Incident cases of diabetes prevented during 2013–2022 under different intervention scenarios, with results for each scenario stratified by age group.

Results for intervention simulations assuming a 10% decrease (A) or 20% decrease (B) in SSB intake and varying levels of calorie compensation. The y-axis values represent the absolute number of diabetes cases prevented by the intervention compared to the base case simulation, which assumes no change in SSB consumption. The base case simulation projects a 10-y cumulative incidence of diabetes of 1,565,600 for individuals aged 35–44 y, 1,741,600 for individuals aged 45–54 y, and 580,900 for individuals aged 55–94 y. The labels on each bar represent the percent of the total number of incident cases predicted by the base case simulation that is reduced under the intervention assumptions. SSB, sugar-sweetened beverage.</p

Total number of cardiovascular disease events and deaths avoided over 10 y among Mexican adults aged 35–94 y under different assumptions about sugar-sweetened beverage consumption reduction and replacement with calories from other sources.

<p>Total number of cardiovascular disease events and deaths avoided over 10 y among Mexican adults aged 35–94 y under different assumptions about sugar-sweetened beverage consumption reduction and replacement with calories from other sources.</p

Age-stratified decrease in cardiovascular disease events and deaths predicted for a 10% reduction in sugar-sweetened beverage consumption with 39% caloric compensation, compared to a base case simulation assuming no change in consumption.

<p>(A) Total events and deaths prevented over 10 y under the intervention scenario. (B) The fraction of the total events predicted under the base case scenario that are prevented under the intervention scenario. The total counts of events and deaths for each age decile under the base case scenario and the change in events under the 10% and 20% SSB reduction scenarios are presented in <a href="http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002158#pmed.1002158.s005" target="_blank">S4 Table</a>. CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease.</p

Number of incident cases of diabetes prevented and diabetes healthcare costs saved under intervention scenarios compared to the base case scenario among Mexican adults aged 35–94 y for 2013–2022.

<p>Number of incident cases of diabetes prevented and diabetes healthcare costs saved under intervention scenarios compared to the base case scenario among Mexican adults aged 35–94 y for 2013–2022.</p

Mean total volume and number of servings of sugar sweetened beverages consumed per person per day among Mexican adults from the 2012 Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT).

<p>Mean total volume and number of servings of sugar sweetened beverages consumed per person per day among Mexican adults from the 2012 Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT).</p