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Utility indifference pricing with market incompleteness

By Michael Monoyios

Abstract

Utility indifference pricing and hedging theory is presented, showing how it leads to linear or to non-linear pricing rules for contingent claims. Convex duality is first used to derive probabilistic representations for exponential utility-based prices, in a general setting with locally bounded semi-martingale price processes. The indifference price for a finite number of claims gives a non-linear pricing rule, which reduces to a linear pricing rule as the number of claims tends to zero, resulting in the so-called marginal utility-based price of the claim. Applications to basis risk models with lognormal price processes, under full and partial information scenarios are then worked out in detail. In the full information case, a claim on a non-traded asset is priced and hedged using a correlated traded asset. The resulting hedge requires knowledge of the drift parameters of the asset price processes, which are very difficult to estimate with any precision. This leads naturally to a further application, a partial information problem, with the drift parameters assumed to be random variables whose values are revealed to the hedger in a Bayesian fashion via a filtering algorithm. The indifference price is given by the solution to a non-linear PDE, reducing to a linear PDE for the marginal price when the number of claims becomes infinitesimally small

Topics: Game theory, mathematical finance, economics, social and behavioral sciences, Probability theory and stochastic processes
Publisher: Nova Science Publishers
Year: 2008
OAI identifier: oai:generic.eprints.org:724/core69

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