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An Introduction to the Day-Trading of Equity Investment by Using Information Literacy

Abstract

単純な「局所的な極小値で買い、極大値で売る」手法のみを用いてNISAの初心者が株式投資するための売買タイミングについて調査した。その結果、NISAの初心者でも、どのようなタイミングで売買をしても平均的には1~3%程度の成功率を得られる事が解った。また、この手法では、最大で25.5%の成功率を得ることが出来るが、最悪の場合は4.9%の損をすることが解った。しかし、この結果が東京証券取引所に上場している全ての企業について同様に当てはまるかどうかは、別途、調査が必要である。この結果は、筆者が既に発表している3本の論文(川本勝2014、2015、2016)の結果とも矛盾しない。It was investigated about a "buying and selling timing" of equity investments for beginners of NISA by using only a simple "to buy in the local minimum value, to sell at themaximum value" method.As a result, it was found that even a beginner of NISA can obtain a success rate ofabout 1 to 3 % on average even if the buying and selling in any timing.Furthermore, in this method, it was found that although it is possible to obtain a successrate of 25.5% at the maximum, the worst case loss 4.9%.However, another inspection is necessary separately whether this finding comes underequally about all companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.This result is consistent with the results of the three papers that the author already published(Kawamoto 2014, 2015,2016).3KJ00010289599論文Articledepartmental bulletin pape

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