Forecasting of commercial sales with large scale Gaussian Processes

This paper argues that there has not been enough discussion in the field of applications of Gaussian Process for the fast moving consumer goods industry. Yet, this technique can be important as it e.g., can provide automatic feature relevance determination and the posterior mean can unlock insights on the data. Significant challenges are the large size and high dimensionality of commercial data at a point of sale. The study reviews approaches in the Gaussian Processes modeling for large data sets, evaluates their performance on commercial sales and shows value of this type of models as a decision-making tool for management.Comment: 1o pages, 5 figure

Unfair Value Allocation: The Role of Data Ownership in Private Information Disclosure

Consumer privacy is an issue of increasing public concern. Prior research has tended to view consumer privacy in terms of personal data exposure (and the potential harms thereof, such as identity theft or embarrassment). However, the present research proposes that consumers’ concerns over disclosing their private information reflect not only data exposure concerns, but also concerns over data ownership (i.e., the ownership of the value created from their private information). We find convergent support across eight preregistered experiments that consumers express greater concerns over disclosure of their information when they perceive that they are not receiving the fair value of their private information in exchange. This research contributes to the privacy literature by identifying a relatively understudied aspect of consumer privacy concerns, offers practical implications for firms on managing users’ data, and calls attention to users’ data ownership from the legal perspective

Supplemental Material - Trajectories of Intergenerational Emotional Closeness in Multi-Child Aging Families in China

Supplemental Material for Trajectories of Intergenerational Emotional Closeness in Multi-Child Aging Families in China by Jia Chen and Mengni Chen in Research on Aging</p

Water Adsorption and Oxidation at the Co₃O₄ (110) Surface

We carried out density functional theory calculations with on-site Coulomb repulsion U terms to study the interaction of water with the (110) surface of the spinel cobalt oxide, Co₃O₄, a widely used oxidation catalyst. This surface has two different terminations, one positively (A) and the other negatively charged (B). Dissociative water adsorption is preferred from low up to one monolayer coverage on the A termination and up to half monolayer on the B termination. On the latter, a mixed molecular and dissociated monolayer is more stable at full coverage. The computed structures are used to investigate the free-energy changes during water oxidation on both surface terminations. We find that the most difficult step of the oxygen evolution reaction is the second deprotonation to form an adsorbed O species (O*). Moreover, the A-terminated surface is more active than the B-terminated surface. Analysis of the surface electronic structure shows a larger density of cobalt states near the Fermi energy on the A termination, which stabilizes the O* species and thus reduces the overpotential

Median and Per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents from 2018 to 2022 (unit: Yuan).

Median and Per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents from 2018 to 2022 (unit: Yuan).</p

Correlation between Oncogenic Mutations and Parameter Sensitivity of the Apoptosis Pathway Model

<div><p>One of the major breakthroughs in oncogenesis research in recent years is the discovery that, in most patients, oncogenic mutations are concentrated in a few core biological functional pathways. This discovery indicates that oncogenic mechanisms are highly related to the dynamics of biologic regulatory networks, which govern the behaviour of functional pathways. Here, we propose that oncogenic mutations found in different biological functional pathways are closely related to parameter sensitivity of the corresponding networks. To test this hypothesis, we focus on the DNA damage-induced apoptotic pathway—the most important safeguard against oncogenesis. We first built the regulatory network that governs the apoptosis pathway, and then translated the network into dynamics equations. Using sensitivity analysis of the network parameters and comparing the results with cancer gene mutation spectra, we found that parameters that significantly affect the bifurcation point correspond to high-frequency oncogenic mutations. This result shows that the position of the bifurcation point is a better measure of the functionality of a biological network than gene expression levels of certain key proteins. It further demonstrates the suitability of applying systems-level analysis to biological networks as opposed to studying genes or proteins in isolation.</p></div

Individual, time-dependent double fixed effects models.

Individual, time-dependent double fixed effects models.</p

Description of variables.

More than 40 years of urbanization in China has brought rapid economic growth, but the uneven development of region and how to achieve common prosperity through urbanization remain a serious concern. This paper analyzes the effect of the urbanization mode of population aggregation in central cities on common prosperity in China. Using panel data of 283 cities from 2004 to 2019, the study constructs a common prosperity index based on the coupling coordination degree of economy, ecology, and society. The Spatial Durbin Model is used to analyze the influence of population aggregation in central cities on common prosperity and the moderating effect of financial self-sufficiency rate. The results show that population aggregation in central cities has a positive effect on common prosperity. There is also a spatial spillover effect, but the impact exhibits an inverted U-shaped characteristic. Moreover, the fiscal self-sufficiency rate has a negative moderating impact on the effect of population aggregation on common prosperity in the early stage, but a positive moderating impact in the later period. This paper concludes by suggesting that the government should promote urbanization, control the size of large cities, accelerate the reform of household registration, and pay attention to the coordinated development of economy, society, and ecology to promote the realization of common prosperity.</div

S1 Data -

More than 40 years of urbanization in China has brought rapid economic growth, but the uneven development of region and how to achieve common prosperity through urbanization remain a serious concern. This paper analyzes the effect of the urbanization mode of population aggregation in central cities on common prosperity in China. Using panel data of 283 cities from 2004 to 2019, the study constructs a common prosperity index based on the coupling coordination degree of economy, ecology, and society. The Spatial Durbin Model is used to analyze the influence of population aggregation in central cities on common prosperity and the moderating effect of financial self-sufficiency rate. The results show that population aggregation in central cities has a positive effect on common prosperity. There is also a spatial spillover effect, but the impact exhibits an inverted U-shaped characteristic. Moreover, the fiscal self-sufficiency rate has a negative moderating impact on the effect of population aggregation on common prosperity in the early stage, but a positive moderating impact in the later period. This paper concludes by suggesting that the government should promote urbanization, control the size of large cities, accelerate the reform of household registration, and pay attention to the coordinated development of economy, society, and ecology to promote the realization of common prosperity.</div

Spatial correlation test for common wealth coupling in 283 cities across the country, 2004–2019.

Spatial correlation test for common wealth coupling in 283 cities across the country, 2004–2019.</p