Multi-step Ahead Inflow Forecasting for a Norwegian Hydro-Power Use-Case, Based on Spatial-Temporal Attention Mechanism

Hydrological forecasting has been an ongoing area of research due to its importance to improve decision making on water resource management, flood management, and climate change mitigation. With the increasing availability of hydrological data, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have started to play an important role, enabling us to better understand and predict complex hydrological events. However, some challenges remain. Hydrological processes have spatial and temporal dependencies that are not always easy to capture with traditional ML models, and a thorough understanding of these dependencies is essential when developing accurate predictive models. This thesis explores the use of ML techniques in hydrological forecasting and consists of an introduction, two papers, and an application developed alongside the case study. The motivation for this research is to enhance our understanding of the spatial and temporal dependencies in hydrological processes and to explore how ML techniques, particularly those incorporating attention mechanisms, can aid in hydrological forecasting. The first paper is a chronological literature review that explores the development of data-driven forecasting in hydrology, and highlighting the potential application of attention mechanisms in hydrological forecasting. These attention mechanisms have proven to be successful in various domains, allowing models to focus on the most relevant parts of the input for making predictions, which is particularly useful when dealing with spatial and temporal data. The second paper is a case study of a specific ML model incorporating these attention mechanisms. The focus is to illustrate the influence of spatial and temporal dependencies in a real-world hydrological forecasting scenario, thereby showcasing the practical application of these techniques. In parallel with the case study, an application has been developed, employing the principles and techniques discovered throughout the course of this research. The application aims to provide a practical demonstration of the concepts explored in the thesis, contributing to the field of hydrological forecasting by introducing a tool for hydropower suppliers.Masteroppgave i Programvareutvikling samarbeid med HVLPROG399MAMN-PRO

Advanced neural networks : finance, forecast, and other applications

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Aeronautical engineering: A continuing bibliography with indexes (supplement 257)

This bibliography lists 560 reports, articles, and other documents introduced into the NASA scientific and technical information system in September 1990. Subject coverage includes: design, construction and testing of aircraft and aircraft engines; aircraft components, equipment and systems; ground support systems; and theoretical and applied aspects of aerodynamics and general fluid dynamics

Management: A bibliography for NASA Managers

This bibliography lists 707 reports, articles and other documents introduced into the NASA scientific and technology information system in 1985. Items are selected and grouped according to their usefulness to the manager as manager. Citations are grouped into ten subject categories: human factors and personnel issues; management theory and techniques; industrial management and manufacturing; robotics and expert systems; computers and information management; research and development; economics, costs, and markets; logistics and operations management; reliability and quality control; and legality, legislation, and policy

Raphtory: Modelling, Maintenance and Analysis of Distributed Temporal Graphs.

PhD ThesesTemporal graphs capture the development of relationships within data throughout time. This model ts naturally within a streaming architecture, where new events can be inserted directly into the graph upon arrival from a data source and be compared to related entities or historical state. However, the majority of graph processing systems only consider traditional graph analysis on static data, whilst those which do expand past this often only support batched updating and delta analysis across graph snapshots. In this work we de ne a temporal property graph model and the semantics for updating it in both a distributed and non-distributed context. We have built Raphtory, a distributed temporal graph analytics platform which maintains the full graph history in memory, leveraging the de ned update semantics to insert streamed events directly into the model without batching or centralised ordering. In parallel with the ingestion, traditional and time-aware analytics may be performed on the most up-to-date version of the graph, as well as any point throughout its history. The depth of history viewed from the perspective of a time point may also be varied to explore both short and long term patterns within the data. Through this we extract novel insights over a variety of use cases, including phenomena never seen before in social networks. Finally, we demonstrate Raphtory's ability to scale both vertically and horizontally, handling consistent throughput in excess of 100,000 updates a second alongside the ingestion and maintenance of graphs built from billions of events

