Epidemiologic application of verbal autopsy to investigate the high occurrence of cancer along Huai River Basin, China

Abstract Background In 2004, the media repeatedly reported water pollution and "cancer villages" along the Huai River in China. Due to the lack of death records for more than 30 years, a retrospective survey of causes of death using verbal autopsy was carried out to investigate cancer rates in this area. Methods An epidemiologic study was designed to compare numbers of deaths and causes of death between the study areas with water pollution and the control areas without water pollution in S County and Y District in 2005. The study areas were selected based on the distribution of the Huai River and its tributaries. Verbal autopsy was used to assist cause of death (COD) diagnoses and to verify mortality rates. The standard mortality rates (SMRs) of cancer in the study area were compared with those in the control areas. In order to verify the difference between mortality rates due to cancers in the study and the control areas, patients who reported having cancer in the survey received a second diagnosis by national and provincial oncologists with pathological and laboratory examinations. Comparisons were made to determine if differential cancer prevalence rates in the study and control areas were similar to the difference in mortality due to cancer in these study and control areas. Mortality rates of cancers in study and control areas were also compared with national statistics for the rural population of China. Results Over five years, 3,301 deaths were identified, including 1,158 cancer deaths. The annual average SMRs of cancer in the study areas of S County and Y District were 277.8/100,000 and 223.6/100,000, respectively, which is three to four times higher than those in the control areas. In addition, a total of 626 cases of cancer in the study and control areas were confirmed. The prevalence rates of cancer were 545/100,000 and 128.1/100,000 per year in the study and control areas in S County, respectively, and 440.9/100,000 and 200/100,000 per year in the study and control areas in Y District, respectively. The mortality and prevalence rates of digestive cancers were higher in the study areas than the control areas. In 2000, the SMR for cancer in rural areas nationwide was 120.9/100,000, and in study areas in S County and Y District, the excess rates of deaths were 184/100,000 and 138.8/100,000, respectively. Conclusions The death rates of digestive cancers were much higher in the study areas of S County and Y District. The patterns for between-area differences in prevalence and mortality rates of cancer were similar. Verbal autopsy is shown to be a useful tool in retrospective mortality surveys in low-resource areas with limited access to health care. </jats:sec

Cardiovascular mortality risk attributable to ambient temperature in China.

OBJECTIVE: To examine cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality burden attributable to ambient temperature; to estimate effect modification of this burden by gender, age and education level. METHODS: We obtained daily data on temperature and CVD mortality from 15 Chinese megacities during 2007-2013, including 1,936,116 CVD deaths. A quasi-Poisson regression combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to estimate the temperature-mortality association for each city. Then, a multivariate meta-analysis was used to derive the overall effect estimates of temperature at the national level. Attributable fraction of deaths were calculated for cold and heat (ie, temperature below and above minimum-mortality temperatures, MMTs), respectively. The MMT was defined as the specific temperature associated to the lowest mortality risk. RESULTS: The MMT varied from the 70th percentile to the 99th percentile of temperature in 15 cities, centring at 78 at the national level. In total, 17.1% (95% empirical CI 14.4% to 19.1%) of CVD mortality (330,352 deaths) was attributable to ambient temperature, with substantial differences among cities, from 10.1% in Shanghai to 23.7% in Guangzhou. Most of the attributable deaths were due to cold, with a fraction of 15.8% (13.1% to 17.9%) corresponding to 305,902 deaths, compared with 1.3% (1.0% to 1.6%) and 24,450 deaths for heat. CONCLUSIONS: This study emphasises how cold weather is responsible for most part of the temperature-related CVD death burden. Our results may have important implications for the development of policies to reduce CVD mortality from extreme temperatures

Tobacco control in China

Chinese men consume around 40% of the world's cigarettes, causing a substantial and growing burden of tobacco-attributed death and disease. In 2005, the Chinese Government ratified the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control, and tobacco control measures have since increased nationwide. To assess tobacco control progress, obstacles, and opportunities, this Review describes the long-term evolution of cigarette consumption and the associated disease burden in mainland China, and the implementation of five important tobacco control strategies advocated by WHO. These strategies covered tobacco taxation; package warnings; advertising, promotion, and sponsorship bans; public smoking bans; and cessation services. Although only 2% of women in China now smoke, half of all adult men smoke cigarettes. By the 2010s, smoking accounted for about a fifth of all adult male deaths, and this proportion is rising, following a trajectory similar to that seen in the USA 40 years earlier. The self-regulating national tobacco monopoly and its influence on policy, the country's relatively low tobacco tax, and its weak package warnings and enforcement of other tobacco control strategies all highlight challenges in tobacco control. However, these challenges can also provide opportunities to discourage smoking initiation in young women and encourage cessation in men, assisting China's long march towards better health

