The role of multiple images and model priors in measuring H0H_0 from supernova Refsdal in galaxy cluster MACS J1149.5+2223

Multiple image gravitational lensing systems with measured time delays provide a promising one-step method for determining $H_0$. MACS J1149, which lenses SN Refsdal into a quad S1-S4, and two other widely separated images, SX and SY, is a perfect candidate. If time delays are pinned down, the remaining uncertainty arises from the mass distribution in the lens. In MACS J1149, the mass in the relevant lens plane region can be constrained by (i) many multiple images, (ii) the mass of the galaxy splitting S1-S4 (which, we show, is correlated with $H_0$), (iii) magnification of SX (also correlated with $H_0$), and (iv) prior assumptions on the mass distribution. Our goal is not to estimate $H_0$, but to understand its error budget, i.e., estimate uncertainties associated with each of these constraints. Using multiple image positions alone, yields very large uncertainty, despite the fact that the position of SX is recovered to within $\!\le\!0.036$" (rms $\!\le\!0.36$") by GRALE lens inversion. Fixing the mass of the galaxy that splits S1-S4 reduces $1\sigma$ uncertainties to $\sim 23\%$, while fixing the magnification of SX yields $1\sigma$ uncertainties of $32\%$. We conclude that smaller uncertainties, of order few percent, are a consequence of imposing prior assumptions on the shapes of the galaxy and cluster mass distributions, which may or may not apply in a highly non-equilibrium environment of a merging cluster. We propose that if a measurement of $H_0$ is to be considered reliable, it must be supported by a wide range of lens inversion methods.Comment: 14 pages, 11 figures, accepted to MNRA

Angular correlations between LBQS and APM: Weak Lensing by the Large Scale Structure

We detect a positive angular correlation between bright, high-redshift QSOs and foreground galaxies. The QSOs are taken from the optically selected LBQS Catalogue, while the galaxies are from the APM Survey. The correlation amplitude is about a few percent on angular scales of over a degree. It is a function of QSO redshift and apparent magnitude, in a way expected from weak lensing, and inconsistent with QSO-galaxy correlations being caused by physical associations, or uneven obscuration by Galactic dust. The correlations are ascribed to the weak lensing effect of the foreground dark matter, which is traced by the APM galaxies. The amplitude of the effect found here is compared to the analytical predictions from the literature, and to the predictions of a phenomenological model, which is based on the observed counts-in-cells distribution of APM galaxies. While the latter agree reasonably well with the analytical predictions (namely those of Dolag & Bartelmann 1997, and Sanz et al. 1997), both under-predict the observed correlation amplitude on degree angular scales. We consider the possible ways to reconcile these observations with theory, and discuss the implications these observations have on some aspects of extragalactic astronomy.Comment: 9 pages; MNRAS, in pres

Image Separation vs. Redshift of Lensed QSOs: Implications for Galaxy Mass Profiles

Recently, Park and Gott reported an interesting observation: image separation of lensed QSOs declines with QSO redshift more precipitously than expected in any realistic world model, if the lenses are taken to be either singular isothermal spheres or point masses. In this Letter I propose that the observed trend arises naturally if the lensing galaxies have logarithmic surface mass density profiles that gradually change with radius. If the observed lack of central (odd) images is also taken into account, the data favor a universal dark matter density profile over an isothermal sphere with a core. Since the trend of image separation vs. source redshift is mostly a reflection of galaxy properties, it cannot be straightforwardly used as a test of cosmological models. Furthermore, the current upper limits on the cosmological constant may have to be revised.Comment: 6 pages, including 3 figures, LaTeX. Accepted to MNRA

The impact of Λ\LambdaCDM substructure and baryon-dark matter transition on the image positions of quad galaxy lenses

The positions of multiple images in galaxy lenses are related to the galaxy mass distribution. Smooth elliptical mass profiles were previously shown to be inadequate in reproducing the quad population. In this paper, we explore the deviations from such smooth elliptical mass distributions. Unlike most other work, we use a model-free approach based on the relative polar image angles of quads, and their position in 3D space with respect to the Fundamental Surface of Quads. The FSQ is defined by quads produced by elliptical lenses. We have generated thousands of quads from synthetic populations of lenses with substructure consistent with $\Lambda$CDM simulations, and found that such perturbations are not sufficient to match the observed distribution of quads relative to the FSQ. The result is unchanged even when subhalo masses are increased by a factor of ten, and the most optimistic lensing selection bias is applied. We then produce quads from galaxies created using two components, representing baryons and dark matter. The transition from the mass being dominated by baryons in inner radii to being dominated by dark matter in outer radii can carry with it asymmetries, which would affect relative image angles. We run preliminary experiments using lenses with two elliptical mass components with nonidentical axis ratios and position angles, perturbations from ellipticity in the form of nonzero Fourier coefficients $a_4$ and $a_6$, and artificially offset ellipse centers as a proxy for asymmetry at image radii. We show that combination of these effects is a promising way of accounting for quad population properties. We conclude that the quad population provides a unique and sensitive tool for constraining detailed mass distribution in the centers of galaxies.Comment: 18 pages, 15 figures, 2 table

Cluster Reconstruction from Combined Strong and Weak Lensing

The lensing information provided by multiple images, arclets, and statistical distortions can all be formulated as linear constraints on the arrival-time surface, and hence on the mass distribution. This reduces cluster lens reconstruction from combined strong and weak lensing to a standard type of inversion problem. Moreover, the mass sheet degeneracy is broken if there are sources at different redshifts.Comment: 8 pages incl 6 figures. Invited talk at "Gravitational Lensing: Recent Progress and Future Goals", Boston University, MA, July 1999, eds. T.G. Brainerd and C.S. Kochane

Statistical mechanics of collisionless orbits. III. Comparison with N-body simulations

We compare the DARKexp differential energy distribution, N(E) \propto \exp(\phi_0-E)-1, obtained from statistical mechanical considerations, to the results of N-body simulations of dark matter halos. We first demonstrate that if DARKexp halos had anisotropic velocity distributions similar to those of N-body simulated halos, their density and energy distributions could not be distinguished from those of isotropic DARKexp halos. We next carry out the comparison in two ways, using (1) the actual energy distribution extracted from simulations, and (2) N-body fitting formula for the density distribution as well as N(E) computed from the density using the isotropic Eddington formula. Both the methods independently agree that DARKexp N(E) with \phi_0\approx 4-5 is an excellent match to N-body N(E). Our results suggest (but do not prove) that statistical mechanical principles of maximum entropy can be used to explain the equilibrated final product of N-body simulations.Comment: 17 pages, 7 figures; ApJ, in pres