Evidence on the two monetary base measures and economic activity

Monetary policy ; Economic indicators

Measuring the policy effects of changes in reserve requirement ratios

The monetary base is the sum of high-powered money and an adjustment factor that measures changes in reserve requirement ratios. This adjustment factor is calculated so that it responds to changes in deposit levels in addition to changes in reserve requirements. Consequently, researchers and policymakers using the monetary base are seeing a mixture of changes implemented through open market operations, discount window borrowings, and reserve requirements, together with nonpolicy actions acting on deposit flows. ; Joseph Haslag and Scott Hein calculate the reserve step index (RSI) to separate changes in one of the available adjustment factors-the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank's Reserve Adjustment Measure (RAM)-into pure reserve-requirement effects and deposit-flow effects. RSI would give analysts a measure that responds only to changes in reserve requirement ratios. Haslag and Hein also provide statistical evidence suggesting that combining RSI and the deposit-flow effect, as RAM does, is not justifiable in simple reduced-form models of nominal GNP growth, output growth, or inflation.Bank reserves

Monetary base rules: the currency caveat

Money ; Monetary policy

Thirteen Plus One: A Comparison of Global Climate Policy Architectures

We critically review the Kyoto Protocol and thirteen alternative policy architectures for addressing the threat of global climate change. We employ six criteria to evaluate the policy proposals: environmental outcome, dynamic efficiency, cost effectiveness, equity, flexibility in the presence of new information, and incentives for participation and compliance. The Kyoto Protocol does not fare well on a number of criteria, but none of the alternative proposals fare well along all six dimensions. We identify several major themes among the alternative proposals: Kyoto is “too little, too fast”; developing countries should play a more substantial role and receive incentives to participate; implementation should focus on market-based approaches, especially those with price mechanisms; and participation and compliance incentives are inadequately addressed by most proposals. Our investigation reveals tensions among several of the evaluative criteria, such as between environmental outcome and efficiency, and between cost-effectiveness and incentives for participation and compliance.Policy architecture, Kyoto Protocol, Efficiency, Cost effectiveness, Equity, Participation, Compliance

Constructing an alternative measure of changes in reserve requirement ratios

Bank reserves

Evaluating monetary base targeting rules

Monetary policy ; Money supply

Does it matter how monetary policy is implemented?

Monetary policy

Federal Reserve System reserve requirements: 1959-88--a note

Federal Reserve System ; Bank reserves

Nominal GNP growth and adjusted reserve growth: nonnested tests of the St. Louis and Board measures

Gross national product ; Monetary policy

Monetary policy and recent business-cycle experience

Some critics of recent monetary policy have focused on slow M2 growth, claiming that the Federal Reserve is too interested in price stability and is forsaking its growth mandate. Others criticize the Fed for achieving price stability too cautiously and urge the adoption of a rule that seeks to eliminate inflation more quickly. ; R. W. Hafer, Joseph Haslag and Scott Hein examine two alternative monetary policies and gauge their expected impacts on economic activity. Both policies are simulated over the period 1987–92. One policy, a GNP-targeting rule similar to one proposed by Bennett McCallum, slows nominal GNP growth substantially. Simulated nominal GNP, however, is quite volatile under the GNP-targeting rule. The other policy, referred to in the article as the M2-targeting approach would have resulted in somewhat faster average nominal GNP growth compared with what actually occurred, the start-and-stop pattern exhibited during the recent U.S. recovery would still be present. Thus, the evidence indirectly supports the notion that real shocks were the driving force behind recent weakness in economic activity.Business cycles ; Monetary policy