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The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Link in the Mexican Float

By Carlos A. Ibarra

Abstract

This paper examines empirically the interest rate-exchange rate link in the context of the Mexican experience with a floating exchange regime. The impulse response function derived from an ECM estimated by GMM reveals a lasting positive effect of a currency depreciation on the peso-dollar interest rate differential. Some of the macroeconomic consequences from this pattern are discussed, together with a possible explanation based on the incorporation of the central bank reaction function into private expectations.interest rate-exchange rate link, floating exchange rate regimes

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