Clustering of cardiovascular behavioral risk factors and blood pressure among people diagnosed with hypertension: A nationally representative survey in China

This study aimed to examine association between the number of behavioral risk factors and blood pressure (BP) level among a nationally representative sample of Chinese people diagnosed with hypertension. A total of 31,694 respondents aged 18+ years with diagnosed hypertension were extracted from the 2013-2014 China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance. BP of each respondent was classified into six levels according to criteria in 2007 Guidelines for the Management of Arterial Hypertension. Information for smoking, alcohol drinking, fruit and vegetables consumption, physical inactivity, and overweight and obesity were obtained. The average number of risk factors was determined by BP level to explore potential risk factor clustering. Ten generalized proportional odds models were used to examine association between clustering of behavioral risk factors and BP level. A clear gradient between the number of behavioral risk factors and BP level was observed for men and women (P \u3c 0.05 for both genders). BP level for men and women was much likely to upgrade as number of risk factors accumulated (P \u3c 0.01 for 10 models). Behavioral modifications may decrease BP, and combinations of two or more behavioral interventions could potentially result in even better BP management among people diagnosed with hypertension

Global estimates of mortality associated with long-term exposure to outdoor fine particulate matter.

Exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major global health concern. Quantitative estimates of attributable mortality are based on disease-specific hazard ratio models that incorporate risk information from multiple PM2.5 sources (outdoor and indoor air pollution from use of solid fuels and secondhand and active smoking), requiring assumptions about equivalent exposure and toxicity. We relax these contentious assumptions by constructing a PM2.5-mortality hazard ratio function based only on cohort studies of outdoor air pollution that covers the global exposure range. We modeled the shape of the association between PM2.5 and nonaccidental mortality using data from 41 cohorts from 16 countries-the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). We then constructed GEMMs for five specific causes of death examined by the global burden of disease (GBD). The GEMM predicts 8.9 million [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.5-10.3] deaths in 2015, a figure 30% larger than that predicted by the sum of deaths among the five specific causes (6.9; 95% CI: 4.9-8.5) and 120% larger than the risk function used in the GBD (4.0; 95% CI: 3.3-4.8). Differences between the GEMM and GBD risk functions are larger for a 20% reduction in concentrations, with the GEMM predicting 220% higher excess deaths. These results suggest that PM2.5 exposure may be related to additional causes of death than the five considered by the GBD and that incorporation of risk information from other, nonoutdoor, particle sources leads to underestimation of disease burden, especially at higher concentrations

Prevalence and patterns of tobacco smoking among Chinese adult men and women: findings of the 2010 national smoking survey

Background: China consumes about forty percent of the world’s cigarettes, predominantly by men, following a large increase in recent decades. We assess sex-specific prevalence and changing patterns of smoking in Chinese adults in the current decade. Methods: A nationally representative survey of smoking was conducted in 2010 among 100,000 Chinese adults aged ≥18 years, using multi-stage stratified cluster sampling method. Information on smoking frequency, type, amount, age started, and quitting was collected. Sex-specific standardised prevalence and means were analysed and compared with estimates in 1996 national survey. Results: In Chinese men aged ≥18, 62.4% were ever smokers in 2010, including 54.0% current and 8.4% ex-smokers. The smoking prevalence was higher in rural than in urban men (63.9% vs 58.4%). In younger men the age started smoking was earlier and exclusive cigarette use was much higher. Among current smokers, only 17.3% intended to quit. Compared with similar survey in 1996 among adults aged 30-69, more smokers had quit in 2010 than in 1996 (11.0% vs 4.2%), but the number of cigarettes smoked per current smoker was higher (17.9 vs 15.2). In Chinese women, only 3.4% ever smoked and there has been a large intergenerational decrease in smoking uptake rates. In 2010, there were 318 million current smokers in China, consuming estimated 1740 billion cigarettes. Conclusion: The prevalence of smoking remained extremely high in men, but low and falling in Chinese women. Tobacco smoking remains an important public health issue in China, and stronger and more efficient tobacco control is urgently needed

Burden of neurological disorders in China and its provinces, 1990–2021: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2021

