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Homeownership and the life cycle: An ordered logit approach.

By Bart Capéau, André Decoster and Frederic Vermeulen

Abstract

This paper presents an ordered logit approach to model the optimal timing of buying a house in the life cycle. The model is applied to three recent Belgian household budget surveys. We find that households postpone homeownership or choose to be lifelong tenant due to an increase of the transaction tax rate, the real interest rate on mortgages and an indicator for the evolution of real house prices. Expenditures on nondurables, on the contrary, have a positive impact on (early) homeownership.Logit; Homeownership; Life cycle; Transaction tax;

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