32 research outputs found
Influence of radiation and TiO2 concentration on the hydroxyl radicals generation in a photocatalytic LED reactor. Application to dodecylbenzenesulfonate degradation
One of the main issues associated to the development of photocatalysis is the lack of adequate indexes that allow the comparison of the results obtained in different experimental setup designs. The hydroxyl radicals (o OH) generation rate is a key factor to determine the overall oxidation rate.
In this work, using a Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs) reactor aimed to maximize light ef?ciency and minimize energy consumption, the o OH generated have been determined as a function of the radiation and catalyst concentration following an indirect method based on the reaction between o OH and dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) to produce formaldehyde.
Finally, the methodology has been applied to analyze the degradation kinetics of the anionic surfactant dodecylbenzenesulfonate (DBS), frequently used in shampoo formulations and detergents for washing machines. We propose a method based on the indirect determination of o OH radicals generation rate that allows the assessment and comparison of the kinetics of photocatalytic oxidation of pollutants.Financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness and from FEDER funds (projects CTM2012-33917 and CTQ2012-31639) are gratefully acknowledged
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period. Methods: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. Findings: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. Interpretation: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
BACKGROUND: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period. METHODS: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. FINDINGS: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. INTERPRETATION: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Effects of design details on stress concentrations in welded rectangular hollow section connections
For fatigue design of welded hollow structural sections connections, the “hot spot stress method” in CIDECT Design Guide 8 is widely used. This method forms the basis of various national and international design standards. This thesis sought to address some contemporary design issues where the existing approaches cannot be directly applied. Modified design approaches were proposed for various practical design details.
For galvanizing of welded tubular steel trusses, sufficiently large holes to allow for quick filling, venting and drainage must be specified. These holes, quite often specified at the hot spot stress locations, will inevitably affect connection fatigue behaviour. In Chapter 1, six rectangular hollow section (RHS) connections were tested under branch axial loading. The stress concentration factors (SCFs) obtained from the experimental investigation were compared with those calculated using the formulae in CIDECT Design Guide 8. It was shown that the predictions based on the current formulae were unsafe. Hence, finite element (FE) models were developed and validated by comparison with the experimental data. A subsequent parametric study was conducted, including 192 FE models with different hole locations and non-dimensional parameters [branch-to-chord width (β), branch-to-chord thickness (τ), and chord slenderness (2γ) ratios]. SCF formulae for RHS connections with vent/drain holes at different locations were established based on the experimental and FE data. In Chapter 2, by modifying the 192 parametric models in Chapter 1, FE analysis was performed to examine the existing SCF formulae in CIDECT Design Guide 8 for RHS T-connections under branch in-plane bending. The parametric study showed that the existing SCF formulae can lead to unsafe predictions. Critical hot spot stress locations were thus identified. The effects of both branch in-plane bending and chord loading were studied. New design formulae that take the vent and drain holes into account were proposed.
The design rules in CIDECT Design Guide 8 assumes sufficient chord continuity on both sides of connection. Therefore, the existing formulae cannot be directly applied to RHS-to-RHS connections situated near a truss/girder end. Chapter 3 sought to develop new approach for calculation of SCFs in such connections. 256 FE models of RHS-to-RHS X-connections, with varied chord end distance-to-width (e/b0) and non-dimensional parameters were modelled and analyzed. The analysis was performed under quasi-static axial compression force(s) applied to the branch(es) and validated by comparison of strain concentration factors (SNCFs) to SNCFs obtained from full-sized connection tests. For all 256 connections, SCFs were determined at five critical hot spots on the side of the connection near the open chord end. The SCFs were found to vary as a function of e/b0, 2γ and β. Existing formulae in CIDECT Design Guide 8 to predict SCFs in directly welded RHS-to-RHS axially loaded X-connections were shown to be conservative when applied to a connection near an open chord end. SCF reduction factors (ψ), and a parametric formula to estimate ψ based on e/b0, 2γ and β, were derived. For RHS-to-RHS connections situated near a truss/girder end, reinforcement using a chord-end cap plate is common; however, for fatigue design, formulae in current design guidelines [for calculation of SCFs] cater to: (i) unreinforced connections, with (ii) sufficient chord continuity beyond the connection on both sides. Chapter 4 sought to develop definitive design guidelines for such connections. The parametric models in Chapter 3 were modified to simulate such connections. Existing SCF formulae in CIDECT Design Guide 8 were shown to be inaccurate if applied to cap plate-reinforced end connections. SCF correction factors (ψ), and parametric formulae to estimate ψ based on e/b0, β, τ and 2γ, were derived. The same methodology was used in Chapter 5 to study the SCFs in square bird-beak (SBB) and diamond bird-beak (DBB) tubular steel X-connections situated at the end of a truss or girder. A comprehensive parametric study, including 256 SBB and 256 DBB connection models, covering wide ranges of chord end distance-to-width (e/b0) and non-dimensional parameters, was performed. Two sets of correction factor (ψ) formulae for consideration of the chord end distance effect were derived, for SBB and DBB X-connections, respectively.Graduat
Stress concentration factors of RHS T-connections with galvanizing holes under in-plane bending
Stress concentration factors for RHS-to-RHS X-connections near an open chord end
This paper presents an experimental and finite-element (FE) study to determine stress concentration factors (SCFs) for directly welded rectangular hollow section (RHS)-to-RHS axially loaded X-connections near an open chord end. Two-hundred and fifty-six FE models of RHS-to-RHS X-connections, with varied chord end distance-to-width (e/b0), branch-to-chord width (β), branch-to-chord thickness (τ), and chord slenderness (2γ) ratios were modelled and analyzed by using commercial software. The analysis was performed under quasi-static axial compression force(s) applied to the branch(es) and validated by comparison of strain concentration factors (SCNFs) to SCNFs obtained from two large-scale experimental tests. For all 256 connections, SCFs were determined at five critical hot spots on the side of the connection near the open chord end. The SCFs were found to vary as a function of e/b0, 2γ and β. Existing formulae in CIDECT DG8 to predict SCFs in directly welded RHS-to-RHS axially loaded X-connections are shown to be conservative when applied to a connection near an open chord end. SCF reduction factors (ψ), and a parametric formula to estimate ψ based on e/b0, 2γ and β, are derived
