24,868 research outputs found
Robust filtering for a class of stochastic uncertain nonlinear time-delay systems via exponential state estimation
Copyright [2001] IEEE. This material is posted here with permission of the IEEE. Such permission of the IEEE does not in any way imply IEEE endorsement of any of Brunel University's products or services. Internal or personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution must be obtained from the IEEE by writing to [email protected]. By choosing to view this document, you agree to all provisions of the copyright laws protecting it.We investigate the robust filter design problem for a class of nonlinear time-delay stochastic systems. The system under study involves stochastics, unknown state time-delay, parameter uncertainties, and unknown nonlinear disturbances, which are all often encountered in practice and the sources of instability. The aim of this problem is to design a linear, delayless, uncertainty-independent state estimator such that for all admissible uncertainties as well as nonlinear disturbances, the dynamics of the estimation error is stochastically exponentially stable in the mean square, independent of the time delay. Sufficient conditions are proposed to guarantee the existence of desired robust exponential filters, which are derived in terms of the solutions to algebraic Riccati inequalities. The developed theory is illustrated by numerical simulatio
A Bayesian Filtering Algorithm for Gaussian Mixture Models
A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space
systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact
solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number
of mixture terms and this is handled here by utilising a Gaussian mixture
reduction step after both the time and measurement updates. In addition, a
square-root implementation of the unified algorithm is presented and this
algorithm is profiled on several simulated systems. This includes the state
estimation for two non-linear systems that are strictly outside the class
considered in this paper
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Nonlinear filtering for state delayed systems with Markovian switching
Copyright [2003] IEEE. This material is posted here with permission of the IEEE. Such permission of the IEEE does not in any way imply IEEE endorsement of any of Brunel University's products or services. Internal or personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution must be obtained from the IEEE by writing to [email protected]. By choosing to view this document, you agree to all provisions of the copyright laws protecting it.This paper deals with the filtering problem for a general class of nonlinear time-delay systems with Markovian jumping parameters. The nonlinear time-delay stochastic systems may switch from one to the others according to the behavior of a Markov chain. The purpose of the problem addressed is to design a nonlinear full-order filter such that the dynamics of the estimation error is guaranteed to be stochastically exponentially stable in the mean square. Both filter analysis and synthesis problems are investigated. Sufficient conditions are established for the existence of the desired exponential filters, which are expressed in terms of the solutions to a set of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). The explicit expression of the desired filters is also provided. A simulation example is given to illustrate the design procedures and performances of the proposed method
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Exponential filtering for uncertain Markovian jump time-delay systems with nonlinear disturbances
Copyright [2004] IEEE. This material is posted here with permission of the IEEE. Such permission of the IEEE does not in any way imply IEEE endorsement of any of Brunel University's products or services. Internal or personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution must be obtained from the IEEE by writing to [email protected]. By choosing to view this document, you agree to all provisions of the copyright laws protecting it.In this paper, we study the robust exponential filter design problem for a class of uncertain time-delay systems with both Markovian jumping parameters and nonlinear disturbances. The jumping parameters considered here are generated from a continuous-time discrete-state homogeneous Markov process, and the parameter uncertainties appearing in the state and output equations are real, time dependent, and norm bounded. The time-delay and the nonlinear disturbances are assumed to be unknown. The purpose of the problem under investigation is to design a linear, delay-free, uncertainty-independent state estimator such that, for all admissible uncertainties as well as nonlinear disturbances, the dynamics of the estimation error is stochastically exponentially stable in the mean square, independent of the time delay. We address both the filtering analysis and synthesis issues, and show that the problem of exponential filtering for the class of uncertain time-delay jump systems with nonlinear disturbances can be solved in terms of the solutions to a set of linear (quadratic) matrix inequalities. A numerical example is exploited to demonstrate the usefulness of the developed theory
Dimension reduction for systems with slow relaxation
We develop reduced, stochastic models for high dimensional, dissipative
dynamical systems that relax very slowly to equilibrium and can encode long
term memory. We present a variety of empirical and first principles approaches
for model reduction, and build a mathematical framework for analyzing the
reduced models. We introduce the notions of universal and asymptotic filters to
characterize `optimal' model reductions for sloppy linear models. We illustrate
our methods by applying them to the practically important problem of modeling
evaporation in oil spills.Comment: 48 Pages, 13 figures. Paper dedicated to the memory of Leo Kadanof
Nonlinear stability and ergodicity of ensemble based Kalman filters
The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and ensemble square root filter (ESRF) are
data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional, nonlinear dynamical
models with observed data. Despite their widespread usage in climate science
and oil reservoir simulation, very little is known about the long-time behavior
of these methods and why they are effective when applied with modest ensemble
sizes in large dimensional turbulent dynamical systems. By following the basic
principles of energy dissipation and controllability of filters, this paper
establishes a simple, systematic and rigorous framework for the nonlinear
analysis of EnKF and ESRF with arbitrary ensemble size, focusing on the
dynamical properties of boundedness and geometric ergodicity. The time uniform
boundedness guarantees that the filter estimate will not diverge to machine
infinity in finite time, which is a potential threat for EnKF and ESQF known as
the catastrophic filter divergence. Geometric ergodicity ensures in addition
that the filter has a unique invariant measure and that initialization errors
will dissipate exponentially in time. We establish these results by introducing
a natural notion of observable energy dissipation. The time uniform bound is
achieved through a simple Lyapunov function argument, this result applies to
systems with complete observations and strong kinetic energy dissipation, but
also to concrete examples with incomplete observations. With the Lyapunov
function argument established, the geometric ergodicity is obtained by
verifying the controllability of the filter processes; in particular, such
analysis for ESQF relies on a careful multivariate perturbation analysis of the
covariance eigen-structure.Comment: 38 page
Stochastic Volatility Filtering with Intractable Likelihoods
This paper is concerned with particle filtering for -stable
stochastic volatility models. The -stable distribution provides a
flexible framework for modeling asymmetry and heavy tails, which is useful when
modeling financial returns. An issue with this distributional assumption is the
lack of a closed form for the probability density function. To estimate the
volatility of financial returns in this setting, we develop a novel auxiliary
particle filter. The algorithm we develop can be easily applied to any hidden
Markov model for which the likelihood function is intractable or
computationally expensive. The approximate target distribution of our auxiliary
filter is based on the idea of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). ABC
methods allow for inference on posterior quantities in situations when the
likelihood of the underlying model is not available in closed form, but
simulating samples from it is possible. The ABC auxiliary particle filter
(ABC-APF) that we propose provides not only a good alternative to state
estimation in stochastic volatility models, but it also improves on the
existing ABC literature. It allows for more flexibility in state estimation
while improving on the accuracy through better proposal distributions in cases
when the optimal importance density of the filter is unavailable in closed
form. We assess the performance of the ABC-APF on a simulated dataset from the
-stable stochastic volatility model and compare it to other currently
existing ABC filters
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