Proceedings of the ECCOMAS Thematic Conference on Multibody Dynamics 2015

This volume contains the full papers accepted for presentation at the ECCOMAS Thematic Conference on Multibody Dynamics 2015 held in the Barcelona School of Industrial Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, on June 29 - July 2, 2015. The ECCOMAS Thematic Conference on Multibody Dynamics is an international meeting held once every two years in a European country. Continuing the very successful series of past conferences that have been organized in Lisbon (2003), Madrid (2005), Milan (2007), Warsaw (2009), Brussels (2011) and Zagreb (2013); this edition will once again serve as a meeting point for the international researchers, scientists and experts from academia, research laboratories and industry working in the area of multibody dynamics. Applications are related to many fields of contemporary engineering, such as vehicle and railway systems, aeronautical and space vehicles, robotic manipulators, mechatronic and autonomous systems, smart structures, biomechanical systems and nanotechnologies. The topics of the conference include, but are not restricted to: ● Formulations and Numerical Methods ● Efficient Methods and Real-Time Applications ● Flexible Multibody Dynamics ● Contact Dynamics and Constraints ● Multiphysics and Coupled Problems ● Control and Optimization ● Software Development and Computer Technology ● Aerospace and Maritime Applications ● Biomechanics ● Railroad Vehicle Dynamics ● Road Vehicle Dynamics ● Robotics ● Benchmark ProblemsPostprint (published version

Proceedings of the NASA Conference on Space Telerobotics, volume 5

Papers presented at the NASA Conference on Space Telerobotics are compiled. The theme of the conference was man-machine collaboration in space. The conference provided a forum for researchers and engineers to exchange ideas on the research and development required for the application of telerobotics technology to the space systems planned for the 1990's and beyond. Volume 5 contains papers related to the following subject areas: robot arm modeling and control, special topics in telerobotics, telerobotic space operations, manipulator control, flight experiment concepts, manipulator coordination, issues in artificial intelligence systems, and research activities at the Johnson Space Center

A Hybrid Modelling Framework for Real-time Decision-support for Urgent and Emergency Healthcare

In healthcare, opportunities to use real-time data to support quick and effective decision-making are expanding rapidly, as data increases in volume, velocity and variety. In parallel, the need for short-term decision-support to improve system resilience is increasingly relevant, with the recent COVID-19 crisis underlining the pressure that our healthcare services are under to deliver safe, effective, quality care in the face of rapidly-shifting parameters. A real-time hybrid model (HM) which combines real-time data, predictions, and simulation, has the potential to support short-term decision-making in healthcare. Considering decision-making as a consequence of situation awareness focuses the HM on what information is needed where, when, how, and by whom with a view toward sustained implementation. However the articulation between real-time decision-support tools and a sociotechnical approach to their development and implementation is currently lacking in the literature. Having identified the need for a conceptual framework to support the development of real-time HMs for short-term decision-support, this research proposed and tested the Integrated Hybrid Analytics Framework (IHAF) through an examination of the stages of a Design Science methodology and insights from the literature examining decision-making in dynamic, sociotechnical systems, data analytics, and simulation. Informed by IHAF, a HM was developed using real-time Emergency Department data, time-series forecasting, and discrete-event simulation. The application started with patient questionnaires to support problem definition and to act as a formative evaluation, and was subsequently evaluated using staff interviews. Evaluation of the application found multiple examples where the objectives of people or sub-systems are not aligned, resulting in inefficiencies and other quality problems, which are characteristic of complex adaptive sociotechnical systems. Synthesis of the literature, the formative evaluation, and the final evaluation found significant themes which can act as antecedents or evaluation criteria for future real-time HM studies in sociotechnical systems, in particular in healthcare. The generic utility of IHAF is emphasised for supporting future applications in similar domains

LIPIcs, Volume 261, ICALP 2023, Complete Volume

LIPIcs, Volume 261, ICALP 2023, Complete Volum