Presentation_1_Confounder-adjusted MRI-based predictors of multiple sclerosis disability.zip

IntroductionBoth aging and multiple sclerosis (MS) cause central nervous system (CNS) atrophy. Excess brain atrophy in MS has been interpreted as “accelerated aging.” Current paper tests an alternative hypothesis: MS causes CNS atrophy by mechanism(s) different from physiological aging. Thus, subtracting effects of physiological confounders on CNS structures would isolate MS-specific effects.MethodsStandardized brain MRI and neurological examination were acquired prospectively in 646 participants enrolled in ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00794352 protocol. CNS volumes were measured retrospectively, by automated Lesion-TOADS algorithm and by Spinal Cord Toolbox, in a blinded fashion. Physiological confounders identified in 80 healthy volunteers were regressed out by stepwise multiple linear regression. MS specificity of confounder-adjusted MRI features was assessed in non-MS cohort (n = 158). MS patients were randomly split into training (n = 277) and validation (n = 131) cohorts. Gradient boosting machine (GBM) models were generated in MS training cohort from unadjusted and confounder-adjusted CNS volumes against four disability scales.ResultsConfounder adjustment highlighted MS-specific progressive loss of CNS white matter. GBM model performance decreased substantially from training to cross-validation, to independent validation cohorts, but all models predicted cognitive and physical disability with low p-values and effect sizes that outperform published literature based on recent meta-analysis. Models built from confounder-adjusted MRI predictors outperformed models from unadjusted predictors in the validation cohort.ConclusionGBM models from confounder-adjusted volumetric MRI features reflect MS-specific CNS injury, and due to stronger correlation with clinical outcomes compared to brain atrophy these models should be explored in future MS clinical trials.</p

Data_Sheet_2_Confounder-adjusted MRI-based predictors of multiple sclerosis disability.xlsx

IntroductionBoth aging and multiple sclerosis (MS) cause central nervous system (CNS) atrophy. Excess brain atrophy in MS has been interpreted as “accelerated aging.” Current paper tests an alternative hypothesis: MS causes CNS atrophy by mechanism(s) different from physiological aging. Thus, subtracting effects of physiological confounders on CNS structures would isolate MS-specific effects.MethodsStandardized brain MRI and neurological examination were acquired prospectively in 646 participants enrolled in ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00794352 protocol. CNS volumes were measured retrospectively, by automated Lesion-TOADS algorithm and by Spinal Cord Toolbox, in a blinded fashion. Physiological confounders identified in 80 healthy volunteers were regressed out by stepwise multiple linear regression. MS specificity of confounder-adjusted MRI features was assessed in non-MS cohort (n = 158). MS patients were randomly split into training (n = 277) and validation (n = 131) cohorts. Gradient boosting machine (GBM) models were generated in MS training cohort from unadjusted and confounder-adjusted CNS volumes against four disability scales.ResultsConfounder adjustment highlighted MS-specific progressive loss of CNS white matter. GBM model performance decreased substantially from training to cross-validation, to independent validation cohorts, but all models predicted cognitive and physical disability with low p-values and effect sizes that outperform published literature based on recent meta-analysis. Models built from confounder-adjusted MRI predictors outperformed models from unadjusted predictors in the validation cohort.ConclusionGBM models from confounder-adjusted volumetric MRI features reflect MS-specific CNS injury, and due to stronger correlation with clinical outcomes compared to brain atrophy these models should be explored in future MS clinical trials.</p

Data_Sheet_1_Confounder-adjusted MRI-based predictors of multiple sclerosis disability.pdf

