THE STRATEGIC UTILITY OF SOF IN GREAT POWER COMPETITION: A NATO PERSPECTIVE

NATO needs to discuss whether, why, and how Special Operations Forces (SOF) contribute to the “fight” in Great Power Competition. NATO’s security strategy traditionally relies on a deterrence posture with conventional and nuclear capabilities. The new NATO 2022 Strategic Concept validates the necessity to research the question: What is the strategic utility of SOF for NATO in Great Power Competition, and how can this strategic utility be enhanced? This study uses a qualitative methodology. At the core is a comparative analysis of two scenarios in the Black Sea and Arctic regions, both developed through a systematic process and enriched with imagination to contain useful vignettes. The analysis suggests that SOF have strategic utility, albeit in changing manifestations in different phases of the conflict continuum, in Great Power Competition. SOF expands the strategic options available to political and military leaders—expansion of choice—to anticipate and respond, especially in an early stage of a crises below the threshold of armed conflict. SOF also achieve significant results with limited forces—economy of force—when conventional formations are not available or capable. It is not about what SOF can and should do; the heart of the matter is what makes the strategic difference—expansion of choice and economy of force—that defines the future of SOF.Majoor, Royal Netherlands ArmyOberstleutnant, German ArmyApproved for public release. Distribution is unlimited