Mortality from gastrointestinal congenital anomalies at 264 hospitals in 74 low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries: a multicentre, international, prospective cohort study

Summary Background Congenital anomalies are the fifth leading cause of mortality in children younger than 5 years globally. Many gastrointestinal congenital anomalies are fatal without timely access to neonatal surgical care, but few studies have been done on these conditions in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared outcomes of the seven most common gastrointestinal congenital anomalies in low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries globally, and identified factors associated with mortality. Methods We did a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of patients younger than 16 years, presenting to hospital for the first time with oesophageal atresia, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, intestinal atresia, gastroschisis, exomphalos, anorectal malformation, and Hirschsprung’s disease. Recruitment was of consecutive patients for a minimum of 1 month between October, 2018, and April, 2019. We collected data on patient demographics, clinical status, interventions, and outcomes using the REDCap platform. Patients were followed up for 30 days after primary intervention, or 30 days after admission if they did not receive an intervention. The primary outcome was all-cause, in-hospital mortality for all conditions combined and each condition individually, stratified by country income status. We did a complete case analysis. Findings We included 3849 patients with 3975 study conditions (560 with oesophageal atresia, 448 with congenital diaphragmatic hernia, 681 with intestinal atresia, 453 with gastroschisis, 325 with exomphalos, 991 with anorectal malformation, and 517 with Hirschsprung’s disease) from 264 hospitals (89 in high-income countries, 166 in middleincome countries, and nine in low-income countries) in 74 countries. Of the 3849 patients, 2231 (58·0%) were male. Median gestational age at birth was 38 weeks (IQR 36–39) and median bodyweight at presentation was 2·8 kg (2·3–3·3). Mortality among all patients was 37 (39·8%) of 93 in low-income countries, 583 (20·4%) of 2860 in middle-income countries, and 50 (5·6%) of 896 in high-income countries (p<0·0001 between all country income groups). Gastroschisis had the greatest difference in mortality between country income strata (nine [90·0%] of ten in lowincome countries, 97 [31·9%] of 304 in middle-income countries, and two [1·4%] of 139 in high-income countries; p≤0·0001 between all country income groups). Factors significantly associated with higher mortality for all patients combined included country income status (low-income vs high-income countries, risk ratio 2·78 [95% CI 1·88–4·11], p<0·0001; middle-income vs high-income countries, 2·11 [1·59–2·79], p<0·0001), sepsis at presentation (1·20 [1·04–1·40], p=0·016), higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score at primary intervention (ASA 4–5 vs ASA 1–2, 1·82 [1·40–2·35], p<0·0001; ASA 3 vs ASA 1–2, 1·58, [1·30–1·92], p<0·0001]), surgical safety checklist not used (1·39 [1·02–1·90], p=0·035), and ventilation or parenteral nutrition unavailable when needed (ventilation 1·96, [1·41–2·71], p=0·0001; parenteral nutrition 1·35, [1·05–1·74], p=0·018). Administration of parenteral nutrition (0·61, [0·47–0·79], p=0·0002) and use of a peripherally inserted central catheter (0·65 [0·50–0·86], p=0·0024) or percutaneous central line (0·69 [0·48–1·00], p=0·049) were associated with lower mortality. Interpretation Unacceptable differences in mortality exist for gastrointestinal congenital anomalies between lowincome, middle-income, and high-income countries. Improving access to quality neonatal surgical care in LMICs will be vital to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 of ending preventable deaths in neonates and children younger than 5 years by 2030

Histopathology-Based Deep-Learning Predicts Atherosclerotic Lesions in Intravascular Imaging

Background: Optical coherence tomography is a powerful modality to assess atherosclerotic lesions, but detecting lesions in high-resolution OCT is challenging and requires expert knowledge. Deep-learning algorithms can be used to automatically identify atherosclerotic lesions, facilitating identification of patients at risk. We trained a deep-learning algorithm (DeepAD) with co-registered, annotated histopathology to predict atherosclerotic lesions in optical coherence tomography (OCT).Methods: Two datasets were used for training DeepAD: (i) a histopathology data set from 7 autopsy cases with 62 OCT frames and co-registered histopathology for high quality manual annotation and (ii) a clinical data set from 51 patients with 222 OCT frames in which manual annotations were based on clinical expertise only. A U-net based deep convolutional neural network (CNN) ensemble was employed as an atherosclerotic lesion prediction algorithm. Results were analyzed using intersection over union (IOU) for segmentation.Results: DeepAD showed good performance regarding the prediction of atherosclerotic lesions, with a median IOU of 0.68 ± 0.18 for segmentation of atherosclerotic lesions. Detection of calcified lesions yielded an IOU = 0.34. When training the algorithm without histopathology-based annotations, a performance drop of &amp;gt;0.25 IOU was observed. The practical application of DeepAD was evaluated retrospectively in a clinical cohort (n = 11 cases), showing high sensitivity as well as specificity and similar performance when compared to manual expert analysis.Conclusion: Automated detection of atherosclerotic lesions in OCT is improved using a histopathology-based deep-learning algorithm, allowing accurate detection in the clinical setting. An automated decision-support tool based on DeepAD could help in risk prediction and guide interventional treatment decisions.</jats:p

