Methods for projection of HIV/AIDS epidemic. In: Epidemiology, Health and Population (Statistical Applications)

Abstract

There has been substantial interest worldwide in understanding the current state of HIV/AIDS epidemic and prediction of its future path throughout the pandemic. The various approaches that have been developed to provide the description of HIV spread and modeling the transmission processes for short-term and long-term projections will be reviewed in this paper. Some of the recent developments in combining forecasting techniques with surveillance data-basis for more valid projections will be discussed