Location of Repository

Evaluating the labour-market effects of compulsory military service

By Thomas K. Bauer, Stefan Bender, Alfredo R. Paloyo and Christoph M. Schmidt

Abstract

"We identify the causal effect of compulsory military service on conscripts' subsequent labour-market outcomes by exploiting the regression-discontinuity design of the military draft in Germany during the 1950s. Unbiased estimates of military service on lifetime earnings, wages, and employment are obtained by comparing men born before July 1, 1937 (the 'White Cohort') who were exempted from compulsory military service to men who were born on or shortly after this threshold date and hence faced a positive probability of being drafted. We find that the putative earnings advantage and wage premium of those who served in the armed forces vanish when selection effects are taken into account." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)Wehrdienst - Auswirkungen, Wehrpflichtige, Beschäftigungseffekte, berufliche Reintegration, Einkommenseffekte, Bundeswehr, IAB-Beschäftigtenstichprobe, Berufsverlauf, Lebenseinkommen

OAI identifier:

Suggested articles

Preview

Citations

  1. (1990). Lifetime Earnings and the Vietnam Era Draft Lottery: Evidence from Social Security Administrative Records,
  2. (1994). Why Do World War II Veterans Earn More than Nonveterans?,
  3. (2008). Long-Term Economic Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: Schooling, Experience and Earnings,
  4. (1999). Using Maimonides’ Rule to Estimate the Effect of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement,
  5. (1969). The Military Draft and Future Income,
  6. (2008). Ineligibles and Eligible Non-Participants as a Double Comparison Group in Regression-Discontinuity Designs,
  7. Anette Haas and Christoph Klose (2000): The IAB Employment Subsample 1975-1995: Opportunities for Analysis Provided by the Anonymised Subsample,
  8. (2006). Costs of Conscription: Lessons from the UK,
  9. (1968). On the Shifting of the Military Draft as a Progressive Tax-in-Kind,
  10. (2004). Economic Impacts of New Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001,
  11. (1992). Design-Adaptive Nonparametric Regression,
  12. (1969). The Costs of the Draft and the
  13. (1999). Evaluating the Effect of an Antidiscrimination Law Using a Regression-Discontinuity Design,
  14. (2001). Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design,
  15. (1978). Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System,
  16. (2009). Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation,
  17. (1994). Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects,
  18. (2008). Regression Discontinuity Designs: A Guide to Practice,
  19. (1995). Evaluating the Cost of Conscription in the Netherlands,
  20. (2008). Panu Poutvaara and Andreas Wagener
  21. (2008). Randomized Experiments from Non-Random Selection in U.S. House Elections,
  22. (2008). Regression Discontinuity Inference with Specification Error,
  23. (2000). Wehrpflicht oder Freiwilligenarmee? Die Wehrstruktur aus ökonomischer Sicht,
  24. (1996). Die Ökonomie der Wehrpflicht: Eine Analyse unter besonderer Berücksichtigung der Grundsätze der Besteuerung,
  25. (1969). Valuing Transfer of MilitaryAcquired Skills to Civilian Employment,
  26. (2007). Stata Statistical Software: Release 10, College Station, TX: StataCorp LP.
  27. (1960). Regression-Discontinuity Analysis: An Alternative to the Ex Post Facto Experiment,
  28. (1984). Research Design for Program Evaluation: The Regression-Discontinuity Approach,
  29. and Eric Verhoogen (2009): Class-Size Caps, Sorking, and the Regression-Discontinuity Design,
  30. (2002). Estimating the Effect of Financial Aid Offers on College Enrollment: A Regression-Discontinuity Approach,
  31. (1940). The Fitting of Straight Lines if Both Variables are Subject to Error,
  32. (1971). Wehrgerechtigkeit in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Bericht der Wehrstruktur-Kommission an die Bundesregierung

To submit an update or takedown request for this paper, please submit an Update/Correction/Removal Request.