Mining, Modeling and Predicting Mobility

Mobility is a central aspect of our life, and our movements reveal much more about us than simply our whereabouts. In this thesis, we are interested in mobility and study it from three different perspectives: the modeling perspective, the information-theoretic perspective, and the data mining perspective. For the modeling perspective, we represent mobility as a probabilistic process described by both observable and latent variables, and we introduce formally the notion of individual and collective dimensions in mobility models. Ideally, we should take advantage of both dimensions to learn accurate mobility models, but the nature of data might limit us. We take a data-driven approach to study three scenarios, which differ on the nature of mobility data, and present, for each scenario, a mobility model that is tailored for it. The first scenario is individual-specific as we have mobility data about individuals but are unable to cross reference data from them. In the second scenario, we introduce the collective model that we use to overcome the sparsity of individual traces, and for which we assume that individuals in the same group exhibit similar mobility patterns. Finally, we present the ideal scenario, for which we can take advantage of both the individual and collective dimensions, and analyze collective mobility patterns in order to create individual models. In the second part of the thesis, we take an information-theoretic approach in order to quantify mobility uncertainty and its evolution with location updates. We discretize the userâs world to obtain a map that we represent as a mobility graph. We model mobility as a random walk on this graph âequivalent to a Markov chain âand quantify trajectory uncertainty as the entropy of the distribution over possible trajectories. In this setting, a location update amounts to conditioning on a particular state of the Markov chain, which requires the computation of the entropy of conditional Markov trajectories. Our main result enables us to compute this entropy through a transformation of the original Markov chain. We apply our framework to real-world mobility datasets and show that the influence of intermediate locations on trajectory entropy depends on the nature of these locations. We build on this finding and design a segmentation algorithm that uncovers intermediate destinations along a trajectory. The final perspective from which we analyze mobility is the data mining perspective: we go beyond simple mobility and analyze geo-tagged data that is generated by online social medias and that describes the whole user experience. We postulate that mining geo-tagged data enables us to obtain a rich representation of the user experience and all that surrounds its mobility. We propose a hierarchical probabilistic model that enables us to uncover specific descriptions of geographical regions, by analyzing the geo-tagged content generated by online social medias. By applying our method to a dataset of 8 million geo-tagged photos, we are able to associate with each neighborhood the tags that describe it specifically, and to find the most unique neighborhoods in a city

ISGSR 2011 - Proceedings of the 3rd International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk

Scientific standards applicable to publication of BAWProceedings: http://izw.baw.de/publikationen/vzb_dokumente_oeffentlich/0/2020_07_BAW_Scientific_standards_conference_proceedings.pd

Cyber Law and Espionage Law as Communicating Vessels

Professor Lubin\u27s contribution is Cyber Law and Espionage Law as Communicating Vessels, pp. 203-225. Existing legal literature would have us assume that espionage operations and “below-the-threshold” cyber operations are doctrinally distinct. Whereas one is subject to the scant, amorphous, and under-developed legal framework of espionage law, the other is subject to an emerging, ever-evolving body of legal rules, known cumulatively as cyber law. This dichotomy, however, is erroneous and misleading. In practice, espionage and cyber law function as communicating vessels, and so are better conceived as two elements of a complex system, Information Warfare (IW). This paper therefore first draws attention to the similarities between the practices – the fact that the actors, technologies, and targets are interchangeable, as are the knee-jerk legal reactions of the international community. In light of the convergence between peacetime Low-Intensity Cyber Operations (LICOs) and peacetime Espionage Operations (EOs) the two should be subjected to a single regulatory framework, one which recognizes the role intelligence plays in our public world order and which adopts a contextual and consequential method of inquiry. The paper proceeds in the following order: Part 2 provides a descriptive account of the unique symbiotic relationship between espionage and cyber law, and further explains the reasons for this dynamic. Part 3 places the discussion surrounding this relationship within the broader discourse on IW, making the claim that the convergence between EOs and LICOs, as described in Part 2, could further be explained by an even larger convergence across all the various elements of the informational environment. Parts 2 and 3 then serve as the backdrop for Part 4, which details the attempt of the drafters of the Tallinn Manual 2.0 to compartmentalize espionage law and cyber law, and the deficits of their approach. The paper concludes by proposing an alternative holistic understanding of espionage law, grounded in general principles of law, which is more practically transferable to the cyber realmhttps://www.repository.law.indiana.edu/facbooks/1220/thumbnail.jp

Generative Methods, Meta-learning, and Meta-heuristics for Robust Cyber Defense

Cyberspace is the digital communications network that supports the internet of battlefield things (IoBT), the model by which defense-centric sensors, computers, actuators and humans are digitally connected. A secure IoBT infrastructure facilitates real time implementation of the observe, orient, decide, act (OODA) loop across distributed subsystems. Successful hacking efforts by cyber criminals and strategic adversaries suggest that cyber systems such as the IoBT are not secure. Three lines of effort demonstrate a path towards a more robust IoBT. First, a baseline data set of enterprise cyber network traffic was collected and modelled with generative methods allowing the generation of realistic, synthetic cyber data. Next, adversarial examples of cyber packets were algorithmically crafted to fool network intrusion detection systems while maintaining packet functionality. Finally, a framework is presented that uses meta-learning to combine the predictive power of various weak models. This resulted in a meta-model that outperforms all baseline classifiers with respect to overall accuracy of packets, and adversarial example detection rate. The National Defense Strategy underscores cybersecurity as an imperative to defend the homeland and maintain a military advantage in the information age. This research provides both academic perspective and applied techniques to to further the cybersecurity posture of the Department of Defense into the information age

