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Does Real Exchange Rate Volatility Affect Sectoral Trade Flows?

By M. Caglayan and J. Di

Abstract

This paper investigates empirically the effect of real exchange rate volatility on sectoral bilateral trade flows between the US and her top thirteen trading countries. Our investigation also considers those effects on trade flows which may arise through changes in income volatility and the interaction between income and exchange rate volatilities. We provide evidence that exchange rate volatility mainly affects sectoral trade flows of developing but not that of developed countries. We also find that the effect of the interaction term on trade flows is opposite that of exchange rate volatility yet there is little impact arising from income volatility.\u

Publisher: Department of Economics, University of Sheffield
Year: 2008
OAI identifier: oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:9985

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