151 research outputs found
The Disturbing Case of the British Advertising Standards Authority, the New York Times, and the State Department's Low Estimate of the Death Toll in Darfur
Geomagnetic lunar and solar daily variations during the last 100 years
This paper describes long-term changes in the geomagnetic lunar (L) and solar (S) daily variations. We analyze the eastward component of the geomagnetic field observed at eight midlatitude stations during 1903â2012. The amplitude and phase for the semidiurnal component of the L and S variations are examined. Both L and S amplitudes correlate with the solar activity index F10.7, revealing a prominent 11 year solar cycle. In both cases, the correlation is slightly better with inline image than F10.7. The sensitivity of the L variation to solar activity is comparable with that of the S variation. The solar cycle effect is also found in the phase of the S variation but not apparent in the phase of the L variation. The ratio in the amplitude of the L to S variation shows a long-term decrease (approximately 10% per century), which may be due to a reduction in lunar tidal waves from the lower atmosphere to the upper atmosphere in association with climate change
Evidence for stratospheric sudden warming effects on the upper thermosphere derived from satellite orbital decay data during 1967â2013
We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long-term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967â2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass Density Model (GAMDM) that takes into account density variability due to solar activity, season, geomagnetic activity, and long-term trend. A superposed epoch analysis of 37 SSW events reveals a density reduction of 3â7% at 250â575 km around the time of maximum polar vortex weakening. The relative density perturbation is found to be greater at higher altitudes. The temperature perturbation is estimated to be â7.0 K at 400 km. We show that the density reduction can arise from enhanced wave forcing from the lower atmosphere
Linkages between the cold summer mesopause and thermospheric zonal mean circulation
Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/95392/1/grl28827.pd
A YearâLong Comparison of GPS TEC and Global IonosphereâThermosphere Models
The prevalence of GPS total electron content (TEC) observations has provided an opportunity for extensive global ionosphereâthermosphere model validation efforts. This study presents a yearâlong dataâmodel comparison using the Global IonosphereâThermosphere Model (GITM) and the ThermosphereâIonosphereâElectrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIEâGCM). For the entire year of 2010, each model was run and compared to GPS TEC observations. The results were binned according to season, latitude, local time, and magnetic local time. GITM was found to overestimate the TEC everywhere, except on the midlatitude nightside, due to high O/N2 ratios. TIEâGCM produced much less TEC and had lower O/N2 ratios and neutral wind speeds. Seasonal and regional biases in the models are discussed along with ideas for model improvements and further validation efforts.Key PointsTIEâGCM generally underpredicted GPS TEC, while GITM overpredicted itTIEâGCM GPS TEC predictions were most accurate near the poles; GITM compared best in the Northern HemisphereBoth TIEâGCM and GITM have model descriptions which may be improved for better TEC comparisonsPeer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/142881/1/jgra54053.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/142881/2/jgra54053_am.pd
The effect of non-migrating tides on the morphology of the equatorial ionospheric anomaly: seasonal variability
Oscillation of the Ionosphere at Planetary-Wave Periods
Fâregion ionospheric oscillations at planetaryâwave (PW) periods (2â20 days) are investigated, with primary focus on those oscillations transmitted to the ionosphere by PW modulation of the vertically propagating tidal spectrum. Tidal effects are isolated by specifically designed numerical experiments performed with the National Center for Atmospheric Research thermosphereâionosphereâelectrodynamics general circulation model for October 2009, when familiar PW and tides are present in the model. Longitude versus dayâofâmonth perturbations in topside Fâregion electron density (Ne) of order ±30â50% at PW periods occur as a result of PWâmodulated tides. At a given height, these oscillations are mainly due to vertical oscillations in the F layer of order ±15â40 km. These vertical movements are diagnosed in terms of changes in the F2âlayer peak height, ÎhmF2, which are driven by the vertical projections of E Ă B drifts and fieldâaligned in situ neutral winds. E Ă B drifts dominate at the magnetic equator, while the two sources play more equal roles between 20° and 40° magnetic latitudes in each hemisphere. The in situ neutral wind effect arises from vertical propagation of PWâmodulated tides, whereas the E Ă B drifts originate from dynamoâgenerated electric fields produced by the Eâregion component of the same wind field; the former represents a new coupling mechanism for production of ionospheric oscillations at PW periods. Roughly half the aboveâmentioned variability in Ne and hmF2 is associated with zonally symmetric (S0) oscillations, which contribute at about half the level of lowâlevel magnetic activity during October 2009. The thermosphereâionosphereâelectrodynamics general circulation model simulates the S0 oscillations in Ne observed from the CHAMP satellite well during this period and reveals that S0 oscillations in E Ă B play a significant role in driving S0 oscillations in ÎhmF2, in addition to neutral winds
Energy transport in the thermosphere during the solar storms of April 2002
Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/94816/1/jgra17969.pd
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