritmos, que son examinados también desde el punto de vista computacional. Además, se justica la validez de los modelos desde un enfoque de las aplicaciones prácticas. Los modelos presentados en esta tesis comparten la peculiaridad de requerir resolver distintos problemas de optimización encajados.Combinatorial optimization problems have been extensively studied in the specialized literature since the mid-twentieth century. However, in recent decades, there has been a paradigm shift to the treatment of ever more realistic problems, which include sources of randomness and uncertainty in the data, multiple optimization criteria and multiple levels of decision. This thesis concerns the development of such concepts. Our objective is to study optimization models that incorporate uncertainty elements in the parameters de ning the model, as well as the development of optimization models integrating multiple decision levels. In order to consider problems under uncertainty, we use Minmax Regret models from Robust Optimization; whereas the multiplicity and hierarchy in the decision levels is addressed using Bilevel Optimization. In Chapters 2, 3 and 4, we study di erent decision problems under uncertainty to which we give a robust solution that protects the decision-maker minimizing the maximum regret that may occur. This robust criterion analyzes the performance of the system under multiple possible scenarios, comparing its e ciency with the optimum one under each feasible scenario. We obtain, as a result, a solution whose e ciency is as close as possible to the optimal one in the set of feasible realizations of the uncertain parameters. In Chapter 2, we study a network design problem in which the costs, the pairs supplier-customer, and the demands can take uncertain values. Furthermore, the uncertainty in the parameters is modeled via polyhedral sets, thereby allowing relationships among the uncertain parameters. In Chapter 3, we propose time-dependent versions of the shortest path and traveling salesman problems in which the costs of traversing an arc depends on the relative position that the arc occupies in the path. Moreover, we assume that some of the parameters de ning these costs can be uncertain. These models can be applied in the context of task sequencing or grid computing. The incorporation of time-dependencies together with uncertainties in the parameters gives rise to dependencies among the uncertain parameters, which require modeling the possible scenarios using more general sets than hypercubes, normally used in this context. In this chapter, we use general polyhedral sets with this purpose. To nalize this rst block of applications, in Chapter 4, we analyze an optimization model in which the set of possible scenarios can be modi ed by making some investments in the system. In the problems studied in this rst block, each feasible decision is evaluated based on the most unfavorable possible reaction of the system. In Chapters 5 and 6, we will still follow this idea, but assuming that the reaction to the initial feasible decision will be held by a follower or an adversary, instead of assuming the most unfavorable one. These two chapters are focused on the study of some bilevel models. Bilevel Optimization addresses optimization problems with multiple decision levels, di erent decision-makers in each level and a hierarchical decision order. In particular, in Chapter 5, we study some price setting problems in the context of portfolio selection. In these problems, the nancial intermediary becomes a decisionmaker and sets the transaction costs for investing in some securities, and the investor chooses her portfolio according to di erent criteria. Finally, in Chapter 6, we study a location problem with several decision-makers and opposite interests, that must set, sequentially, some location points. This bilevel location model can be applied in practical applications such as the location of semi-obnoxious facilities (power or electricity plants, waste dumps, etc.) or interdiction problems. All these models are stated from a Mathematical Programming perspective, analyzing their properties and developing formulations and algorithms, that are tested from a computational point of view. Furthermore, we pay special attention to justifying the validity of the models from the practical applications point of view. The models presented in this thesis share the characteristic of involving the resolution of nested optimization problems.Premio Extraordinario de Doctorado U