Image_1_Histopathology-Based Deep-Learning Predicts Atherosclerotic Lesions in Intravascular Imaging.jpg

Background: Optical coherence tomography is a powerful modality to assess atherosclerotic lesions, but detecting lesions in high-resolution OCT is challenging and requires expert knowledge. Deep-learning algorithms can be used to automatically identify atherosclerotic lesions, facilitating identification of patients at risk. We trained a deep-learning algorithm (DeepAD) with co-registered, annotated histopathology to predict atherosclerotic lesions in optical coherence tomography (OCT).Methods: Two datasets were used for training DeepAD: (i) a histopathology data set from 7 autopsy cases with 62 OCT frames and co-registered histopathology for high quality manual annotation and (ii) a clinical data set from 51 patients with 222 OCT frames in which manual annotations were based on clinical expertise only. A U-net based deep convolutional neural network (CNN) ensemble was employed as an atherosclerotic lesion prediction algorithm. Results were analyzed using intersection over union (IOU) for segmentation.Results: DeepAD showed good performance regarding the prediction of atherosclerotic lesions, with a median IOU of 0.68 ± 0.18 for segmentation of atherosclerotic lesions. Detection of calcified lesions yielded an IOU = 0.34. When training the algorithm without histopathology-based annotations, a performance drop of >0.25 IOU was observed. The practical application of DeepAD was evaluated retrospectively in a clinical cohort (n = 11 cases), showing high sensitivity as well as specificity and similar performance when compared to manual expert analysis.Conclusion: Automated detection of atherosclerotic lesions in OCT is improved using a histopathology-based deep-learning algorithm, allowing accurate detection in the clinical setting. An automated decision-support tool based on DeepAD could help in risk prediction and guide interventional treatment decisions.</p

Data_Sheet_1_Histopathology-Based Deep-Learning Predicts Atherosclerotic Lesions in Intravascular Imaging.docx

Background: Optical coherence tomography is a powerful modality to assess atherosclerotic lesions, but detecting lesions in high-resolution OCT is challenging and requires expert knowledge. Deep-learning algorithms can be used to automatically identify atherosclerotic lesions, facilitating identification of patients at risk. We trained a deep-learning algorithm (DeepAD) with co-registered, annotated histopathology to predict atherosclerotic lesions in optical coherence tomography (OCT).Methods: Two datasets were used for training DeepAD: (i) a histopathology data set from 7 autopsy cases with 62 OCT frames and co-registered histopathology for high quality manual annotation and (ii) a clinical data set from 51 patients with 222 OCT frames in which manual annotations were based on clinical expertise only. A U-net based deep convolutional neural network (CNN) ensemble was employed as an atherosclerotic lesion prediction algorithm. Results were analyzed using intersection over union (IOU) for segmentation.Results: DeepAD showed good performance regarding the prediction of atherosclerotic lesions, with a median IOU of 0.68 ± 0.18 for segmentation of atherosclerotic lesions. Detection of calcified lesions yielded an IOU = 0.34. When training the algorithm without histopathology-based annotations, a performance drop of >0.25 IOU was observed. The practical application of DeepAD was evaluated retrospectively in a clinical cohort (n = 11 cases), showing high sensitivity as well as specificity and similar performance when compared to manual expert analysis.Conclusion: Automated detection of atherosclerotic lesions in OCT is improved using a histopathology-based deep-learning algorithm, allowing accurate detection in the clinical setting. An automated decision-support tool based on DeepAD could help in risk prediction and guide interventional treatment decisions.</p

Image_2_Histopathology-Based Deep-Learning Predicts Atherosclerotic Lesions in Intravascular Imaging.jpg

Background: Optical coherence tomography is a powerful modality to assess atherosclerotic lesions, but detecting lesions in high-resolution OCT is challenging and requires expert knowledge. Deep-learning algorithms can be used to automatically identify atherosclerotic lesions, facilitating identification of patients at risk. We trained a deep-learning algorithm (DeepAD) with co-registered, annotated histopathology to predict atherosclerotic lesions in optical coherence tomography (OCT).Methods: Two datasets were used for training DeepAD: (i) a histopathology data set from 7 autopsy cases with 62 OCT frames and co-registered histopathology for high quality manual annotation and (ii) a clinical data set from 51 patients with 222 OCT frames in which manual annotations were based on clinical expertise only. A U-net based deep convolutional neural network (CNN) ensemble was employed as an atherosclerotic lesion prediction algorithm. Results were analyzed using intersection over union (IOU) for segmentation.Results: DeepAD showed good performance regarding the prediction of atherosclerotic lesions, with a median IOU of 0.68 ± 0.18 for segmentation of atherosclerotic lesions. Detection of calcified lesions yielded an IOU = 0.34. When training the algorithm without histopathology-based annotations, a performance drop of >0.25 IOU was observed. The practical application of DeepAD was evaluated retrospectively in a clinical cohort (n = 11 cases), showing high sensitivity as well as specificity and similar performance when compared to manual expert analysis.Conclusion: Automated detection of atherosclerotic lesions in OCT is improved using a histopathology-based deep-learning algorithm, allowing accurate detection in the clinical setting. An automated decision-support tool based on DeepAD could help in risk prediction and guide interventional treatment decisions.</p