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財政赤字與財政支出關係的檢驗:Buchanan-Wagner假說成立嗎?

By 李建強, 李起銓 and 陳怡君

Abstract

This paper provides a full discussion of the long-run co-movements and the short-run\ud dynamic adjustment relationships among government spending, public deficits, income, wages,\ud and adult population in a multivariate model. This paper aims to investigate t本文探討我國實質政府總支出、政府賦稅收入占實質政府總支出比率、每人實質所\ud 得、私部門工資率與總納稅人口數等5 個變數之間的長期均衡及動態調整關係,據以檢\ud 測台灣地區財政赤字與實質政府總支出之間是否具有長期正向關係( 支持\ud Buchanan-Wagner 假說)。此外也檢測每人實質所得增加是否會帶動實質政府總支出增\ud 加,若實質政府總支出的所得彈性大於1,則表示支持華格納法則 (Wagner’s Law)。本\ud 文的實證結果顯示:一、上述5 個變數之間具有長期均衡關係。二、台灣地區財政赤字\ud 與實質政府總支出具

Topics: Government spending, Public deficits, Buchanan-Wagner hypothesis, Wagner's Law, 財政支出, 財政赤字, Buchanan-Wagner假說, Wagner法則
Publisher: 臺中巿:國立中興大學農業經濟研究所
Year: 2014
OAI identifier: oai:ir.lib.nchu.edu.tw:11455/79704
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