Overlearning in marginal distribution-based ICA: analysis and solutions

The present paper is written as a word of caution, with users of independent component analysis (ICA) in mind, to overlearning phenomena that are often observed.\\ We consider two types of overlearning, typical to high-order statistics based ICA. These algorithms can be seen to maximise the negentropy of the source estimates. The first kind of overlearning results in the generation of spike-like signals, if there are not enough samples in the data or there is a considerable amount of noise present. It is argued that, if the data has power spectrum characterised by $1/f$ curve, we face a more severe problem, which cannot be solved inside the strict ICA model. This overlearning is better characterised by bumps instead of spikes. Both overlearning types are demonstrated in the case of artificial signals as well as magnetoencephalograms (MEG). Several methods are suggested to circumvent both types, either by making the estimation of the ICA model more robust or by including further modelling of the data

Extraction of the underlying structure of systematic risk from non-Gaussian multivariate financial time series using independent component analysis: Evidence from the Mexican stock exchange

Regarding the problems related to multivariate non-Gaussianity of financial time series, i.e., unreliable results in extraction of underlying risk factors -via Principal Component Analysis or Factor Analysis-, we use Independent Component Analysis (ICA) to estimate the pervasive risk factors that explain the returns on stocks in the Mexican Stock Exchange. The extracted systematic risk factors are considered within a statistical definition of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), which is tested by means of a two-stage econometric methodology. Using the extracted factors, we find evidence of a suitable estimation via ICA and some results in favor of the APT.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Stochastic trapping in a solvable model of on-line independent component analysis

Previous analytical studies of on-line Independent Component Analysis (ICA) learning rules have focussed on asymptotic stability and efficiency. In practice the transient stages of learning will often be more significant in determining the success of an algorithm. This is demonstrated here with an analysis of a Hebbian ICA algorithm which can find a small number of non-Gaussian components given data composed of a linear mixture of independent source signals. An idealised data model is considered in which the sources comprise a number of non-Gaussian and Gaussian sources and a solution to the dynamics is obtained in the limit where the number of Gaussian sources is infinite. Previous stability results are confirmed by expanding around optimal fixed points, where a closed form solution to the learning dynamics is obtained. However, stochastic effects are shown to stabilise otherwise unstable sub-optimal fixed points. Conditions required to destabilise one such fixed point are obtained for the case of a single non-Gaussian component, indicating that the initial learning rate \eta required to successfully escape is very low (\eta = O(N^{-2}) where N is the data dimension) resulting in very slow learning typically requiring O(N^3) iterations. Simulations confirm that this picture holds for a finite system.Comment: 17 pages, 3 figures. To appear in Neural Computatio