IntroductionBoth aging and multiple sclerosis (MS) cause central nervous system (CNS) atrophy. Excess brain atrophy in MS has been interpreted as “accelerated aging.” Current paper tests an alternative hypothesis: MS causes CNS atrophy by mechanism(s) different from physiological aging. Thus, subtracting effects of physiological confounders on CNS structures would isolate MS-specific effects.MethodsStandardized brain MRI and neurological examination were acquired prospectively in 646 participants enrolled in ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00794352 protocol. CNS volumes were measured retrospectively, by automated Lesion-TOADS algorithm and by Spinal Cord Toolbox, in a blinded fashion. Physiological confounders identified in 80 healthy volunteers were regressed out by stepwise multiple linear regression. MS specificity of confounder-adjusted MRI features was assessed in non-MS cohort (n = 158). MS patients were randomly split into training (n = 277) and validation (n = 131) cohorts. Gradient boosting machine (GBM) models were generated in MS training cohort from unadjusted and confounder-adjusted CNS volumes against four disability scales.ResultsConfounder adjustment highlighted MS-specific progressive loss of CNS white matter. GBM model performance decreased substantially from training to cross-validation, to independent validation cohorts, but all models predicted cognitive and physical disability with low p-values and effect sizes that outperform published literature based on recent meta-analysis. Models built from confounder-adjusted MRI predictors outperformed models from unadjusted predictors in the validation cohort.ConclusionGBM models from confounder-adjusted volumetric MRI features reflect MS-specific CNS injury, and due to stronger correlation with clinical outcomes compared to brain atrophy these models should be explored in future MS clinical trials.</p

Table1_Machine learning-optimized Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv2) correlates highly with cognitive and physical disability scales in Multiple Sclerosis patients.xlsx

Composite MRI scales of central nervous system tissue destruction correlate stronger with clinical outcomes than their individual components in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Using machine learning (ML), we previously developed Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv1) solely from semi-quantitative (semi-qMRI) biomarkers. Here, we asked how much better COMRISv2 might become with the inclusion of quantitative (qMRI) volumetric features and employment of more powerful ML algorithm. The prospectively acquired MS patients, divided into training (n = 172) and validation (n = 83) cohorts underwent brain MRI imaging and clinical evaluation. Neurological examination was transcribed to NeurEx™ App that automatically computes disability scales. qMRI features were computed by lesion-TOADS algorithm. Modified random forest pipeline selected biomarkers for optimal model(s) in the training cohort. COMRISv2 models validated moderate correlation with cognitive disability [Spearman Rho = 0.674; Lin's concordance coefficient (CCC) = 0.458; p < 0.001] and strong correlations with physical disability (Spearman Rho = 0.830–0.852; CCC = 0.789–0.823; p < 0.001). The NeurEx led to the strongest COMRISv2 model. Addition of qMRI features enhanced performance only of cognitive disability model, likely because semi-qMRI biomarkers measure infratentorial injury with greater accuracy. COMRISv2 models predict most granular clinical scales in MS with remarkable criterion validity, expanding scientific utilization of cohorts with missing clinical data.</p

Datasheet1_Machine learning-optimized Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv2) correlates highly with cognitive and physical disability scales in Multiple Sclerosis patients.pdf

Composite MRI scales of central nervous system tissue destruction correlate stronger with clinical outcomes than their individual components in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Using machine learning (ML), we previously developed Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv1) solely from semi-quantitative (semi-qMRI) biomarkers. Here, we asked how much better COMRISv2 might become with the inclusion of quantitative (qMRI) volumetric features and employment of more powerful ML algorithm. The prospectively acquired MS patients, divided into training (n = 172) and validation (n = 83) cohorts underwent brain MRI imaging and clinical evaluation. Neurological examination was transcribed to NeurEx™ App that automatically computes disability scales. qMRI features were computed by lesion-TOADS algorithm. Modified random forest pipeline selected biomarkers for optimal model(s) in the training cohort. COMRISv2 models validated moderate correlation with cognitive disability [Spearman Rho = 0.674; Lin's concordance coefficient (CCC) = 0.458; p < 0.001] and strong correlations with physical disability (Spearman Rho = 0.830–0.852; CCC = 0.789–0.823; p < 0.001). The NeurEx led to the strongest COMRISv2 model. Addition of qMRI features enhanced performance only of cognitive disability model, likely because semi-qMRI biomarkers measure infratentorial injury with greater accuracy. COMRISv2 models predict most granular clinical scales in MS with remarkable criterion validity, expanding scientific utilization of cohorts with missing clinical data.</p