Background: The burden of neurological disorders in China has not been systematically analyzed. We aim to provide a comprehensive estimation of the national and subnational neurological burden across China from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. Methods: We assessed burden estimates for 16 neurological disorders by age, sex, and province from 1990 to 2021, with prevalence, death, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs). We performed decomposition analysis to determine contributing factors for DALYs and used the socio-demographic index (SDI) to assess relations with development level. Findings: In 2021, there were 468.29 million prevalent cases of neurological disorders in China, corresponding to 78.10 million DALYs. Intracerebral hemorrhage was the leading cause of DALYs, followed by ischemic stroke, dementias, and migraine. DALYs of neurological disorders were higher in males than females, peaking at 70–74 years. From 1990 to 2021, the number and age-standardized rate of DALYs significantly decreased for idiopathic epilepsy and subarachnoid hemorrhage, primarily attributed to the reduction in YLLs, while the number of DALYs disproportionately increased for dementias, Parkinson’s disease, and ischemic stroke contributed by population aging. The age-standardized DALY rates of seven neurological disorders had more than 5-fold variation between western and eastern provinces, despite reduced burdens with rising SDI. Conclusions: Neurological disorders pose a large and growing burden on public health, primarily driven by population aging. Our findings could inform priority setting and targeted strategies to optimize neurological service delivery.publishedVersio

Prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome Among the Adult Population in Western China and the Association With Socioeconomic and Individual Factors: Four Cross-Sectional Studies

Objectives: This study explored the prevalence of and individual influencing factors for metabolic syndrome (MS) as well as associated socioeconomic factors and regional aggregation. Design: Four cross-sectional surveys were analysed for trends in MS and associations with socioeconomic and individual factors through multilevel logistic regression analyses. The risk associated with nutrient intake was also assessed through a dietary survey in 2015. Setting: From 2010 to 2018, 8-15 counties/districts of West China were included. Participants: A total of 28 274 adults were included in the prevalence analysis. A total of 23 708 adults were used to analyse the related factors. Results: The overall prevalence of MS ranged from 21.4% to 27.8% over the 8 years, remaining basically stable within the 95% CI. Our study found that the urbanisation rate and hospital beds per 1000 people were positively associated with MS, and the number of doctors in healthcare institutions per 1000 persons was negatively associated with MS. The ORs for females, people with college education and higher and unmarried or single people were 1.49, 0.67 and 0.51, respectively (p\u3c0.05). The ORs of people who smoked at least 20 cigarettes/day, ate more than 100 g of red meat/day, consumed fruit or vegetable juice and drank carbonated soft drinks less than weekly were 1.10, 1.16, 1.19-1.27 and 0.81-0.84, respectively. The ORs rose with increasing sedentary time and decreased with higher physical activity. Conclusion: The high burden of MS, unreasonable proportions of energy and micronutrient intake and low percentage of high levels of physical activity were the major challenges to public health in western China. Improving the human resources component of medical services, such as the number of doctors, increasing the availability of public sports facilities and E-health tools and improving individual dietary quality and education might help prevent MS

Burden of neurological disorders in China and its provinces, 1990–2021:Findings from the global burden of disease study 2021

Background: The burden of neurological disorders in China has not been systematically analyzed. We aim to provide a comprehensive estimation of the national and subnational neurological burden across China from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. Methods: We assessed burden estimates for 16 neurological disorders by age, sex, and province from 1990 to 2021, with prevalence, death, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs). We performed decomposition analysis to determine contributing factors for DALYs and used the socio-demographic index (SDI) to assess relations with development level. Findings: In 2021, there were 468.29 million prevalent cases of neurological disorders in China, corresponding to 78.10 million DALYs. Intracerebral hemorrhage was the leading cause of DALYs, followed by ischemic stroke, dementias, and migraine. DALYs of neurological disorders were higher in males than females, peaking at 70–74 years. From 1990 to 2021, the number and age-standardized rate of DALYs significantly decreased for idiopathic epilepsy and subarachnoid hemorrhage, primarily attributed to the reduction in YLLs, while the number of DALYs disproportionately increased for dementias, Parkinson's disease, and ischemic stroke contributed by population aging. The age-standardized DALY rates of seven neurological disorders had more than 5-fold variation between western and eastern provinces, despite reduced burdens with rising SDI. Conclusions: Neurological disorders pose a large and growing burden on public health, primarily driven by population aging. Our findings could inform priority setting and targeted strategies to optimize neurological service delivery. Funding: The funding information is presented in the acknowledgments.</p