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    Conditional PASTA

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    Let Y be a stochastic process representing the state of a system and N a doubly stochastic Poisson process whose intensity varies with the state of a random environment represented by a stochastic process X. In this context a generalization of “PASTA” (Poisson Arrivals See Time Averages) is shown to be valid. Various applications of the result are given

    Testing conditional independence using maximal nonlinear conditional correlation

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    In this paper, the maximal nonlinear conditional correlation of two random vectors XX and YY given another random vector ZZ, denoted by ρ1(X,YZ)\rho_1(X,Y|Z), is defined as a measure of conditional association, which satisfies certain desirable properties. When ZZ is continuous, a test for testing the conditional independence of XX and YY given ZZ is constructed based on the estimator of a weighted average of the form k=1nZfZ(zk)ρ12(X,YZ=zk)\sum_{k=1}^{n_Z}f_Z(z_k)\rho^2_1(X,Y|Z=z_k), where fZf_Z is the probability density function of ZZ and the zkz_k's are some points in the range of ZZ. Under some conditions, it is shown that the test statistic is asymptotically normal under conditional independence, and the test is consistent.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-AOS770 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
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