The evolution of the cure rate and mortality.

The parameters in this model are selected from the fitting results in Table 3.</p

The effect of behavior on the basic reproductive number.

The basic reproductive number as function of regulatory factor of hospital resource level m and β. Other parameters are shown in Table 2.</p

S1 File -

(PDF)</p

The predicted cumulative number of confirmed cases (left) and death (right) as a function of the hospital resource level <i>α</i> for different <i>m</i>.

Other parameters are shown in Table 2.</p

The parameter explanation in the model.

The parameter explanation in the model.</p

Fig 5 -

In the left panel, the cumulative number of confirmed cases in Japan. The solid lines are obtained from the theoretical model, and the dots correspond to the real cases. In the right panel, the evolution of the in-patient number H (the bottom line) and medical resource capacity αN (the top line). The parameters in this model are selected from the fitting results in Table 3.</p

The evolution of the basic reproductive number .

The parameters in this model are selected from the fitting results in Table 3.</p

Graphical scheme representing the interactions among different stages of infection in the mathematical model.

Graphical scheme representing the interactions among different stages of infection in the mathematical model.</p

The temporal evolution of the cumulative number of recovery and dead individuals predicted in dependence on contact rate <i>ϵ</i>.

The real situation replaced by the parameters fitted by the model (shown in Table 3) are marked with solid black lines.</p

The predicted cumulative number of confirmed cases (left) and death (right) as a function of the regulatory factor of individuals will <i>m</i> and <i>β</i>.

Other parameters are shown in Table 2.</p