Knowledge Modelling and Learning through Cognitive Networks

One of the most promising developments in modelling knowledge is cognitive network science, which aims to investigate cognitive phenomena driven by the networked, associative organization of knowledge. For example, investigating the structure of semantic memory via semantic networks has illuminated how memory recall patterns influence phenomena such as creativity, memory search, learning, and more generally, knowledge acquisition, exploration, and exploitation. In parallel, neural network models for artificial intelligence (AI) are also becoming more widespread as inferential models for understanding which features drive language-related phenomena such as meaning reconstruction, stance detection, and emotional profiling. Whereas cognitive networks map explicitly which entities engage in associative relationships, neural networks perform an implicit mapping of correlations in cognitive data as weights, obtained after training over labelled data and whose interpretation is not immediately evident to the experimenter. This book aims to bring together quantitative, innovative research that focuses on modelling knowledge through cognitive and neural networks to gain insight into mechanisms driving cognitive processes related to knowledge structuring, exploration, and learning. The book comprises a variety of publication types, including reviews and theoretical papers, empirical research, computational modelling, and big data analysis. All papers here share a commonality: they demonstrate how the application of network science and AI can extend and broaden cognitive science in ways that traditional approaches cannot

Analyzing Granger causality in climate data with time series classification methods

Attribution studies in climate science aim for scientifically ascertaining the influence of climatic variations on natural or anthropogenic factors. Many of those studies adopt the concept of Granger causality to infer statistical cause-effect relationships, while utilizing traditional autoregressive models. In this article, we investigate the potential of state-of-the-art time series classification techniques to enhance causal inference in climate science. We conduct a comparative experimental study of different types of algorithms on a large test suite that comprises a unique collection of datasets from the area of climate-vegetation dynamics. The results indicate that specialized time series classification methods are able to improve existing inference procedures. Substantial differences are observed among the methods that were tested

Stratégies pour le raisonnement sur le contexte dans les environnements d assistance pour les personnes âgées

Tirant parti de notre expérience avec une approche traditionnelle des environnements d'assistance ambiante (AAL) qui repose sur l'utilisation de nombreuses technologies hétérogènes dans les déploiements, cette thèse étudie la possibilité d'une approche simplifiée et complémentaire, ou seul un sous-ensemble hardware réduit est déployé, initiant un transfert de complexité vers le côté logiciel. Axé sur les aspects de raisonnement dans les systèmes AAL, ce travail a permis à la proposition d'un moteur d'inférence sémantique adapté à l'utilisation particulière à ces systèmes, répondant ainsi à un besoin de la communauté scientifique. Prenant en compte la grossière granularité des données situationnelles disponible avec une telle approche, un ensemble de règles dédiées avec des stratégies d'inférence adaptées est proposé, implémenté et validé en utilisant ce moteur. Un mécanisme de raisonnement sémantique novateur est proposé sur la base d'une architecture de raisonnement inspiré du système cognitif. Enfin, le système de raisonnement est intégré dans un framework de provision de services sensible au contexte, se chargeant de l'intelligence vis-à-vis des données contextuelles en effectuant un traitement des événements en direct par des manipulations ontologiques complexes. L ensemble du système est validé par des déploiements in-situ dans une maison de retraite ainsi que dans des maisons privées, ce qui en soi est remarquable dans un domaine de recherche principalement cantonné aux laboratoiresLeveraging our experience with the traditional approach to ambient assisted living (AAL) which relies on a large spread of heterogeneous technologies in deployments, this thesis studies the possibility of a more stripped down and complementary approach, where only a reduced hardware subset is deployed, probing a transfer of complexity towards the software side, and enhancing the large scale deployability of the solution. Focused on the reasoning aspects in AAL systems, this work has allowed the finding of a suitable semantic inference engine for the peculiar use in these systems, responding to a need in this scientific community. Considering the coarse granularity of situational data available, dedicated rule-sets with adapted inference strategies are proposed, implemented, and validated using this engine. A novel semantic reasoning mechanism is proposed based on a cognitively inspired reasoning architecture. Finally, the whole reasoning system is integrated in a fully featured context-aware service framework, powering its context awareness by performing live event processing through complex ontological manipulation. the overall system is validated through in-situ deployments in a nursing home as well as private homes over a few months period, which itself is noticeable in a mainly laboratory-bound research domainEVRY-INT (912282302) / SudocSudocFranceF

Cyber Security

This open access book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 16th International Annual Conference on Cyber Security, CNCERT 2020, held in Beijing, China, in August 2020. The 17 papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 58 submissions. The papers are organized according to the following topical sections: access control; cryptography; denial-of-service attacks; hardware security implementation; intrusion/anomaly detection and malware mitigation; social network security and privacy; systems security