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(CSV)</p

Distribution of ODn vs days since EDDI of CEPHIA evaluation panel specimens from subjects who were HIV positive, ART-naïve and non-elite controllers.

Distribution of ODn vs days since EDDI of CEPHIA evaluation panel specimens from subjects who were HIV positive, ART-naïve and non-elite controllers.</p

Posterior distribution of various ODn values for an inter-test interval of 600 days.

Posterior distribution of various ODn values for an inter-test interval of 600 days.</p

Posterior distribution of various ODn values and inter-test intervals of last negative and first positive HIV test, i.e., <i>L</i>(<i>h</i>|<i>t</i>).

A—inter-test interval of 50 days; B—inter-test interval of 100 days; C—inter-test interval of 300 days; D—inter-test interval of 600 days.</p

Posterior distribution of various ODn values for an inter-test interval of 300 days, using a sigmoidal prior as described in the text/indicated in Black.

Posterior distribution of various ODn values for an inter-test interval of 300 days, using a sigmoidal prior as described in the text/indicated in Black.</p

Percentile curves generated from probability of exhibiting the recent marker as a function of time since detectable infection—<i>P</i>_<i>r</i>(<i>t</i>).

Percentile curves generated from probability of exhibiting the recent marker as a function of time since detectable infection—Pr(t).</p

Probability of exhibiting the recent marker as a function of time since detectable infection.

Probability of exhibiting the recent marker as a function of time since detectable infection.</p

The effect of changing from a Gaussian to a skew-normal on the estimated regression coefficients, with 95% credible intervals, in the slope model.

The effect of changing from a Gaussian to a skew-normal on the estimated regression coefficients, with 95% credible intervals, in the slope model.</p

Predicted posterior median CD4 counts trajectory by covariate strata for the slope of CD4 count model, with 95% prediction intervals.

A. baseline CD4 count (cells/μL), B. sex, C. baseline age (years), D. baseline log10 VL (copies/mL). Median predicted CD4 counts from model 1, is plotted. The red, black or blue dots represent predicted median CD4 count at different time points, and the bars are the whiskers.</p

Posterior mean odds ratios and 95% credible intervals of the regression coefficients for the binary longitudinal models with response: CD4 counts ≥500 cells/μL.

Posterior mean odds ratios and 95% credible intervals of the regression coefficients for the binary longitudinal models with response: CD4 counts ≥500 cells/μL.</p